7.19 General Lu’s next-week trend forecast
Based on a comprehensive assessment of the global macro environment, fund flows, and on-chart technical formations, the overall trend for next week’s BTC remains relatively weak. Any rebounds should be treated as an opportunity for positioning from high levels; multiple external negative factors will continue to weigh on the market.
I. On the level of the external macro environment
1. Interest rates continue to tighten, suppressing risk assets
Recent U.S. inflation and employment data have remained strong. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have

$BTC
2022 vs 2026
Compared the charts and this is what I have come up with.
Bottom is in?
Discuss.
#bitcoin #bearmarket #bullmarket

HYPE: Will a reversal happen in 4 hours? Bear signals are ready
$HYPE /USDT - SHORT to sell
Trading plan:
Entry: 60.795 – 61.023
SL: 62.005
TP1: 60.087
TP2: 59.539
TP3: 58.718
Why focus on this setup?
- RSI 15m 48.6: momentum is weak, rebounds lack strength.
- The 4h bearish structure is complete. TP1 is at 60.087, TP2 is at 59.539.
- SL at 62.005 is clear, with a risk-reward of 1:2.
- Why now? EMA suppression + before a breakdown below the lower edge of the range.
Discussion:
Will this move reach TP2 first, or will it bait longs and rebound—trapping long positions? Have you placed your orders

NEAR 4-hour timeframe hides danger—are the short signals already maxed out?
$NEAR /USDT - SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 1.9181 – 1.9243
SL: 1.9508
TP1: 1.8990
TP2: 1.8843
TP3: 1.8621
Why focus on this setup?
- Current price is 1.9212; the 15-minute RSI is only 45, with weak momentum and no strength in the rebound.
- The 1-day trend is ranging, but the 4-hour direction is clearly pointing to SHORT, with 55% confidence.
- Why now? ATR is only 0.0123; volatility is tightening. Once it breaks below 1.9181, the risk of a faster downside move is high.
Discussion:
Will this move reach TP1 at 1.8990 firs

WAIC online meetup point — do you think Doubao’s legs look like a stapler?

$ESPORTS What are you doing? Emptying one out, one bag at a time.

$BTC 7.19 Crypto market daily analysis
⚠️Risk warning: Crypto currencies are highly volatile. This content is for market reference only and does not constitute investment advice. High-leverage contracts can easily lead to liquidation.
BTC current price is $64,500, up slightly 1.4% in the past 24 hours. After yesterday’s pullback, funds flowed back in and repaired the chart. Throughout the day, price held above the $64,500 level and oscillated while trending upward. Long-side follow-through has noticeably strengthened.
ETH also strengthened in tandem to $1,870. Institutional funds slightly rot

#SummerCreationCamp
Morgan Stanley has officially set the sponsor fee for both its Ethereum ETF and Solana ETF at 0.14% annually, making them the lowest-cost crypto ETF products in the US market right now. This fee structure clearly puts Morgan Stanley ahead of every competitor in both categories and signals a price war in the crypto ETF space that will likely force other institutions to reduce their fees as well. The Ethereum ETF space currently has Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini Trust as the lowest fee provider at 0.15%, and Morgan Stanley has beaten that by just 0.01% but even that small

🚨🇺🇸 Oracle's 5-year CDS just hit a record 198 basis points, worse than 2008 levels.
S&P downgraded Oracle to BBB- last week, one notch above junk, and said plainly it had underestimated how much cash Oracle's AI buildout would actually eat.
Real risk here isn't just spending. Half of Oracle's unfulfilled orders trace back to one customer, OpenAI. That's customer concentration on top of negative free cash flow.
This comes the same week Kimi K3 rattled the entire AI trade. One analyst called Oracle's credit stress the "canary in the coal mine" for the broader rally. Credit markets are pricing

#夏日创作营
The Crypto Market Won't Test Your Intelligence First. It Will Test Your Discipline.
Every bull cycle begins with opportunity.
It often ends with regret.
Not because good projects disappear.
But because many investors abandon their plan the moment emotions take control.
This summer, the biggest challenge isn't finding the next trending token. It's staying committed to a strategy when the market becomes noisy.
Every week brings a new story.
AI dominates the headlines.
RWA gains institutional attention.
DeFi starts rebuilding.
Gaming tokens suddenly explode.
Memecoins return without warn

July 21 Large Unlocking Alert

$PI Air force, go up! Dump the market!

Study this chart with $btc and $iwm
Then you may see the comparison between 2019-2020 BTC and the mid cycle theory..

JUST IN: Michael Saylor’s Strategy releases Bitcoin tracker updates again, hinting at another BTC accumulation. If historical patterns hold, a disclosure follow-up on holdings could signal fresh demand. $BTC 🚀

Will you dare to follow ONDO’s 4h short signal?

$ONDO /USDT - SHORT the trade

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.3466 – 0.3488
SL: 0.3584
TP1: 0.3397
TP2: 0.3343
TP3: 0.3263

Why focus on this structure?
RSI on 15m is at 41.36, and weakness is obvious. The 1D trend is ranging, but the 4h direction is already locked into SHORT. Entry is around 0.3477, TP1 0.3397, TP2 0.3343, SL 0.3584. Why now? Because the 15m RSI has been continuously declining, and bearish momentum is being released.

Discussion:
Will this move hit TP2 first, or is it a bull trap?

💸 $COAI LONG
Entry: 0.305 – 0.318
TP1: 0.345
TP2: 0.385
TP3: 0.440
TP4: 0.520
SL: 0.285

If a man becomes unemployed for a year, or has long-term no source of income—how long do you think the relationship between two people can still last? How long can the love between the two of them really last?
Cat Brother saw this recently and suddenly became very curious about the question.
What do you think?

BNB short win rate is 95%—are you brave enough to follow?
$BNB /USDT - SHORT sell
Trading plan:
Entry: 566.5 – 567.3
SL: 570.7
TP1: 564.0
TP2: 562.1
TP3: 559.2
Why focus on this structure?
- Bearish signals on the 4-hour timeframe; the 15-minute RSI is only 38.07, with momentum exhaustion.
- Current price is 566.9; TP1 is 564.0, TP2 is 562.1, and the stop loss is 570.7.
- The daily trend is clearly bearish; 1-hour ATR is only 1.6—after volatility tightens, the downside may accelerate.
- Why now? Low RSI + trend alignment means the probability of a short-term rebound is low.
Discussion:
Will th