pedma

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as regulatory environment tightens in Europe I am being more careful by saving my data more regularly, reconciling my trades, making sure that everything is explainable in a future audit.
for example, on hyperliquid i can only go back about 10k trade records. for me that lasts about 3 months and im already not able to go back any further. if I had to prove transactions from earlier periods and I did not have a database with the entire history, I would not be able to prove the operations I am reporting.
I don't have to go back as I have every single trade recorded in a database, but this is the
HYPE-2.24%
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a perma bid in equities and we choose to trade this.
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fable just walked me through a logic error in my own trades report design. quite impressed with this.
basically I am trying to get at reconciling EoM balances with PnL.
for this I need realized PnL (easy) + unrealized PnL.
the first problem is pretty basic and was already solved for:
unrealized PnL carries over from balances already accounted for in previous months.
for example you have $1000 in balance, and in May you have a position up $100. Let's say that position is now $300 unrealized in June. Your balance was $1,100 at the end of May and if everything is correct, it should be $1,300 in J
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even with AI these days one-shotting most tasks, I have sooo much to do that doesn't have anything to do with actual trading and finding edge, that yeh, I can see why I only did 1 thing for so long.
maybe a bit of skill issue added to mid curving, but it is a lot of upkeep.
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so i need like a monthly cadence on this otherwise soon enough I wont be able to get the data i need.
i track every single transaction on the db, but i want yet another tool to reconcile.
this is for business side which requires a bit more granularity than personal reporting.
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i've been procrastinating on automating the accounting reports from exchanges, wallets, etc, for my accountant.
so i'm spending my day on that today.
the problem isn't the balances, because i track that every day, but the transaction by transaction detail, what a mess.
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i could just give them balances, but i know that in the future i might get audited and i need a reconciled transaction detail on everything i touch.
i think i have like 5k+ transactions a month across a bunch of wallets right now and for eg hyperliquid caps at 10,000 fills.
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now some turnover stats. I think I am turning over a bit much (283x annualized) even though I did some work to get this down in the past.
i used the highest cost brackets on each exchange, although not all is taker volume. slippage cost is real from live stats.
this is something I have to look into again. I think i can do better in my signals without giving up too much edge.
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been in such a great winning period lately that it seems I forgot what's like to be in a drawdown. now that I am in one again, here we are back at building dashboards to monitor whats going on.
here's the port performance and IC across all the features on two of my portfolios. definitely not the best looking period for the features I am running now.
the first one is pure momentum. you can see how correlated these all are.
I've been working on another (second pic) that will include different features and you can see that some are already doing better than others and there's more dispersion acr
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when i am working on new features, i sometimes come up with different variations of the signal I am working on. but testing them in bulk through entire datasets takes some time, so i just built this queue pool where i can be working on new features, while the others run in the background, and then i get a warning when they're done.
just a neat way of not getting stuck waiting for results. also i'll get alerts when its completed so if i have a large set i can just go off desk and chill out while I wait for the results.
this then follows a pipeline where if they have acceptable results based on
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even though fable is out, i've continued using OPUS 4.8 since i have no issues with it. i guess the incremental improvements now are less and less noticeable for the things i currently do, since opus still one shots it, why pay more just to say im using the shinier model.
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we are so back
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people once more discounting Portugal's ability to tie and penalti their way into a final
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so when we win against France in the semi-finals, how will the odds look like then
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i tend to overestimate potential and underestimate risk.
that's a flaw of mine.
idc too much for risk, I kinda like the thrill and seek it.
i must constantly be taming that or i get burned.
some people suffer the opposite of fearing risk too much and underpricing potential.
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i dont care for luxury stuff at all. i drive a 2011 car, have a cheap apartment, prob spend about $500 on clothes every 2 years lol.
but one thing i am actively looking for is a house near the beach. that's the thing I'll definitely take a punt on. massive boost imo.
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opus 4.8 doing dumb things.
i tried to have it oneshot building a backtestoor from scratch, and this guy is closing positions on a bar previous to a signal.
this is pretty simple stuff and it still does this crap.
yeh keep vibe coding your trading infra without checking man...
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takes me about €3.6k a month to run my entire business right now.
running a lean shop for maxx compounding purposes.
i barely take salary for myself, just reinvesting it all.
prob will increase with new data vendors im planning to add but if ideally these pay for themselves.
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