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gumg

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$BTC is trying to confirm a local bottom and close above the 50 day moving average ($80.7K)
Expect volatility in the next 24hrs with FOMC and earnings season
BTC-0.67%
you can already see the coins that will lead the market on the next leg higher
no need to overcomplicate it
$ZEC is my biggest position again, as of yesterday
average entry: $1,230
also added $PUMP and $HYPE . those 3 are pretty much my whole portfolio
the only leverage position I have atm is an Oil short
still holding a lot of cash, because I could be wrong
ZEC+1.16%
PUMP-1.06%
HYPE+0.24%
these are all the times BTC fell 5+ days in a row in 2026
the first 4 times, it was down 10.5% on average 15 days later
but we've been in an uptrend since $58K, and the one time it happened since then, BTC was 24% higher 15 days later
we're in another one of these streaks right now
if it ends today, by the next 15 days we've been through FOMC, midterms and a decision on Oil rejecting or breaking higher to ATHs
in bull markets consolidations end with markets going up, and although one data point isn't enough to say, I am more bullish than bearish
BTC-0.67%
$SOL is the only token with positive ETF flows in the last 30 days
ETH is the worst, with -$1B
post-image
SOL-0.77%
ETH+1.31%
$HYPE is the only large cap with a clear bullish catalyst this month
anthropic IPOs on november 16, and it'll be bigger than SPCX
hyperliquid already has a pre-IPO $ANT market, so tradfi will be trading and sharing that chart all week
narrative alone is enough for me to bid $HYPE. if volume is massive, it outperforms every other large cap
HYPE+0.24%
ANTHROPIC+0.63%
SPCX+1.15%
Markets dumped leading to the SPCX IPO
SPY -2%
Nasdaq -3.%
BTC -0.4%
Will the same happen with Anthropic $ANT?
post-image
SPCX+1.15%
SPY+0.06%
NDAQ-0.36%
BTC-0.67%
$80K doesn't matter, price is compressing and showing no bias
Low liquidity, doom campaigning pre-midterms, maximum uncertainty on AI hacks, geopolitical tensions
I am leaning more into BTC pricing in a lot of things at once and stalling until midterms, not collapsing
What still worries me:
• What does Trump do if he loses the midterms and has nothing left to lose?
• What happens with Israel/Iran if Netanyahu loses his election?
• When do we get the first real AI attack on public infrastructure and how will market react?
All in all, still have a lot of cash, but have been nibbling BTC & PUMP,
BTC-0.67%
PUMP-1.06%
ZEC+1.16%
Holy....Lula won the Brazil elections and their stock market just CRASHED 25% on Hyperliquid
post-image
HYPE+0.33%
Seeing lots of people expecting blackouts on the energy grid and other scary stuff
Am I supposed to start panicking before others do or what?
Have been preparing a lot of food and water supply + other stuff lately
Curious to hear what you guys suggest?
Looks like PumpFun has flipped FOMO in daily active users
PumpFun: 63K
FOMO: 55K
post-image
crypto is dead, tokens are dead
there are businesses worth investing in that happen to have a token instead of a stock
and there are shitcoins
it's time to forget this space as it was and see it for what it is
this is bullish btw
post-image
TOKEN-0.16%
Bought Bitcoin ~$80.2K
The recent drawdown created complacency on shorts IMO and $80K held so far after 2 failed attempts at breaking below
After further consideration I think $NEAR $HYPE $SOL will underperform on the bounce vs $ZEC $PUMP $VVV
Reason why: some printed new lows yesterday vs last week and others higher lows
Reasons to buy BTC:
> Shorts complacency after 20 days of drawdown/range + alts bleeding + macro fears and BTC still in the $80K to $87K range
> Price action this weekend may have been in anticipation of US move on Iran which hasn't materialised (so far), can imagine relief
BTC-0.67%
HYPE+0.24%
SOL-0.77%
ZEC+1.16%
PUMP-1.06%
very worrisome to see btc + alts drill down with no spot bid to absorb while shorts keep max leveraging and not getting punished on a low liquidity environment
opportunity is coming but you really don't want to commit too hard before markets open on monday
BTC-0.67%
$SOL is $3 away from the bull market support band at $98
If Bitcoin goes sub $80K, SOL can drop to the low $90
But I'm leaning towards a recovery by end of next week
If you're bullish long term, this is where you want to buy
post-image
SOL-0.77%
BTC-0.67%
Arthur Hayes dumped $22M overnight
To be fair, I agree $80K is heavy and we'll likely see lower before going higher
But find it crazy how he can shill so hard at the highs and then sell at the lows
Shows how bound we are to price action to supporting our ideas
I am getting nervous
1 year ago, my bank manager told me I was the only client of his investing in risk assets
today he told me he's never seen so many clients asking to get into stocks
I live in a country where people are happy earning 2% a year on savings
You guarantee negative PNL from the market gods in the future the more time you spend making fun of ppl's appearance and/or trades
"but he/she did this and is like that..." that does not excuse you from being retarded
the market gods will punish you, trust me
Bitcoin is the last thing hackers will go after when there are infinite easy exploits all over the internet
All it takes is a few prompts
Quantum gets solved atp in the next few years. Talk to people actually working on it, not LARPs
That should make you bullish
BTC-0.67%
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