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Evening Bitcoin and Altcoin Strategy
In this round of upward movement, Bitcoin did not move in sync with Altcoins, which only rose individually. This kind of divergence-based rebound lacks consensus support, and the upward foundation is very unstable. Later, Bitcoin experienced a passive slight increase, mainly driven by a rebound in Altcoins, not collective bullish effort. This false rally is destined to be unsustainable, and a short-term pullback and correction are inevitable.
From a technical perspective, the price surged to test the key resistance at 2412 but quickly faced resistance and turned down, failing to break through the previous high pressure; subsequently, it repeatedly lost the 2360 level, breaking below the hourly bearish flag pattern, officially entering a bearish phase. Currently, it has first dipped to the support zone around 2300, and the key will be whether the lower support can hold effectively.
If the 2300 support fails to stabilize and breaks with increased volume, the next target is the 2251 range, waiting for a signal of stabilization and a halt in decline;
If the lower support holds effectively, a short-term rebound must recapture the resistance zone of 2339–2360 to break the current downtrend, return to a recovery phase, with the rebound target again at the 2412 resistance level.
Conversely, if the price remains weak and oscillates within the 2300–2339 range for the long term, that is the most favorable scenario for the bulls.
Trading Suggestions
A strong volume breakout and stabilization above 2325, follow the trend and go long on rebounds;
If the price drops below 2307 with high volume and fails to recover, directly follow the trend and go short, strictly managing stop-loss risks.
• Hourly level: Stabilize above 2325 and move upward, target 2339–2360;
• 4-hour level: Effectively break below 2308, bearish continuation downward, look for 2283–2251 in stages.
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