Technical Outlook: XRP Consolidates Near Major Support as Bears Maintain Control XRP is trading around $1.0367, continuing to consolidate near the lower end of its recent range. Price is currently sitting around the 20 EMA, but remains below the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, keeping the broader market structure bearish. The $1.005–$1.025 region remains an important demand area. XRP needs to reclaim the nearby resistance cluster before a meaningful recovery can develop. 📈 EMA Structure 20 EMA: $1.0367 50 EMA: $1.0808 100 EMA: $1.1619 200 EMA: $1.3522 XRP is currently trading around the 20 EMA, showing an attempt to stabilize after the recent decline. However, the 50 EMA at $1.0808 remains the first major resistance, while the 100 EMA at $1.1619 and 200 EMA at $1.3522 continue to cap the broader recovery. A sustained reclaim above the 50 EMA would be the first important confirmation that buyers are regaining control. 📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure The 0.236 Fibonacci level sits at $1.5656, representing a major higher-timeframe resistance. Higher Fibonacci levels remain: 0.382: $1.9123 0.5: $2.1926 0.618: $2.4728 0.786: $2.8718 1.0: $3.3800 XRP remains inside a prolonged descending structure, with lower highs forming beneath the major moving averages. The current $1.005–$1.025 region is therefore critical for maintaining the short-term stabilization structure. 🟢 Bullish Scenario A clean breakout and daily close above $1.0562–$1.0808 could provide the first confirmation of improving momentum. If buyers reclaim this region, XRP could target: $1.0562 $1.0808 — 50 EMA $1.1257 $1.1619 — 100 EMA $1.1794 $1.2422 $1.3522 — 200 EMA $1.5656 — 0.236 Fibonacci The $1.056–$1.081 region is particularly important because it combines nearby horizontal resistance with the 50 EMA. A successful reclaim of $1.1619 would significantly strengthen the recovery structure and could open the way toward $1.2422 → $1.3522. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Immediate support is concentrated around: $1.0367 — 20 EMA $1.022–$1.025 $1.0051 — Major support XRP is currently holding close to the lower support structure. A loss of $1.022–$1.025 would weaken the current stabilization attempt and increase the probability of a retest of $1.0051. A decisive breakdown below $1.005 would invalidate the current short-term recovery structure and could trigger another bearish expansion. 🧠 ICT / Market Structure The chart continues to show a broader bearish market structure, with XRP trading beneath the descending trendline and major EMA resistance. Recent price action around the $1.005–$1.025 region shows buyers attempting to defend the demand area. However, multiple BOS and OB zones remain above current price, creating significant overhead resistance. The key confirmation will be whether buyers can reclaim $1.0562 and then convert the $1.0808–$1.1257 region into support. Until that happens, the broader structure remains bearish-to-neutral. 📊 RSI Momentum RSI (14): 35.82 RSI remains below the neutral 50 level, indicating that bearish momentum is still dominant. The RSI is also approaching the 30 oversold region, meaning selling pressure is elevated and a relief bounce is possible if buyers defend the $1.005–$1.025 demand zone. A recovery above 50 would provide stronger confirmation of improving momentum, while a sustained move below 30 would indicate increasing bearish pressure. 🎯 Key Levels 🔴 Resistance $1.0562 $1.0808 — 50 EMA $1.1257 $1.1619 — 100 EMA $1.1794 $1.2422 $1.3522 — 200 EMA $1.5656 — 0.236 Fibonacci $1.9123 — 0.382 Fibonacci $2.1926 — 0.5 Fibonacci 🟢 Support $1.0367 — 20 EMA $1.022–$1.025 $1.0051 — Major support 📌 Final Outlook XRP remains in a broader bearish structure, with price trading below the 50, 100 and 200 EMA. RSI at 35.82 also confirms that bearish momentum remains dominant, although the market is approaching oversold conditions. A confirmed breakout above $1.0562–$1.0808 could initiate a short-term recovery toward $1.1257 → $1.1619 → $1.2422. Reclaiming the 100 EMA at $1.1619 would provide stronger bullish confirmation and could shift focus toward $1.2422 → $1.3522, followed by $1.5656. On the downside, losing $1.022–$1.005 would be a significant bearish signal and could invalidate the current stabilization structure. Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral below $1.081, with $1.005–$1.025 as the key support zone and $1.056–$1.081 as the first major breakout zone. $XRP ‌

The Swell 2026 conference by $XRP has confirmed 75+ speaking guests. It’s estimated that more than 1,500 people will attend—this is quite a lineup. Bro, take a look: the big hand behind Deutsche has invited big players like Robinhood and BNY to show up on stage, making it an institutional “Show.” Let’s just watch the drama unfold like spectators. Promotional activities for industry summits like this have limited short-term impact on the coin price. They’re more like business development—strengthening the on-chain ecosystem. Don’t easily treat it as a bullish signal and get cut off for it.

$XRP is moving through a tight range right now, showing small fluctuations but still holding steady overall. I’m keeping a close eye on this zone because once momentum returns, XRP could quickly shift from quiet consolidation into a stronger move. For now, patience matters more than chasing every small swing.