Bitcoin on the evening of 11/13:

On the 1-hour chart, the current price is between the Bollinger middle and lower bands, with the previous low around 67490 serving as short-term support. Price has fallen steadily from a high around 73850, and the Bollinger Bands are sloping downward, so the broader trend remains bearish.

The 6-period RSI is 45.9, the 12-period is 35.5, and the 24-period is 32.8. They have rebounded from low levels, indicating potential for a short-term recovery, but have not entered a strong range and have not reversed the downtrend. Watch for resistance at the Bollinger mid

What is look-ahead bias? Why can accidentally using future information in a backtest make an ordinary strategy look exceptionally good?

In cryptocurrency quantitative trading, a strategy’s high historical returns do not necessarily mean it has a genuine trading edge. If information that was not yet available at the time is used during a backtest, it can create look-ahead bias, allowing the strategy to know in advance what will happen and produce results that cannot be replicated in real trading.

First, what is look-ahead bias?

Look-ahead bias refers to mistakenly using future information wh

Many traders are especially concerned about their win rate after entering the market. They hope to win 7 or 8 out of every 10 trades, and even believe that only a high win rate can deliver consistent profits.

But in reality, what determines whether an account can grow over the long term is often not just the win rate, but also a frequently overlooked metric: the risk-reward ratio.

What is the risk-reward ratio?

Simply put, the risk-reward ratio is the proportion between the expected profit and potential loss on a trade.

For example, if a trade has a stop-loss of 100 USDT and a take-profit

📢 BlackFrame signal repost
Time: 11-13 Target: $ZEC Short entry: 942.61 Stop loss: 974.76 Targets: 915.36 / 885.65 / 849.62
Speaking of which, I reposted his $DOT trade earlier today, and here he is again. This KOL is really diligent 😂
I only repost the information as provided. The signal is someone else’s, but the wallet is yours—whether to follow and how large a position to take is up to you.
Shared for personal record-keeping, not investment advice. #The Fed adjusts its 2027 rate meeting schedule, cutting regular rate decisions to 7.

$NIL $NIL is now being heavily shorted, with a sell price of $0.01073 and a short entry price of $0.05638 $NIL 👇

How to Use Candlestick Patterns? 5 Common Signals to Help Determine When to Buy or Sell BTC

In cryptocurrency trading, many people look at candlestick charts every day, but few truly understand the market sentiment behind them.

Why does BTC rise rapidly after some candlestick patterns appear? Why does the price continue to fall after other patterns appear?

Today, we’ll introduce 5 common candlestick patterns.

First, the hammer. It usually appears in a downtrend, with a long lower wick and a relatively small body, indicating that some buying support emerged after the price fell and potentia

Why Can Prices Still Fall Even When the Order Book Shows a Large Number of Buy Orders?

In crypto trading, many people watch the order book and try to gauge market direction by looking at buy and sell orders. When a large number of buy orders appear on the screen, some traders assume support below is strong and prices should be unlikely to fall.

But reality is often not that simple. A large number of buy orders does not mean prices will necessarily rise; a large number of sell orders does not mean prices will inevitably fall.

First, orders are not the same as executed trades.

The order book

BTC’s weekly chart has posted seven consecutive bearish candles. Has it bottomed yet?

BTC’s morning sell-off exceeded expectations, driven by multiple negative factors converging: inflation data boosted rate-hike expectations, and Treasury yields rose. Jensen Huang’s departure also weighed on AI and overall risk sentiment, while Democrats winning both chambers fueled expectations of tighter crypto regulation. Continued outflows from spot ETFs, coupled with thin liquidity in the early hours, triggered concentrated liquidations of leveraged longs, magnifying the decline.

BTC rebounded after di

In cryptocurrency trading, many people watch BTC candlesticks every day but don’t know how to tell whether the market is currently in an uptrend or a downtrend. There’s actually a very common technical indicator that can help us see the market’s direction more clearly: the moving average (MA).

So what do MA20, MA50, and MA200 represent?

First, MA20 is the short-term moving average. It reflects recent price changes and is relatively sensitive to short-term market movements. When BTC trades consistently above MA20 and the line slopes upward, it usually indicates relative short-term strength.

In the past, getting started on a new chain usually meant going through a whole process: finding a wallet that supported the chain, finding a working cross-chain bridge, getting the right Gas token, and then worrying about whether you’d clicked a phishing link. For many customers, these steps alone were enough to put them off.

Now you can do it all in Gate Wallet:
🔹 Cross-chain to Elysium from BSC, Ethereum, Base, Solana, Arc, and Robinhood
🔹 Gate Wallet supports displaying, sending, and receiving assets on the Elysium chain, as well as interacting with DApps. You can manage HYPE and all ki

Why can you still fail to make money even when you correctly predict the market?

One of the most frustrating things for traders in the cryptocurrency market is getting the direction right but still not making money in their account.

You predict that Bitcoin is about to rise, and the price really does go up; you think the market will pull back, and it really does fall. But when you review your account, you find that your returns are disappointing, or that you are still in the red.

The problem may not be your directional call, but every detail of your trade execution.

First, your entry timin

$DODOX I caught this bullish candle, but only got half the move. I entered at 0.0242 yesterday, looking at a 4-hour breakout above the previous high of 0.0238 on increased volume, with a MACD golden cross above the zero line. Volume of 62.8M backed up the breakout. Today it surged to 0.0302, so I placed a sell order at 0.0298 and exited. Now it’s moving sideways at 0.0293—can’t really say I sold too early, but my mindset while holding was clearly getting impatient, afraid of giving back profits. Typical bear-market thinking I haven’t shaken off yet.
One lesson: hold breakout trades; don’t let

Both Longs and Shorts Are Being Liquidated at the Same Time—What Exactly Is Happening in the Market?

In crypto futures trading, there is a phenomenon that confuses many people: If the market is clearly rising, why are some traders still getting liquidated? Stranger still, sometimes the price surges rapidly and then suddenly drops, leading to large-scale liquidations on both sides.

What exactly is behind this?

First, it’s important to understand that liquidations don’t happen in just one direction. When prices rise rapidly, highly leveraged short positions may be forcibly closed due to insuf

In the cryptocurrency market, many people look for trading opportunities every day, but few take the time to make a trading plan. They go long when they see BTC rising and short when they see prices falling, then start doubting their judgment as soon as the market moves slightly against them. This kind of unplanned trading can easily lead to repeated losses.

So, what should an effective trading plan include?

First, define your trading direction. Before entering a trade, analyze whether the market is rising, falling, or moving sideways. Don’t decide on a direction based on a single candlestic

In cryptocurrency futures trading, many people spend every day analyzing whether BTC will rise or fall, yet overlook a very important question: Do you really understand the different order types on trading platforms?

Sometimes, even if you correctly predict the market, an unreasonable order placement method can result in a poor entry price or even unnecessary losses.

First, Limit Order. You can set a buy or sell price in advance and wait for the market to reach that price before the order is filled. It is suitable for looking for buying opportunities near support or planning to sell near res

Just came across an on-chain alert
F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun has moved ETH again
8 days ago, he sold 7,740.2 ETH at an average price of $2,390
Cashing out about $18.5 million
Over the past two days, he bought back at an average price of $1,989
One purchase was 10,992 ETH
Costing about $21.87 million
Sold less
Bought more
The average prices also differed by about $401
The math is pretty clear
I’ll finish my noodles first and take another look

Many traders analyzing BTC price action tend to focus only on price movements while overlooking the information conveyed by trading volume and technical indicators. In fact, sometimes the price may still appear to be rising while the market’s underlying upward momentum has already begun to weaken. This phenomenon is called volume-price divergence.

So, how should you read volume-price divergence?

First, bearish divergence at the top. When the BTC price keeps making new highs but trading volume gradually declines, or indicators such as RSI and MACD fail to make new highs in tandem, it may mean

Why might holding multiple correlated cryptocurrencies still fail to truly diversify risk?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people hold BTC, ETH, and other altcoins at the same time to reduce risk. They believe that as long as they hold enough different coins, other assets may offset losses if one of them falls.

But there is an easily overlooked problem: holding multiple different coins does not mean you have truly diversified your risk. If these assets are highly correlated under market stress, they may all fall at the same time.

First, why might different coins fall together?

Many assets