JUST IN: UBS lifts AMD price target to $730 while keeping Buy. Implication: upside risk from stronger data-center/server CPU growth and margin resiliency could support multiple expansion. $AMD

#美股# Over the past two days, many people have been discussing whether the Federal Reserve might suddenly hike rates. The reason is that international oil prices have continued to rise and the situation in the Middle East has escalated, causing the market to start worrying that inflation could pick up again.
As a result, bets in the rate-prediction market for a 25-basis-point hike in July have clearly increased. Over the past week, the probability of a rate hike rose from under 5% to about 25%.
But this doesn’t mean the market thinks a rate hike is certain.
Whether it’s CME interest-rate future

The short positions today were still too conservatively placed.

$DEXE You sold too early—damn, when they pulled up to 2.94, it threw you off. You were originally up more than 600 u. Sigh—you sold at 2.7 early and ended up closing 1,400 units; what a waste.

$1,430,000,000 in BTC & ETH Options Expire Today
🔸 Bitcoin ($BTC ) • 19,000 options expiring
• Notional value: $1.2B
• Put/Call Ratio: 0.89 (slightly more bullish positioning)
• Max Pain Price: $64,500
🔹 Ethereum ($ETH ) • 125,000 options expiring
• Notional value: $230M
• Put/Call Ratio: 1.25 (more bearish positioning)
• Max Pain Price: $1,875
As options approach expiry, prices often experience increased volatility as traders adjust or hedge their positions.
Keep an eye on price action around these key levels, especially after settlement.

July 24 Afternoon “Er Bing” Quick Analysis
In the afternoon, it briefly surged to test the 1908 high point, then met selling pressure and pulled back. Judging from the 15-minute chart, after the spike, bullish momentum quickly faded; the price gradually drifted lower. After briefly probing 1858, it rebounded slightly and is currently in a high-range consolidation and adjustment phase.
There is clear resistance overhead in the short term. If it cannot regain and hold the 1900 level, it will most likely continue with range-bound repair. On the downside, pay close attention to support around 1858

$BTC Signal: The 1H rebound is weak; shorts continue
$BTC The 1H rebound to 65,470 quickly dropped back. Current price: 64,964. The 1H MACD forms a golden cross, but the histogram contracts; the 4H MACD dead cross expands. The Bollinger Bands’ 4H midline suppression is effective. Order book depth is imbalanced by -61%, with sell orders accumulating. Funding rate is 0.0058%, neutral. Buying momentum is thin; rebound highs are gradually decreasing.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry / pending orders: 64,798.038 - 64,964.900
🛑Stop loss: 65,799.211
🚀Target 1: 63,713.434
🚀Target 2: 63,087.701
🛡️Trade ma

#BTC I posted something this morning—has anyone jumped in yet? Stop saying you weren’t told to “get the gains”—haha.

After early to mid-day trading: BTC long/short ideas, and the SOL short order has already perfectly validated the idea on the chart
It’s still buy the dip and go long for low entry, then short at resistance. The strategy shared in the morning for BTC was to go long around 65,000, take profit at 65,500–66,200.
The pullback high was 65,700+, with profit targets at 700+. At this point, it met resistance, which matches the short-at-resistance strategy for 65,500–65,800.
Current price is around 65,000, with a slight pullback. There’s also room for profit of 700+. By the afternoon session, profit sp

BTC and ETH have both rebounded with a small recovery after breaking out of their dip, but many people see a few red K-lines and think the bottom is in, rushing to buy the dip and go long.
From the one-hour chart, it’s clear that this rebound is only a technical repair after a bottoming move. The MACD double lines are still below the zero line, and the KDJ indicators are all close to the high zone, entering an overbought range. Meanwhile, there is strong sell pressure at the upper Bollinger upper band.
No large-scale decline structure has changed. In the short term, upside rebound room is very

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This round of market action: SOL is moving in tandem with the big Bitcoin’s weakness; there’s no independent bullish catalyst. Any rebound is a shorting window. Rely on moving averages and the cost-basis peak to set the pressure boundaries—don’t chase shorts blindly; wait for the rebound to be in place before setting up the layout, and let the risk-reward advantage reach its maximum. The broader market trend fully validates the morning strategy. $SOL ‌#美国对60个经济体加征关税

bitcoin:native to $45K:
> None of you will buy it "its going to get worse"
> If you buy it, you'll sell the bounce to $50K and forget about the "what could be" if that was the bottom
> You have no idea if it happens
> If it doesn't happen, you will be afraid of buying the local top all the way up
Saylor FUD + Quantum FUD + AI Bubble Burst Fears + Rate Hike expectations rising + Middle East tensions + Severe underperformance vs any other industry
All of this and bitcoin:native is still above $60K
A lot of you are waiting for conditions in which you will fail miserably and just go into the next

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Do your country still use those lantern?

As international oil prices keep rising, with the 10-year US Treasury yield breaking above 4.7% and the US Dollar Index moving back above 101, the market has begun to worry that inflation pressure may resurface.
Against this backdrop, CME data shows that expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate decision to raise rates by 25 basis points in July have rebounded to 37.9%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged has fallen to 62.1%, and expectations for rate cuts have basically exited market pricing.
For risk assets, higher oil prices mean increased inflation pressure; higher US Tre

While majors held range, small caps stole the show. Thursday tape was led by a Trump-family linked token WLFI, up 12.18% to $0.063, lifting its cap back near $2B despite still far from prior peak. MORPHO added close to 4% to $1.98, holding its spot among top AI-linked gainers of last two weeks. ENA rose 2% to $0.092, a slow grind that has seen it beat most DeFi peers over past seven days even though it trades 90% below Sep 2025 top.
On the weak side, Lighter LIT fell 2.96%, its third red close as profit taking hit after a 200% plus run from May to early July. That split tells the story of a se

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