SoominStar

#CorePCEandGDPFinalReading $XAUT $US500 $BTC $ETH
Core PCE Is 3.0% but Core CPI Is Near 2.4%: The Fed Is Choosing Between Two Inflation Gauges
Here is the gap nobody is talking about. August core PCE was 3.0% on the year, while core CPI was 2.4%, its slowest since March 2021. The Fed's preferred measure is running 0.6 points hotter than the one households feel, which is the reverse of the usual relationship. On headline the two matched at 3.4% in August, but that is about to change. September CPI is due on October 14, and forecasts call for headline to jump to about 3.6% to 3.7%, a four-month high, on a +0.6% monthly rise, with core CPI at only +0.2% and the annual core rate unchanged at 2.4%.
That sets up a classic dilemma. A hot headline driven by energy, with Brent up about 14% in September, and a calm core. If the Fed looks through energy, core CPI at 2.4% argues against more hikes. If it follows core PCE at 3.0%, with real spending up 0.6% in August and a December hike still about 86% priced, it keeps going. Twelve of 18 officials already expect another hike this year, so the committee has to decide which gauge it trusts.
The calendar makes October 14 more important than it looks. The Fed decides on October 28, and the September PCE report arrives on October 29, a day after. That means September CPI is the only inflation print the committee will see before its next decision. Before then comes ISM services today, where prices paid is the number to watch, Fed speakers on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the September meeting minutes on Wednesday.
I would trade it with rules instead of opinions. If core CPI comes in at 0.3% or higher against a forecast near 0.19%, a December hike becomes almost certain and the pressure shows up in gold, Bitcoin and equities. XAUT loses 4,157.4 and heads for the 4,110 September low, BTC loses 83,898 and heads for 82,468, and US500 loses 7,675.94. If core holds at 0.2% or lower and officials signal they will look through energy, the relief runs the other way: BTC reclaims 87,383.6, XAUT closes above 4,221.7 and targets 4,280, US500 clears 7,770, and ETH closes above 2,807.
Until then, positions are about levels, not conviction. My bias on BTC stays bearish while it trades below 87,383.6, my bias on US500 is bullish while closes hold above 7,718.45, and I stay neutral on XAUT below 4,221.7. Friday's US500 close was 7,722.72, which is right on that line.
When the two gauges disagree by 0.6 points, which one do you think the Fed will follow?
Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading or investment decision.

#PONS启动周期性回购
The mechanism employed by PONS aims to alleviate selling pressure and gradually reduce the circulating supply through a steady flow of funds. Collecting funds every seven days and executing buyback and burn operations over the subsequent seven-day period creates a continuous deflationary cycle rather than a one-time burn event.
However, for the impact on price to be robust and lasting, it is critical that the burn rate outpaces the token supply growth rate (emission) and that demand remains sustainable. If supply contracts while demand—driven by utility, investor interest, or liquidity—increases, significant upward pressure on the price may emerge in the long term.
Supply Dynamics.
1. Permanent Supply Reduction: Purchasing PONS from the open market and sending it to a burn address permanently removes those tokens from the circulating supply.
2. Predictable Flow Rate: Distributing total revenue over a seven-day period establishes a steady hourly burn rate, replacing erratic, high-volume, and sudden buyback movements.
Demand Dynamics
1. Continuous Buying Pressure: Spreading purchases over 168 hours (7 days) ensures continuous and automated buying liquidity across DEX/CEX trading pairs.
2. Speculative and Front-Running Incentives: Investors tracking the size of the weekly "Claim" pool can precisely calculate the hourly buying pressure and execute trades ahead of the automated bot's actions, particularly prior to weeks featuring large-scale burns.
3. Reflexive Revenue Cycle: Buyback funds are derived directly from protocol transaction fees. Higher protocol volume generates more buyback funds, which drives up the token price, attracts market interest, and further increases trading volume.
* Elimination of Transaction Delays: Transitioning to automated 7-day cycles directly addresses community concerns regarding manual requests causing days-long pauses in buyback activities.
* Dependence on Underlying Trading Volume: The mechanism acts as a multiplier rather than a standalone driving force. If protocol transaction activity declines, the buyback fund shrinks proportionally.
* Impact on Market Value: Deflationary burns contract the token supply; however, sustainable valuation growth requires a continuous influx of new capital. Without underlying organic demand, a mere contraction in supply cannot prevent a price decline.
My view: The mechanism is positive for tokenomics, but the three key metrics to monitor are the weekly buyback amount, the actual volume of tokens burned, and the net change in circulating supply. If these three metrics improve sustainably, the deflationary narrative could translate into a tangible market impact.
$PONS ‌

#PONS It crashed like shit because the buyback has major problems. I sold everything a few days ago😅 and will consider buying some after the new plan is implemented.

#HYPE财库公司持仓超32亿美元
The recent acquisition of 1.9 million HYPE tokens for approximately $167.2 million—bringing total assets to 37 million HYPE (valued at roughly $3.26 billion ) and $292.6 million in cash —serves as a textbook strategic move, yet it also introduces unique structural dynamics:
My take: While this signals strong conviction, it also entails a concentration risk.
The latest treasury update from Hyperliquid Strategies indicates total HYPE holdings of 37.04 million tokens—valued at approximately $3.26 billion—following the addition of roughly 1.95 million HYPE on October 1st.
1. A MicroStrategy-Style Strategy for Perpetual DEXs
Hyperliquid Strategies operates as a dedicated treasury vehicle designed to accumulate the protocol's native token supply. By effectively converting public equity access (Nasdaq) into physical token purchases, they generate persistent, structural demand for HYPE. For a high-volume perpetual DEX like Hyperliquid, the permanent locking of approximately 37 million tokens effectively constrains the liquid circulating supply, thereby reinforcing upward price elasticity as trading volumes rise.
2. Balance Sheet Liquidity and Operational Scope
Holding $292.6 million in cash alongside the HYPE tokens provides tactical flexibility. They are not forced to fully liquidate tokens to fund operations or repay debt during market downturns; this prevents an uncontrolled sell-off in the event of high token price volatility.
3. Key Risks to Monitor
*Refinancing and Discount Risk: If the asset trades at a premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV), issuing shares to purchase additional HYPE is a value-accretive move. However, if market sentiment weakens and the asset trades below its NAV (at a discount), capital expansion halts, and this reflexive cycle reverses.
* Token Unlocks and Circulating Supply Concentration: While removing 1.9 million tokens from the market alleviates short-term selling pressure, holding more than 10% of the circulating market cap in a single treasury vehicle concentrates governance and market depth risks on one balance sheet.
This strengthens HYPE’s position as an institutional-grade asset; however, the asset's performance will remain heavily dependent on whether Hyperliquid can maintain its DEX volume market share against competing L1/L2 perpetual trading platforms.
$HYPE ‌

#HYPE财库公司持仓超32亿美元 #作手分析
🔥 HYPE treasury holdings surpass $3.2 billion! Breaking past the previous high against market pressure—how far can the long-term thesis go?
Trading watch: $HYPE $BTC $ETH
The hot topic on GATE Square is very interesting:
Nasdaq-listed treasury company Hyperliquid Strategies has once again increased its holdings by approximately 1.9 million HYPE, bringing its total holdings to approximately 37 million HYPE, worth more than $3.2 billion.
Many people may only think when they see this: “Another institution is footing the bill.”
But what I’m more interested in is: What exactly is the relationship between this company and HYPE? And why do I remain bullish on HYPE over the long term despite recent macro market pressure?
📊 I. Unveiling the connection: HYPE’s “treasury proxy” in U.S. stocks
Hyperliquid is the protocol, HYPE is the native token, and Hyperliquid Strategies is an independent publicly listed digital asset treasury company.
One of its core businesses is continuously accumulating HYPE and participating in the ecosystem through staking and other means.
I prefer to understand it as HYPE’s “treasury proxy” in traditional capital markets.
To some extent, it plays a role similar to MSTR’s in the BTC ecosystem—using the financing capabilities of traditional capital markets to continuously expand its HYPE treasury, allowing investors in traditional stock markets to gain HYPE exposure.
🔥 II. Breaking the previous bull-market high despite market pressure, demonstrating clear relative strength
According to market data, HYPE’s high during last year’s bull market was approximately $59.5.
After enduring the macro-driven market crash and washout in this cycle, HYPE not only avoided falling back to its starting point but instead broke back above $59.5 and continued to set new all-time highs.
The current price is around $90.6, just one step away from the all-time high of $98 set in September.
Breaking the previous bull-market high while the broader market is under pressure is not simply a matter of “rising more”; it shows that HYPE has demonstrated very clear relative strength.
💰 III. What really draws my attention: the value-return mechanism created by buybacks and burns
The Hyperliquid protocol currently allocates approximately 99% of protocol fees to the Assistance Fund, which is used to continuously buy back HYPE, with some HYPE permanently removed; meanwhile, HyperEVM’s base fees and priority fees are also burned.
This means: increased protocol usage → increased fees → increased buyback demand → some HYPE permanently exits circulation.
This combination of “protocol revenue growth + buybacks and burns + treasury accumulation” is an important reason why I believe HYPE is worth tracking over the long term, creating a supply-and-demand mechanism worth monitoring over time.
Of course, this does not mean HYPE’s supply will decline unilaterally forever; factors such as unlocks and staking rewards still require attention.
🎯 IV. The trader’s strategy: bullish over the long term, but never chase highs from the left side
This is my clearest view on HYPE: bullish over the long term, but that does not mean blindly buying at the current price.
• If you already have a core position: Hold the long-term core position with the trend, trade the short-term position based on the structure, and use trailing profit-taking.
• If you are preparing to build a position: I still adhere to a right-side system: breakout → pullback → stabilization on declining volume → follow-up entry.
The overhead supply from HYPE’s previous all-time high is relatively limited, but profit-taking pressure and round-number levels during the new-high phase still require attention.
When HYPE continues to set new highs, I will not short it subjectively just because it has “risen too much”; if a major pullback occurs, I will not blindly buy the dip just because it has “fallen a lot.”
I would rather wait for: a key structure to emerge → selling pressure to be exhausted → pullback confirmation → then look for right-side opportunities worth closely monitoring.
What do you think of HYPE’s independent countertrend move?
A. Continued treasury accumulation, targeting the $100 mark 🚀
B. Volatility increases after the new high; waiting for a pullback 📉
C. Stronger buybacks and burns; remaining bullish over the long term 💎
D. Only trade the right side; waiting for structural confirmation 🛡️
Leave A / B / C / D and share your view 👇
(The above content is compiled based on public disclosures and my personal trading system, for discussion purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice. The crypto market is extremely volatile; please make independent judgments and manage risk appropriately.)

#ThreeLaunchpoolsLiveSimultaneously
#ThreeLaunchpoThreeLaunchpoolsLiveSimultaneously,ShareMillionsInAirdropsolsLiveSimultaneously,ShareMillionsInAirdrops $FOLD ‌
Millions in Airdrops Across Gate Launchpool
Gate is currently highlighting a major Launchpool moment with three projects running simultaneously, giving the community multiple opportunities to participate in airdrop campaigns.
The three projects are:
Tether Gold (XAUT)
Hunter Biden’s Laptop (LAPTOP)
Interfold (FOLD)
Among them, FOLD — Interfold stands out because of its unusually high Launchpool APR and the strong volatility that has developed around the token.
Gate reported that the FOLD Launchpool offered a maximum APR of 590.76% in the FOLD pool, while the BTC and ETH pools offered 2.49% and 3.61% respectively. The total FOLD rewards were reported at 2,029,221 FOLD, valued at approximately $128,100 at the time of Gate's report.
That combination of a large reward allocation, high headline APR, and a relatively small market capitalization makes FOLD a token worth watching closely.
FOLD Current Price
At the latest available market data, FOLD is trading around $0.0717–$0.0722.
CoinMarketCap currently shows approximately:
Price: $0.07168
24H change: +1.49%
24H low: $0.06956
24H high: $0.07641
Market cap: ~$23.74M
24H volume: ~$23.35M
Circulating supply: ~331.22M FOLD
Total/max supply: 1.2B FOLD
The token remains significantly below its August 2026 all-time high of approximately $0.1754, meaning FOLD is still around 59% below its previous peak.
This is important because the current price is sitting in a much lower valuation zone than its previous high, but that does not automatically mean the token must return to the ATH.
Price still needs confirmation from volume, momentum, and market structure.
FOLD Has Already Shown Strong Volatility
The recent price history is particularly interesting.
FOLD closed around:
$0.0588 on September 25
$0.0634 on September 26
$0.0684 on September 27
$0.0613 on September 28
$0.0659 on September 29
$0.0684 on September 30
$0.0672 on October 1
$0.0634 on October 2
$0.0733 yesterday
This shows just how quickly FOLD can move.
From the September 25 close near $0.0588 to yesterday's approximately $0.0733, FOLD gained roughly 24.7%.
But the move has not been straight upward.
September 28 saw a decline of about 11.16%, followed by several strong recovery sessions. Historical data therefore shows a highly volatile market where momentum can change quickly.
The Most Interesting Signal: Volume
For me, one of the biggest technical points is volume.
Recent analysis reported that FOLD's 24-hour trading volume surged by approximately 593%, reaching around $30.3M, while price moved higher toward the $0.072 area. That type of volume expansion can indicate a major increase in market participation.
Current market data continues to show substantial trading activity relative to FOLD's market capitalization.
With roughly $23.7M market cap and more than $23M in 24-hour volume in one current snapshot, the volume-to-market-cap relationship is extremely high.
That tells me this is not a quiet market.
It is a market where price can move rapidly in either direction.
Technical Structure
From a technical perspective, I would describe FOLD as:
Short-term: Bullish but volatile
Medium-term: Recovery structure
Long-term: Still below major resistance
The most important question is whether FOLD can maintain the recent recovery above the $0.070–$0.072 area.
If buyers successfully defend this zone, momentum could continue.
If price loses it with declining volume, the recent breakout could turn into a false breakout.
Key Support Levels
The first support zone I am watching is:
$0.070–$0.072
This is the most important immediate area because FOLD has recently moved into this region after recovering from the low-$0.06 range.
Below that:
$0.067–$0.068
This area has acted as an important recent trading zone.
Then:
$0.063–$0.065
A return toward this region would mean that the recent bullish momentum is weakening.
And the deeper support zone:
$0.058–$0.060
This is close to the September 25–26 area and would become important if sellers completely reverse the recent move.
Resistance Levels
On the upside, my first resistance is:
$0.076–$0.077
FOLD recently traded as high as approximately $0.0764, so this is the first level where sellers could appear.
Above that:
$0.080
This is psychologically important and also the next major technical target identified by recent market analysis if FOLD can maintain buying volume above $0.072.
Then:
$0.085–$0.090
A move through $0.08 with strong volume could create another momentum expansion toward this zone.
Above $0.09:
$0.10
The $0.10 psychological level would become a major milestone.
And beyond $0.10, the market could begin looking toward:
$0.12 → $0.15 → $0.175
The final level is particularly important because approximately $0.1754 was FOLD's recorded August ATH.
My Technical View
My technical view is that FOLD has entered a high-volatility recovery phase.
The recent move from approximately $0.0588 to above $0.073 shows that buyers are willing to step in aggressively when momentum appears.
But I don't want to treat the recent rise as a guaranteed continuation.
The most important confirmation for me would be:
FOLD holds $0.070–$0.072
plus
volume remains elevated
plus
price breaks $0.076–$0.077
If those three conditions occur together, the probability of another upside move increases.
My Bullish Scenario
My bullish scenario is:
$0.072 hold → $0.0765 breakout → $0.080 → $0.085 → $0.090
If FOLD reaches $0.09 and maintains strong volume, I would then watch:
$0.10
A move from approximately $0.072 to $0.10 would represent roughly 39% upside.
If momentum becomes extreme and the broader altcoin market remains supportive, the next targets could be:
$0.12
then
$0.15
with the previous ATH around $0.1754 becoming the major long-term resistance zone.
A return from $0.072 to $0.1754 would require approximately +144%, so I would treat that as a much larger momentum target rather than a near-term expectation.
My Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario is equally important.
If FOLD fails to hold $0.070, especially with volume falling, I would become cautious.
A break below:
$0.067
could send the token back toward:
$0.063–$0.065
And if $0.063 breaks decisively, the next important area becomes:
$0.058–$0.060
The key point is that FOLD has already demonstrated double-digit daily volatility, so risk management is especially important.
My Thoughts
My thoughts are that the Launchpool narrative is currently one of the strongest short-term catalysts surrounding FOLD.
Three Launchpools running simultaneously creates additional attention across the Gate ecosystem, while FOLD's high headline APR makes it particularly noticeable.
But high APR does not mean guaranteed profit.
In fact, extremely high APR environments can also create additional selling pressure because participants may receive tokens and choose to sell their rewards.
That is why I am watching price reaction and volume rather than looking only at the APR number.
For me, the most important question is:
Can FOLD convert Launchpool attention into sustained spot-market demand?
If the answer is yes, the current recovery could develop into a much larger move.
My Ideas
My idea is to watch the $0.070–$0.072 zone very closely.
If FOLD holds above it and breaks $0.0765 with strong volume, I would consider the technical structure increasingly bullish.
The next psychological target would be:
$0.080
Then:
$0.090
Then:
$0.100
However, if FOLD loses $0.070 and volume starts decreasing, I would not chase the downside either. I would wait for price to establish a new support structure.
For a volatile token like FOLD, confirmation is more important than prediction.
My Target
My immediate technical target:
$0.0765–$0.080
Next target:
$0.085–$0.090
Major psychological target:
$0.100
If the altcoin market remains strong and FOLD develops sustained momentum:
$0.120–$0.150
Longer-term major resistance:
$0.1754 ATH
But I would only consider the higher targets after the market confirms each previous resistance level.
Final View
The combination of three simultaneous Gate Launchpools + millions of tokens in rewards + FOLD's unusually high APR + strong recent volume makes this a very interesting market event.
FOLD is currently around $0.072, with approximately $23.7M market cap and more than $23M in reported 24-hour volume in the latest CoinMarketCap snapshot.
The token has already recovered strongly from the September lows, but it remains far below its previous ATH.
So my current technical map is:
Current zone: ~$0.072
Immediate support: $0.070–$0.072
Strong support: $0.067–$0.068
Major support: $0.063–$0.065
First resistance: $0.076–$0.077
Breakout level: $0.080
Next targets: $0.085 → $0.090 → $0.100
Extended targets: $0.120 → $0.150
Major ATH resistance: ~$0.1754
My bias is cautiously bullish above $0.070, but FOLD remains a high-volatility token, so I would want to see volume-backed breakouts rather than chasing sudden pumps.
The Launchpool gives FOLD attention.
Price action will decide whether that attention becomes a real trend.
#ThreeLaunchpoolsLiveSimultaneously #GateLaunchpool #FOLDUSDT

🔥 Robinhood Chain Memes are pulling back — buying the dip or staying on the sidelines?
$PONS , $CASHCAT and other trending Memes have pulled back from recent highs. Is this just a shakeout, or is the hype cooling off? 👀
Post your take on Gate Square with #GateMeme 👇
🎯 1 valid Meme post = 1 more draw entry
🎁 300 Meme rewards every week
📈 First valid trade post each week = 50 USDT Futures Position Trial Voucher guaranteed
👉 Join now: https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6197

#NvidiaHitsRecordHigh #NvidiaAdds$150BBuybackAuthorization
CRYPTO MEETS WALL STREET — AND THE GAP IS GETTING SMALLER.
Something important is happening in the investment world.
The old separation between crypto and traditional markets is gradually fading.
Gate is expanding beyond digital assets with real stock trading, giving users access to thousands of U.S. stocks and ETFs through a unified investment environment. 🌎📈
And if there’s one stock that perfectly represents the technology-driven market of this era, it’s $NVDA.
🔥 NVIDIA is no longer simply a chip company.
Its technology sits at the heart of the AI infrastructure revolution—supporting data centers, machine learning, cloud computing, high-performance computing, robotics, and a growing range of next-generation technologies.
AI is becoming one of the biggest investment themes of the decade.
Companies are spending billions on computing power.
Cloud infrastructure is expanding.
Data centers are scaling.
Businesses are racing to integrate AI.
And NVIDIA remains one of the most closely watched companies positioned within that ecosystem.
But the bigger story goes beyond $NVDA.
💡 It’s about access.
Crypto investors have traditionally operated in one ecosystem.
Stock investors operated in another.
Now those worlds are moving closer together.
With crypto, stocks, and ETFs increasingly accessible through broader digital investment platforms, investors can explore different markets without treating each one as an isolated universe.
📊 Different markets. Different drivers. Different opportunities.
Tech stocks → earnings & innovation
Gold → inflation & macro conditions
Crypto → liquidity & adoption
ETFs → diversified market exposure
That doesn't eliminate risk.
Markets can move sharply in either direction, and even the strongest companies face valuation, earnings, competition, and macroeconomic risks.
The key remains the same:
Do your research. Manage risk. Stay disciplined.
Because the real transformation may not be one particular stock or one particular platform.
It may be the emergence of a financial ecosystem where traditional markets and digital assets increasingly exist side by side.
🚀 Crypto investors are looking at stocks.
Stock investors are looking at crypto.
And the market infrastructure is evolving with them.
The next era of investing may not be about choosing crypto OR stocks.
It may be about understanding both.
👀 If you could trade only ONE U.S. stock on Gate, would $NVDA be your pick—or something else?
Drop your ticker below. 👇
#NVDA #NVIDIA

Long $NVDA at 234.57 with 10X on Gate Perps. Currently at -0.52%, holding the line while the market decides. Patience pays.
who else is watching NVDA? #Gate #NVDA #Perps

US STOCKS CLOSE HIGHER AS WEAK JOBS DATA EASES RATE-HIKE FEARS
Wall Street finished the week in positive territory after a much weaker-than-expected September jobs report reduced expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
WEEKLY MARKET SNAPSHOT
Dow Jones: +0.5% → 51,176.96
S&P 500: +0.7% → 7,722.72
Nasdaq 100: +1.0% → 30,807.93
Russell 2000: +0.9%
The technology sector led the move, with semiconductor ETFs gaining around 2%, supported by strength in Nvidia, Micron Technology and Advanced Micro Devices.
JOBS REPORT CHANGES THE RATE-OUTLOOK
September payrolls increased by only 29,000, significantly below the 84,000 consensus expectation.
At the same time, unemployment rose to 4.2%, compared with the expected 4.1%.
The softer labor-market data helped reduce expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate hike. Market pricing for an October increase fell to around 22%, down from 64% a week earlier.
Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials also emphasized the need to evaluate incoming economic data before considering additional tightening.
BOND MARKET REMAINS IMPORTANT
Treasury yields remained elevated despite the weaker employment report.
10-Year Treasury Yield: 5.28%
30-Year Treasury Yield: 5.62%
The elevated long-term yields remain an important factor for equities, particularly growth and technology stocks.
STOCKS IN FOCUS
NVDA — Nvidia
Semiconductor strength continued, keeping Nvidia among the major technology names in focus.
BA — Boeing
The FAA reportedly determined that a software issue affecting the 737 MAX does not pose a flight-safety concern.
SPCX — SpaceX
Shares moved sharply higher as investors focused on increased launch activity and potential artificial-intelligence computing contracts.
APLD — Applied Digital
The AI data-center developer gained after announcing a major capacity milestone at its Polaris Forge 1 campus in North Dakota.
RIVN — Rivian
Rivian reported 19,248 Q3 deliveries, above expectations of roughly 18,000 vehicles, as production of its lower-priced R2 SUV continues to ramp.
WHAT MATTERS NEXT?
The weaker jobs report has changed the near-term rate narrative, but elevated Treasury yields remain a key variable for risk assets.
With monetary-policy expectations shifting quickly, upcoming inflation data, Federal Reserve communication and labor-market indicators could determine whether this equity strength continues.
The market ended the week strong — but the next major move will likely depend on the data.
#USSeptemberJobs29K #BrentTops$106USTalksStall

$GTC #Btc #Eth #crypto #Coins
“Bullish momentum remains strong. GTC may test $0.20–$0.22 if buying pressure continues. Watch for a pullback before entry.