If you could consult the graph please:

Grandpa… can we not get this shot into me? 🤣
When you were little, who usually took you to get shots?

7.28 BTC evening chart observation
The evening chart continues to weaken, with the current price consolidating in a low range around 63,300. As the interest rate decision approaches in the early morning hours, the market worries about tighter policy; funds collectively reduce risk exposure. High-level longs have clustered to exit, and short-term selling pressure continues to be released. Indicators have entered oversold territory, and overall price action is running under pressure.
The short-term pressure range is 64,300–64,700. The prior high at 65,600 has turned into a strong resistance. The

Prediction markets just hit a new ATH.
June notional volume reached $52.8B, almost 92% higher than the previous 5-month average of $27.5B.
Q2 volume also climbed to $113.8B, up 48.7% QoQ.
But there is one important detail:
- 81% of @Polymarket’s June volume came from sports
- @Kalshi expanded its Q2 market share to 58.9%
- Polymarket fell from 35.8% to 30.2%
- @RotheraMarkets reached $2.1B only one month after launch
The World Cup is now over.
The next few months will show whether prediction markets can sustain this growth, or whether June was mostly an event-driven spike
Data @coingecko

‍#Ethereum is testing the lower boundary of an ascending wedge, and a divergence has formed on the RSI, indicating a potential breakout.
⤵️ If the price breaks below the trend fractal and 1870, ETHUSD could fall;
🎯 Target 1: 1825.00;
🎯 Target 2: 1800.00

July 28 evening: Big Pie analysis
In the early part of the market, there was a clear pullback, with the low dipping to around 63,021. Afterwards, the price gradually stabilized and began to rebound slightly.
At present, the price is in the middle of the range. An upside rebound will face resistance, while the downside also has support to provide a floor. In the short term, there is temporarily no clear direction.
Personal suggestion: 63,100–63,400, targets 65,500–65,800 (哆)

$BTC might retest 62K
There are a lot of long liquidity at the 62K sweep
If it bounces at 62K it would form an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.

I just wanted to take a look at the order book, but that glance immediately wiped out my drowsiness. After $DOT softened from the high, the short-seller rhythm is even more decisive than I expected.
A few days ago, in the afternoon, I watched DOT. I found that every rebound felt like it was being tested, but the volume still couldn’t keep up. Once the price pushed up, it got pushed back down. The lack of follow-through was obvious. Back then, I wasn’t thrown off by any fake moves. After it confirmed the pullback, I executed a long near 1.223.
Now the current price has fallen to 0.755. This rou

$CIFR
It may use this process as an opportunity to fill the gap

now I ran the same analysis on 5 minute bars and we can see that the forecast is pretty well correlated with next 5 min's realized vol
the thing that's interesting is the average realized vol is always inferior to the average forecast by decile bucket, which isnt the case in the daily forecasts
something to think about at another time perhaps
now whats the best window to use to forecast vol intraday?

🚨 LATEST: Apple has been sued over a fake Bitcoin wallet app that allegedly remained on the App Store after an $875,000 theft was reported.
The lawsuit claims three users lost $1.84 million in total after entering their recovery phrases into the fraudulent app.

Unity of knowledge and action is important;
Shorting is not just talk,
All of the stock markets in the US, China, and South Korea have crashed;
May I ask what you’re afraid of?
#长鑫开盘跌7.7%

$BTC ‌
#StrategyInitiatesSTRCBuyback
Corporate Bitcoin adoption is no longer just about buying more BTC. It is increasingly about managing capital efficiently while protecting long-term shareholder value. Strategy's latest move demonstrates exactly that philosophy.
Instead of making another large Bitcoin purchase, the company has chosen to strengthen its financial structure by launching the first repurchase under its Digital Credit Securities Repurchase Program, buying back 288,930 STRC preferred shares for approximately $25 million. The decision reflects a shift toward balance sheet optimiza

Anti-crypto session is live, New York is dumping on us again.
Let's see how deep they drag it today.
Wall Street's dirty game never ends.
#Crypto needs to return to its roots: #P2P, #decentralized, free from these clowns.
#Crypto #NewYork #WallStreet #BTC #LUNC #XMR #DEFI

OPINION: Is $2 the ultimate support for $ICP ?
the price should never fall break this level?

Institutional Adoption Just Hit a Turning Point!
WATCH ▶️
Max Bareiss, Head of Lending at Galaxy, sat down with me at the Injective Policy Summit to discuss the rapid growth of institutional crypto lending, Galaxy's digital asset services, and his outlook on the crypto market.
#crypto #institutions #defi

BTC is currently undergoing high-level wash trading and consolidation. In essence, this is a pause and rest during a downtrend; it is not a bottom reversal signal. Don’t mistake a relay consolidation for an opportunity to catch the bottom.
In an environment where BTC bulls and bears are locked in a tug-of-war and wash trading keeps repeating, the tolerance for BTC consolidation is even lower. Once the broader market resumes downward, BTC will face an accelerated catch-up selloff.
On the hourly chart, there are frequent candles that surge and then close back down, with upper wicks appearing one

Men are the most frugal creatures in the world.
If they don’t lay a hand on women, they basically won’t make many major mistakes.
But the genes won’t allow it.
Especially men who’ve achieved a certain status—their desires in every aspect tend to run pretty strong.

This design, this sense of fashion—wouldn’t it be too much to wear it at Fashion Week? 🤣