The question everyone is asking now is when this cryptocurrency bear market we're experiencing will end. That's right, after that absurd peak of $126K back in October 2025, Bitcoin plummeted. We're in April now, and the price is around $77K, which means a nearly 40% drop from the top. It's no joke.

But here’s the interesting detail: this isn’t surprising if you look at history. We've been through this before. The last full bear market was from 2021 to 2022 — it started in November 2021 with Bitcoin at $69K and dropped to $15.5K in November 2022. That was 12 months of pure hardship, a 77% decline. Before that, 2017-2018 was even worse, with an 84% drop. So we’re within a pattern that repeats every cycle.

The cryptocurrency market works like this: after an explosive bullish run, the other side of the coin comes. It’s no accident, it’s a cycle. And this one that started last October has already lasted 6 months. On-chain data shows clear signs — the rally index has dropped drastically, institutional ETF flows have turned into sellers, and sentiment is at extreme fear. That’s exactly what you see at the bottom of a bear market.

Now, when will this bear market end? Here’s where it gets interesting. Analysts from CryptoQuant, Compass Point, and Pantera Capital are pointing to something very specific. Historically, crypto bear markets last between 9 and 18 months, with a median of 12 months. This current one started in October 2025, so we’re halfway through the typical duration. Most institutional voices predict that the bottom should come around Q3 2026, which means we still have a few months ahead.

What’s the expected support level? That varies a bit. Compass Point mentions $60K to $68K as the last entry point of the bear market. CryptoQuant sees a possibility of going down to $56K if macroeconomics worsen further. But the point is, we’re close to the bottom, not at the beginning of it.

What changes now is institutional participation. With Bitcoin ETFs operating for some time, flows are different. Some analysts think this cycle could be shorter and more volatile than 2022 precisely because of that. It might last only 3 to 6 months instead of the traditional 12.

So when will the bear market end? Probably between June and September this year, if predictions hold true. But it heavily depends on what happens with the global macroeconomy. If there’s a recession, it could go deeper. If the economy stabilizes, it could come sooner.

The important thing is to understand that this is normal. Bear markets separate those who stay from those who run away. If you have reserves in stablecoins, are doing DCA, and don’t panic, this period is when the best positions for the next cycle are built. Historically, those who buy at the bottom and hold capture the biggest gains when the market turns.

This is educational, not financial advice. But Bitcoin’s history shows us that when we’re down here, that’s when opportunities appear. You just need discipline not to mess up.