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On July 6, 2026, data from the CME “FedWatch” tool showed that the probability of the Fed holding interest rates unchanged at the July FOMC meeting was 77%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike was 23%.
This distribution of probabilities means that the market has basically ruled out a rate hike in July from the baseline scenario. Meanwhile, after personally attending the European Central Bank’s Sintra annual conference, Morgan Stanley’s Chief Global Economist reiterated the baseline forecast that the Fed will not raise rates for the entirety of 2026.
In 2026, when int
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GateInstantTrends
Federal Reserve July probability of keeping interest rates unchanged 77%: How does the cooling of rate hike expectations affect the crypto market?
On July 6, 2026, data from the CME FedWatch Tool showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged at the July FOMC meeting is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 23%. This probability distribution indicates that the market has largely ruled out a July rate hike from the base scenario. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, after attending the ECB's Sintra conference, reiterated the firm's base forecast that th
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HighAmbition:
To The Moon 🌕
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The CSRC has now established that on July 2, An Mou (male, online alias: Nanjing Road Baby Boss) fabricated and disseminated false and misleading information involving the listed company Offcn Education, seriously disrupting the order of the securities market, severely undermining public order and good customs, and suspected of violating the Securities Law. The Commission has decided to file a case for investigation against An Mou. Next, the Commission will, based on a comprehensive investigation, seriously pursue the illegal responsibilities of the relevant parties. If suspected of a crime, t
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Bitcoin long around 63000, moved 800 points, Ethereum long around 1750, moved 40 points, not much volatility, take profits and secure gains $ETH $GT $BTC
ETH1.99%
GT1.35%
BTC2.55%
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Coinbase $BTC Premium Index Hits Record 50-Day Negative Premium Streak
The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has remained negative for 50 consecutive days since May 19, extending the longest negative streak since the indicator was launched. The latest reading stands at -0.0742%. The previous record was a 40-day negative streak from January 16 to February 24 this year, longer than the roughly 30-day streak seen during the "1011 crash." Prolonged negative premiums are often associated with weaker U.S. institutional demand or short-term market pressure.
#GUSDYieldRisesto3.8%
BTC2.55%
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AlphaAfterTea:
-0.0742% seems small, but 50 consecutive days indicate continuous outflow of US funds, which is different from the 40-day wave at the beginning of the year.
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#StrategySells3588BTC
The cryptocurrency market is once again in the spotlight as reports surrounding #StrategySells3588BTC spark discussions across the digital asset community. Whenever a major institutional player moves thousands of Bitcoin, investors naturally begin asking the same questions: Is this the beginning of a larger sell-off? Is Bitcoin entering a bearish phase? Or is this simply a strategic portfolio adjustment?
Selling 3,588 BTC is undoubtedly a significant transaction, representing hundreds of millions of dollars depending on Bitcoin's market price. Large transactions often cr
BTC2.55%
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HighAmbition:
good information 👍👍
This price action is really a bit ridiculous! 🔥📉 The last glance before bed was still grinding at the high—then in the morning when I opened the chart, it gave the answer right away. This round of short positions on $ASTEROID was realized, and the timing was just right, and the rhythm felt great ✅ Before the market was fully up and running, I saw that its rebound didn’t have much strength. The resistance overhead would soften the moment it was touched, and the volume didn’t catch up. At that time, I was already getting the long idea in around 0.0001670 👀 In positions like this, I’m not scar
BTC2.46%
ETH1.69%
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I can't believe what I'm seeing...
I just became the #2 fastest-growing crypto publication on Substack. 🤯
Less than 2 weeks ago, I started as the first Flare-focused publication dedicated to deep dives and research.
Thank you to every single one of you for your support. ❤️
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BULLISH: 🇺🇸 President Trump announces support to remove taxes on Bitcoin and crypto transactions.
BTC2.55%
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Don’t blink! With this smash down, the bears directly broke the rhythm 📉🔥 A few days ago, before bed, I was watching $CYS still hard at the highs—on the surface it looked like it was holding steady, but on closer inspection it was all fake: the volume didn’t keep up, nobody took the upside push, and the suppression turned weak with the slightest touch.
Before the market had fully kicked off, I was watching the rebound strength of CYS—the more I looked, the more it looked like a long trap 👀 So at the time, around 0.5173, I executed my plan to open a long. I didn’t join the crowd chasing the
CYS-1.39%
BTC2.46%
ETH1.69%
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🐻 #Ethereum broke the downtrend! But the expected high-volume breakout did not happen. I think this breakout is a trap. I can understand this better when I evaluate it together with the BTC chart. I expect the decline to continue to the 1350$ support. Do you think the #ETH decline is over?
⚠️ It is not a promotion or investment advice. Charts and comments are for analysis purposes.
ETH1.99%
BTC2.55%
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That last drop was really satisfying! 🔥📉 A few days ago in the early hours when I was looking at $BSB , it was still pretending to be strong at a high level, with prices going back and forth, but the details were clear: the rally had no volume, insufficient support, and it fell back as soon as it hit resistance above. During the session's top grinding, I focused on whether BSB had continued capital inflow, but the more I looked, the weaker it seemed 👀 So at that time I reminded: don't be led by the red market, execute a long when the short window appears. Now looking back, from 0.56315 to 0
BSB-6.52%
BTC2.46%
ETH1.69%
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📊 ethereum:native Analysis | Daily Timeframe
The $1,750 to $1,850 zone continues to act as Ethereum's key resistance
Every attempt to break above this range has been met with selling pressure, keeping buyers from gaining full control
What to watch next?
> A decisive daily close above $1,850 could confirm a breakout and strengthen the bullish outlook
> Until then, expect this zone to remain the key battleground between buyers and sellers
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #Altcoins
ETH1.99%
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I just turned $390 into $7
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traindogs have a long history on the rails.
They played a major role in driving economic growth and are still the backbone of our transportation system today.
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$PI
There will be more people
see it and discover it
PI0.09%
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$LAB Luckily I wasn't greedy, after eating up the funding fee and pulling it up, I ran away.
LAB-36.95%
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IWantToRecoverMyInvestmentAnd:
It should have crashed directly today.
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EVEING UPDATE
gate liveLIVE
2,389
live-coin
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Family, who can understand this! Once this candle comes through, the market stops pretending immediately📉🔥A few days ago, in the early hours, when everyone was still hesitating, I was watching that rebound in $CARV—volume didn’t keep up, and the resistance above was obvious. No one was stepping in as it went up, and the bearish vibe was already very strong👀📌The short position I gave back then was at 0.04188; now it has already dropped to 0.03509. Profit: +322.52%. This wave truly delivered the answer✅🎯The earlier grind was annoying, but once it actually played out, it’s really worth it. T
CARV-0.06%
BTC2.46%
ETH1.69%
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$LAB Save the green hair, please. The crypto community cannot be without green hair.
LAB-36.95%
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[The user has shared his/her trading data. Go to the App to view more.]
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GateUser-40da6f60:
Serves you right 😂
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The 2026 FIFA World Cup has now entered the knockout stage. Every match determines the fate of the remaining teams. One victory brings a step closer to the trophy, while one defeat ends the dream of becoming world champions. Moments like these also become the most exciting time for football fans to test their ability to read the tournament's flow through Gate Prediction Market.
During the knockout stage, Gate Prediction Market presents daily prediction challenges for major matches and various trending topics. From guessing match winners, teams advancing to the next round, to the chances of lif
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ThisIsTranslateContent::
Just go for it 👊
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