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I've noticed a growing market opinion that the crypto winter may be coming to an end. A well-known market analyst recently discussed this topic, indicating that this cold season could end by April based on several indicators.
What's interesting here is that market sentiment remains very weak, which is actually a typical sign of approaching the bottom. People are still pessimistic, and negative attitudes persist, but this often precedes a genuine price stabilization.
From a technical perspective, the picture looks intriguing. Bitcoin is currently trading around $77,900, and Ethereum around $2,320. Previous analyses had expected further declines, but recent movements suggest selling pressure may be nearing its end.
What interests me most is the historical pattern that repeats itself across previous market cycles. Each time, we see the same behavior: sharp decline, then stabilization, then a final attempt below support levels before a rally. This last move often represents the actual bottom rather than a continuation of the collapse.
There's another thing I've noticed: retail participation remains low compared to last year, but institutions and major companies continue to participate. This contradiction aligns perfectly with what we typically see in the late stages of corrections.
Macroeconomic conditions are still uncertain, of course, with ongoing interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks. But these pressures haven't changed the overall long-term participation trend.
In summary? We might be very close to completing this cycle. If the analysis is correct, April could be the last potential bottom point before we see a real recovery move. Honestly, the current market structure seems perfectly aligned with this scenario. Things that look bad now may actually be signs that we're near a turning point.