pedma

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就像投资者认为某个资产被低估,也许是通过不同的视角,或者只是纯粹的发现(更难),这正是我试图在我的系统设计中更接近的观点。
考虑到今天参与者的行为,未来可能会是一个很好的交易吗?这不仅仅关乎它在过去的回测中是否有效,反正谁在乎那个,但是未来在我交易的市场中,哪些经济理由还能继续起作用。
到目前为止,我所有的最佳交易,都是我当时没有用这种方式考虑的交易,老实说。但事实证明,它们表现得相当不错,仅仅是因为那时我没有考虑到的行为、因素。现在还不能举例,因为我还在交易它们。
比如说,目前关于AI的交易。我确实认为如果未来某些事情发生,这个交易会带来回报,如果没有,也基本上可以覆盖掉,个人认为。它是真的吗?我还不确定,但我觉得可能,因为它有道理。它有道理,因为我在其他地方也在交易类似的东西,经济逻辑在那里。需要一些时间去构建,但我会让它成功。
市场是前瞻性的机器。过去的任何事情都是风险溢价。没错,这就是我所做的。但最好的机会在于没人关注的地方,或者参与意愿很低的地方,因为它们风险更高,历史先例也不存在。
至少这就是我的想法。
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I've been enjoying reading poetry lately.
I keep Claude near me to give me context line by line though.
really helpful as I'm learning this style, especially the old classics.
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crossing the 50% return mark on the crypto portfolio for the year. on vacation so putting a few thoughts together. will do a mid year review when im back.
rebalanced my long-term hype stack on the 16th so the outperformance is mainly driven by the systematic side and no longer by the idiosyncratic hype bet, which is good, what I wanted for a long time.
my single focus over the past year has been building out my infra to be able to handle a bunch of different trades, each with their own design needs, different data feeds, hedging controls, etc etc. all of this done from 1 place, rather than hav
RWA1.77%
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ORBO:
Sounds like your hard work on building out your infrastructure is finally paying off.
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am I hallucinating or claude just referred to "everyone" as being the robots ?
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another good use of web search AI is before purchasing any subscription to some service, just ask if there's cheaper/free alternatives, and list risks and considerations of each.
have saved a few shekels doing this for useless subs i could just do more efficiently elsewhere.
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connecting dots. that main cluster is just infra work i've done over the last 6 months that gets stored on the vault.
now that cluster is starting to link with the research I have on the pipeline for new signals, strategies, etc.
kinda cool to see it visually.
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just noticed that hype is trading almost more volume than BTC today on hyperliquid. gg. hyperliquid.
HYPE7.54%
BTC0.66%
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one of the new models I built a few weeks ago got lucky with the timing of deployment.
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lol was just shifting around funds i had on hyperevm and discovered $12k of UBTC I had send over a year ago i had completely lost track off of.
I literally track all my funds each day on a google sheets and still lost track of this.
can afford mcdonalds today.
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remind me to create an agent today to read from telegram, links I dump there, and archive them automatically to my to-do research db according to a structure MD file.
good for vacation when I'm reading twitter or think of smth I wanna research when I'm back.
make no mistakes.
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one thing I regret is not having tried harder academically, going to college, etc.
at least I got so dumb I wasn't afraid of a punt cause I sucked at estimating risk innit?
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the old "great books" technical retail traders like:
- only buy strong stocks breaking out of consolidation
- but if the stock is weak breaking out don't buy and look for shorts instead
- also if volume is weak don't buy
- if volume good buy the open price
maxxing foresight
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hard to have any short/medium term positive expectation for crypto with the correlation to equities, and considering how much equities are up, and how lackluster crypto has been, kinda hard to make any sort of bet. upside limited, downside big if we get any shake in tardfi.
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only a degen gambler can close a massive trade and still wonder how much more could he have got.
i guess im never escaping that.
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portfolio AUM bumped by another 25% over the last week. i dont like to add into ATH's, but rather when it goes through drawdowns. also did a major rebalance yesterday in my portfolio, and that freed up some capital for the portfolio. over 6 months now of this new port.
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having lunch at an all you can eat sushi place.
made my order, few minutes go by and the waitress comes from the kitchen to ask me if I understood how orders worked and that it's multiples of the amounts.
I am a regular here.
I said yes.
ain't even that much.
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maxx muting all the insufferable .hls
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good, honest day's worth of work.
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table selection innit
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traders will say they run 137.45 strategies and this be the correlation between them
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