I just noticed something interesting about crypto volatility this week. So over the weekend, crypto prices dropped sharply due to news about regional conflicts, but suddenly rebounded sharply after certain news. Bitcoin rose from below $64K to $77.89K, Solana jumped, and Ether returned to around $2.3K. But what's strange is that these movements happened in extremely thin liquidity over the weekend. That means, the rebound might just be superficial, not solid.

The real value is seen on the opposite side—when the traditional markets open and institutional capital starts to react. If oil spikes and equities open lower, crypto optimism can disappear immediately. Polymarket shows a fairly high chance of a ceasefire, so if that happens, this rally could continue. But if not, we might revert to the pressure seen last week. Today's movements show Bitcoin still flat, Solana slightly down, and Ether also down. So basically, we are still in an uncertain zone—highly dependent on what the global markets do.