ANews

#夏日创作营 As more and more people begin to believe the Federal Reserve won’t suddenly raise interest rates, macro risk is actually declining.
This is also one of the key reasons why BTC has been able to hold its strength recently.
However, this doesn’t mean the market will necessarily keep rising all the way.
What truly determines the market’s direction isn’t just whether rates will be raised, but when rate cuts will begin—and when liquidity will actually return to the market.
In the past few weeks, we’ve already seen more and more positive signals:
BlackRock continues to expand its crypto busin

#夏日创作营 Many people only focus on whether BTC is rising, but they ignore a more important signal.
Funding rates are telling us that bearish sentiment in the market is weakening.
When funding rates stay consistently low, it suggests that more and more people are willing to short, and market sentiment remains overly pessimistic.
And now, as BTC regains strength, the funding rates on mainstream CEXs and DEXs have started to return to normal ranges.
This indicates that the shorts are still there, but their advantage is no longer as clear as before.
More importantly, the biggest difference between t

#夏日创作营
The 7-day average trading volume for crypto spot is already down by nearly 80% compared with the peak in 2025%.
What does that mean? It’s not that everyone has no money.
It’s that more and more people are choosing to wait and see.
A real bear market isn’t one where everything crashes every day.
It’s when nobody wants to trade.
When prices rise, nobody chases.
When prices fall, nobody steps in to buy.
When there’s a rebound, nobody believes.
The market has entered a “wait for direction” state.
That’s also why many people recently feel that:
The market is very stable, but making money is

#夏日创作营 The $240 million BTC buy order from yesterday ultimately had zero BTC filled.
But it may have accomplished a more important task than “being filled”: propping the BTC price up above $63,850.
This buy order of 3,767 BTC was placed at $63,838 and stayed up for more than 10 hours. After that, BTC traded sideways for a long time above it, and sell orders never really tested the buy wall. The price then climbed steadily to around $64,900.
Many people think that unfilled limit orders are meaningless, which is the biggest misunderstanding of the order book.
In microstructure, publicly visible

#夏日创作营 In the short term, if the U.S. stock market continues to pull back, BTC will likely take pressure as well. But if it’s only a normal pullback in tech stocks—not a broader tightening of market liquidity—then BTC is falling in line with the market rather than its own fundamentals worsening.
From the market action, every time BTC rebounds to around $65k, sell-off pressure shows up. This suggests that many people are choosing to sell and cash out here. So what the market lacks right now isn’t good news, but fresh incremental capital. Only if new money keeps stepping in to absorb the supply

#预测世界杯英格兰VS法国
The semifinals loss made both England and France “the disappointed ones,” but the stage of the third-place match is never short of stories.
🇫🇷 Mbappé’s Golden Boot obsession: Mbappé currently leads the scoring chart with 8 goals. Although Messi has also scored 8 and has more assists, Mbappé still has a chance to make his final stand. Deschamps has confirmed that Mbappé will most likely continue to start. He’s only one game away from winning the Golden Boot in consecutive World Cups.
🏴 Kane’s four-year pain: In the 2022 Qatar World Cup quarterfinal, Kane missed a crucial penal

#夏日创作营 In the short term, if US stocks keep adjusting lower, BTC will most likely also come under pressure. However, if it’s only a normal pullback in technology stocks—not a broad tightening of market liquidity—then BTC would be falling in tandem with the broader market, not because its own fundamentals have deteriorated.
From the price action, every time BTC rebounds to around $65k, there is sell pressure. This indicates that many people are choosing to offload there; so what the market lacks right now isn’t positive news, but new incremental capital. Only if fresh money keeps stepping in to

#夏日创作营 From Beijing, heading north, crossing Yanshan, you can see the grasslands of the Mongolian Plateau. The mountain-fed streams in the northern foothills gather into one highland lake after another—those “nuor” (“淖尔”) of Mongolian place names.
Between one nuor and the next, the rivers grow rich in meanders. The most beautiful is the Lightning River. It would seem the first person to name it must have been on the mountains, watching lightning rip through the night sky, merging with the bend of the river.
The Lightning River winds its way downward, carving out fertile grasslands as it washes

I think why BlackRock’s CEO is so optimistic about the future 12 months isn’t because he can predict that BTC will definitely go up.
Instead, it’s because he has seen that over the past year, the entire crypto market has been undergoing a very major change:
More and more institutional capital is entering, more and more regulatory policies are being relaxed, and the whole market is gradually moving toward mainstream financial systems.
Recently, you should also have noticed that there are increasingly more similar developments:
The SEC is continuously refining ETF and options trading rul

I think why BlackRock’s CEO is so optimistic about the next 12 months isn’t because he can predict that BTC will definitely go up in the future.
It’s because he sees that over the past year, the entire crypto market has been undergoing a very big change:
More and more institutional funds are coming in, more and more regulatory policies are being loosened, and the whole market is gradually moving toward the mainstream financial system.
Recently, everyone should also have noticed that more and more similar news is appearing:
The SEC keeps refining ETF and options trading rules;
More and more lis

#预测世界杯英格兰VS阿根廷 As someone who views the world through a habitual investment mindset, tomorrow early morning’s England vs. Argentina semifinal looks to me like a top-tier asset allocation: high volatility, high certainty.
📊 Fundamental comparison
Dimension | England🏴 Argentina🇦🇷
“Market cap” (status) 1.36 billion euros 807.5 million euros
“Average holding cost” (age) 27.4 years 29.2 years
“Core assets” Kane + Bellingham Messi (top of the scorers’ chart)
“Key risk points” right-back suspension + Rice doubtful Aging central defenders + weak aerial defense
📈 Market pricing
Gate p

#特朗普称继续大规模袭击伊朗#At the moment, what really determines the trend is not the news headline, but these two questions:
1. Whether the Strait of Hormuz is truly blocked in the long term.
2. Whether international oil prices continue to rise rapidly.
If these two variables do not further worsen, the market is likely to gradually digest the news; but if the conflict continues to escalate, leading to a more obvious impact on energy supply, then oil prices, inflation expectations, and global risk assets could all face greater volatility. For BTC, what really needs to be watched is not the war itself, but

#PredictWorldCupWin40000U Serious analysis is exhausting, so today I’m using “the Champion Rule Method” to predict:
1. Is France the defending champion? No no—over the past 20 years, only Brazil (1962) successfully defended their World Cup title, so France... (you know what I mean).
2. The year Spain won (2010), they lost their first match. This year they lost their first match too...
3. The most crucial point: I dreamed about the scoreboard last night!
· My prediction: Spain 2-0 France (give us an upset score!)
· (pseudo) scientific reasoning: Spain’s possession-based control can effectively

If BTC can hold above 64,000, while ETFs continue to see net inflows, and ETH starts to catch up, with altcoins’ trading volume clearly increasing, then this uptrend likely has further room to spread.
But if BTC repeatedly tests 64,000 yet still can’t hold it, with each breakout quickly falling back, ETF capital begins to slow down, and altcoins don’t follow, then this rebound is basically over ​​​#美股AI概念股普涨

Current data shows that retail investors in the US are cooling off.
If institutional funds also start to slow down later, it’s something to watch closely. What needs to be observed now is whether, after retail sentiment cools, institutions can continue the momentum.
As long as ETF net inflows, corporate buybacks, and institutional allocations remain ongoing, the market still has support; if these funds also begin to weaken, that would mean a real change may be happening. ​​​

The number of ETF applications is approaching 500, companies continue to steadily accumulate BTC, RWA keeps expanding, and regulation is gradually becoming clearer... These messages all share one common point:
Capital is still building the market, not leaving it!
Short-term price action may swing repeatedly due to macro data and sentiment, but what determines how far a market cycle can go has never been a one-day rise or fall—it’s whether long-term capital is still willing to keep flowing in. ​​​

#世界杯冠军预测 The Thorny Path of the Pampas Eagle: Argentina’s Test of Grit
As defending champions, Argentina’s route to qualification is full of drama—two consecutive knockout matches were played with nail-biting intensity, and in the Round of 16 they fell behind 0-2, then scored 3 straight goals to turn the match around within 13 minutes. At 39 years old, Messi is still the absolute core, having scored 8 goals to set a new personal record for World Cup goals. But fitness issues and instability in the back line are major risks, with the institution giving the team a championship probability of on