I have recently noticed that Bitcoin is experiencing an interesting oscillation phase between very clear support and resistance levels. This week has been a real lesson in how quantitative models and precise data analysis can help better understand market movements, similar to simulating market behavior through historical data.

Last week, we closely monitored the 84,000 to 94,500 USD range as a major oscillation zone. In fact, the price moved between 89,311 and 94,789 USD, which confirms exactly what we predicted. Based on this analysis, we successfully executed a short-term sell trade that achieved a cumulative profit of 3.4%, reflecting the importance of sticking to the predefined strategy.

From the weekly chart perspective, current indicators suggest a slowdown in the pace of decline, but there are no clear signs yet of a trend reversal. Market sentiment is currently neutral, and buyers attempted to break the main resistance line but faced selling pressure. This means we have entered a phase requiring caution due to market volatility.

On the daily level, last week saw a "rise first, then decline" movement. In the first half, buying power was strong, but it started to wane in the second half. This places us in a zone of conflict between the two forces, and daily levels have not yet confirmed the final trend.

Based on this analysis, my expectations for the current week are that Bitcoin will continue oscillating within the 84,000 to 94,500 USD range. But three scenarios should be carefully monitored:

First, if the price remains oscillating within the range, I will maintain 65% of my core positions (sell trades), and wait for a short-term sell opportunity when the price rebounds to 93,000-94,500 USD with pattern signals. I will set the stop-loss at 95,500 USD and gradually close positions as support levels are approached.

Second, if the price effectively drops below 84,000 USD, I will follow the sell and target 80,000 USD as the first profit point. The stop-loss will be set at 1.5% above the entry price.

Third, if the price manages to hold strongly above 94,500 USD, this could indicate the start of a strong corrective wave, and in this case, I will liquidate short positions and wait for new opportunities.

Regarding key pressure levels: 92,000-93,000 USD, then 94,500-95,000 USD, and finally 97,500-99,500 USD. Support levels are at 89,500-91,000 USD, then 86,000-86,500 USD, and finally 83,500-84,500 USD.

This week’s noteworthy part is the intense statements from Federal Reserve officials. There is a rare window of speeches and comments that will give us important clues about monetary policy directions. These statements could influence interest rate expectations and the dollar, and consequently, high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

If officials adopt a cautious stance and emphasize the continuation of a restrictive policy, this could put short-term pressure on crypto assets. But if they start acknowledging economic slowdown and a reduced need for further tightening, this could help reprice expectations in favor of easing in the medium term.

My personal advice: whenever opening any position, set a stop-loss immediately. When reaching 1% profit, move the stop-loss to break-even. At 2% profit, shift the stop to 1% profit. After that, with each additional 1% profit, move the stop by the same percentage. This is a dynamic way to protect profits while allowing the trade to grow.

Remember that the market changes quickly, and all these analyses and strategies are based on my personal judgment and do not constitute investment advice. Do your own research, be cautious, and manage your risks wisely.