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Look at what's happening with Bitcoin financing right now. The rate has dropped to -6%, one of the worst levels in the last three months, and this is a sign that many people are betting on a decline. After that move down, sellers became very aggressive.
The curious thing is that while this is happening, the open contract volume increased significantly, going from 668,000 BTC to 687,000 BTC. In other words, even with this selling pressure, people continue to enter the market. When the financing rate stays negative like this, it usually means traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain a short position, which is basically a warning that the market is very pessimistic.
But here’s the interesting part: with so much liquidation happening, over $500 million in 24 hours, including $420 million in long positions forcibly closed, analysts are talking about a short squeeze, which is basically when these aggressive sellers end up having to cover their positions suddenly. What is a short squeeze in practice? It’s when the price rises quickly and forces those betting on a decline to run for cover, creating more buying pressure.
Bitcoin is now trying to recover, and if it manages to break resistance strongly, a short squeeze could become a reality very quickly. This combination of extreme negative rate with increasing volume is like a powder keg waiting for a spark. Understanding what a short squeeze is helps to see why these moments can be explosive in the market.