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Falcon_Official

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Active for: 1.8y
"Trading is my passion, and I learn something new from it every day."
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Featured#Gate #OneGate #OneGate见证计划
My One Gate Journey: From One Trade to a More Complete Financial Experience
My Gate journey started in January 2025. At that time, I was mainly looking at Gate as a place to access crypto markets, execute trades, and learn how price movements actually work. But with time, the meaning of using Gate changed for me. What started with watching charts and making individual trades gradually became a broader experience around holding assets, managing risk, following market opportunities, and staying connected to the crypto economy. That is why the idea behind “One Gate, B
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#Gate股票畅聊季 Beyond the Rally: Are Tech Stocks Becoming Overvalued?
Apple (AAPL) is at $353.80, up 6.66% from the $331.72 prior close. Microsoft (MSFT) is at $552.60, up 6.11% from $520.77. Amazon (AMZN) is at $269.06, up 7.31% from $250.74. Alphabet (GOOGL) is at $293.10, up 4.71% from $279.92. All four are rebounding hard after the late-October tech sell-off.
Market value and P/E ratios
Total market value is roughly $5.11 trillion for Apple, $4.11 trillion for Microsoft, $3.59 trillion for Alphabet and $2.92 trillion for Amazon. On trailing earnings, Apple trades near 39 times, Microsoft near
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AAPL+5.39%
MSFT+6.76%
AMZN+6.14%
GOOGL+3.25%
NAS100-0.41%
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#Gate股票畅聊季 #Arm #QCOM
QCOM $170.77 (+3.86%) and ARM $203.50 (+0.50%): Two Chip Models, One Big Question
Snapshot: 4 November 2026, 15:00 UTC, during the US regular session.
Where the stocks stand:
Qualcomm is at about $170.77, up $6.34 or 3.86% from $164.43. Today's range is $165.11 to $172.26. Arm is at about $203.50, up $1.01 or 0.50% from $202.49, with a range of $199.59 to $209.50. Both remain far below their highs. Qualcomm is about 34% under its 52-week high of $257.56, and Arm is about 55% under its $452.70 peak. Qualcomm trades near 19.5 times trailing earnings with a dividend yield a
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Falcon_Official
#QualcommAndArmEarningsInFocus
Two chip companies report on the same evening, and their business models are very different. Qualcomm sells the chips inside phones, cars and connected devices. Arm licenses the chip designs its partners build on and earns royalties on every unit shipped. Both report after the US close on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. The question is whether AI and data-center demand can offset a weak smartphone cycle and justify valuations that already look full.
Where the stocks stand
Data as of the 3 November 2026 US close (feed updated 01:58 UTC on 4 November):
- Qualcomm (QCOM): $164.43, up $2.35 or 1.45%. Previous close $162.08. Volume about 11.4 million shares, turnover about $1.87 billion.
- Arm (ARM): $202.49, up $5.70 or 2.90%. Previous close $196.79. Volume about 3.5 million shares, turnover about $0.71 billion.
Both stocks are far below their 52-week highs. QCOM's high was $257.56, so it trades about 36% lower. ARM's high was $452.70, so it trades about 55% lower. Both fell roughly 10% on 30 October during the sector sell-off. Extended-session prints were mixed: QCOM traded near $163.36 after hours, down 0.65%, and ARM near $204.88, up 1.18%. These are thin prints, so don't read much into them.
Qualcomm: the last reported quarter and the guide
In its most recent reported quarter, fiscal Q3 2026, Qualcomm posted revenue of about $9.95 billion, slightly above the $9.69 billion estimate in the data feed. Reported EPS was $1.89 against a $2.23 estimate. The feed does not confirm that both EPS figures use the same basis, so treat that gap with caution. Revenue beat and EPS missed, and that mix makes the stock sensitive to guidance.
For the fiscal Q4 report due tonight, Qualcomm guided revenue to $9.7 to $10.5 billion and adjusted EPS to $2.05 to $2.25, according to 24/7 Wall St. Year-ago EPS was $3.00, so the guide points to a year-over-year decline. Handset weakness is the main drag. Qualcomm also signaled a sharp sequential drop of about 50% from the September to December quarter. Handsets remain Qualcomm's largest revenue pool, so that decline matters most.
On valuation, Qualcomm screens moderately. Trailing P/E is about 18.8, P/E on the feed's basis is about 32.8, and price-to-book is about 6.2. Market value is about $172.7 billion, and trailing dividends of $3.59 per share imply a yield of about 2.2%.
Arm: licensing and royalties on a premium multiple
Arm's model is different. It licenses CPU designs and earns royalties on chips shipped by partners in smartphones, data centers and automotive. It does not carry manufacturing risk, and it can grow as its designs appear in more devices. That high-margin model is why the market pays a premium.
The premium is large. Arm's trailing P/E is about 207, its P/E on the feed's basis is about 238, and its price-to-book is about 25. Market value is about $216 billion. At those levels, the stock needs sustained royalty growth and data-center design wins to justify the price.
I could not verify Arm's most recent quarterly revenue, EPS, royalty growth or guidance. The feed's latest Arm entry is incomplete and does not confirm the period, so I am not quoting those figures. Check tonight's release before drawing conclusions about Arm's operating performance.
Smartphones, cars and IoT
Qualcomm's handset chips are its largest exposure, and that business faces pressure from memory costs and weak device demand. Automotive and IoT are smaller but growing, and they offer a second revenue leg if the phone cycle stays soft. Qualcomm's licensing business (QTL) collects patent royalties and is less tied to chip volume. Investors will want to see how each line performed and whether the company has a clearer path to AI PCs and edge AI devices.
Arm's exposure is broader across the industry, covering smartphones, data centers, automotive and AI accelerators. Arm is therefore a bet on the overall compute cycle more than on any single device.
Can AI and data centers carry the rally?
AI connects these two stories. Qualcomm is trying to bring AI into phones, PCs and edge devices. Arm is trying to win more of the data-center and AI server market with its CPU designs. If AI workloads move from the cloud to devices, both companies could benefit. If AI spending stays concentrated among a few large buyers, Qualcomm's gain will be limited, and Arm's premium depends on that concentration continuing.
The key test tonight is not the headline number. It is whether management ties AI to revenue that shows up over the next two or three quarters, and whether it can explain the handset decline without guiding to a deeper drop.
Key risks
1. Smartphone demand: A steep sequential handset decline into December would weigh on Qualcomm's guide and sentiment.
2. Memory costs: Higher memory prices can squeeze device makers and slow unit volumes.
3. Competition: Arm's partners are developing their own designs, and Qualcomm faces rivals in phones and PCs.
4. Valuation: Arm's multiple leaves little room for a miss. Qualcomm's lower multiple gives more room, but its guide is weak.
5. Post-earnings volatility: Both stocks have moved sharply on sector news, so expect large moves after the release.
Bottom line
Qualcomm is a diversified chip business with a weak holiday-quarter guide and a more reasonable valuation. Arm is a high-margin licensing model priced for strong AI and data-center growth. Both depend on whether AI demand reaches beyond a few large buyers.
Wait for tonight's numbers, the guidance and the after-hours reaction before drawing conclusions. Size positions for a large move in either direction.
Risk note: This is market education, not investment advice. Stocks can move sharply after earnings, and the figures above are a snapshot that may change.
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#Gate股票畅聊季
NVDA $206.69 · AMD $483.90 · AVGO $332.13: Is AI Demand Still Strong Enough?
NVIDIA closed at $206.69, up $4.63 or 2.29% from $202.06. The day's range was $205.93 to $209.14. AMD closed at $483.90, up $17.06 or 3.65% from $466.84, with a day range of $473.54 to $497.40. Broadcom closed at $332.13, up $9.90 or 3.07% from $322.23, with a day range of $326.60 to $335.74. All three rose together, which points to a sector-wide move rather than stock-specific news.
Relative to 52-week highs:
NVIDIA is about 15% below its 52-week high of $243.37, and about 26% above its 52-week low of $16
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AMD+0.88%
AVGO-1.92%
INTC-3.66%
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#WCTCS9 COIN, CRCL and BTC: Why Regulatory Clarity Could Matter More Than the Next Crypto Rally
The Market Is Entering a Different Phase
With Democrats winning both chambers, I am paying closer attention to Coinbase (COIN), Circle (CRCL), and Bitcoin. The important question is no longer simply whether the broader crypto market can move higher. It is which businesses can remain resilient when Washington’s regulatory direction becomes more uncertain.
A slower path for legislation such as the CLARITY Act could delay progress on market structure and stablecoin rules. That does not automatically ma
COIN+4.13%
CRCL+1.18%
BTC-0.67%
USDC+0.01%
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#USEarningsSeason
Q3 2026 Earnings Are Rock Solid: 83% Beat Rate And What It Means For Risk Assets
US Earnings Season is live and the numbers are stronger than most expected.
Third-quarter earnings results have been rock solid. Through midday Tuesday, 342 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings. Of those, 83% have beaten Wall Street estimates, just shy of the 88% that beat second-quarter numbers. Earnings have grown an impressive 30%.
This is not a soft season. This is a confirmation that corporate America is still highly profitable despite high rates and political uncertainty.
Verified H
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#USEarningsSeason
Q3 2026 Earnings Are Rock Solid: 83% Beat Rate And What It Means For Risk Assets
US Earnings Season is live and the numbers are stronger than most expected.
Third-quarter earnings results have been rock solid. Through midday Tuesday, 342 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings. Of those, 83% have beaten Wall Street estimates, just shy of the 88% that beat second-quarter numbers. Earnings have grown an impressive 30%.
This is not a soft season. This is a confirmation that corporate America is still highly profitable despite high rates and political uncertainty.
Verified Highlights From Today:
• Advanced Micro Devices: Shares of Advanced Micro Devices were recently down about 1% after the chip designer handed in third-quarter results Tuesday evening. AMD reported $13.3 billion in revenue, which beat expectations, and nearly $2.43 billion in profit, which was roughly in line with analyst estimates. AMD jumped 6.2% in premarket after forecasting faster-than-expected growth in 2027.
• CVS Health: CVS Health reported earnings of $2.09 per share for Q3 2026, beating the consensus estimate of $1.65. Revenue of $108.40 billion beat estimate of $104.69 billion.
• SharkNinja: Reported EPS of $2.34 versus $1.90 consensus, while revenue of $1.98 billion topped $1.87 billion estimate.
• Icahn Enterprises: Reported earnings of -$0.31 per share for Q3 2026, missing consensus estimate of $0.09, announced Wednesday, November 4, 2026.
• Block (Square): Square earnings for the period ended Sept. 30 were $1.19 per share, up 109% from year-earlier period. Net revenue $6.719 billion, up 10%.
The pattern is clear: Tech and healthcare beat, consumer and industrial mixed, but overall earnings growth remains at 30% year over year.
What Does 83% Beat Rate Mean For Crypto and Stocks?
Academic data shows a strong correlation between earnings beat rate and risk asset performance in the following 30 days.
1. Earnings Beat = Liquidity Confirmation
When 83% of S&P 500 beats, it means corporate cash flow is healthy. Healthy cash flow means more buybacks, more capex in AI, and more capital flowing into high-beta assets like $BTC and $NVDA , $TSLA, $AAPL.
Chipmaker stocks rallied on Wall Street Tuesday as investors returned to AI-related shares. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index advanced 3%. This rebound was directly triggered by earnings beats from AMD and TSMC raising forecast 8%.
2. Why Stocks Fall Even When They Beat?
Why Are Stocks Falling When Earnings Beat the Street? This is the key question. Through Tuesday, 342 companies reported, 83% beat, but Nasdaq was mixed. Why?
Because market prices forward guidance, not past quarter. A company can beat Q3 but cut Q4 guidance due to election uncertainty. That is exactly what happened this week. Traders sell the news.
This is why Gate prediction markets ranking Top 2 globally matters. Prediction markets now price earnings guidance faster than equity analysts.
3. The Crypto Link: Earnings Season Drives Risk Appetite
When US earnings season is strong, two things happen for crypto:
A. Dollar weakens slightly as risk-on sentiment improves. $BTC dropped from $81,965.5 to $76,495.4 on liquidity fear. Strong earnings reverse that fear.
B. AI capex guidance from $MSFT , $META , $GOOGL directly drives $NVDA, $TSMC $2330, $MediaTek $2454 demand. If $MSFT says AI capex up 20%, $NVDA revenue is secured for next quarter. That is why chip stocks rebound.
My Academic Take For Q3 2026:
This earnings season is not about EPS. It is about capex guidance for AI.
• 83% beat rate confirms economy is not in recession.
• 30% earnings growth confirms profitability.
• But forward guidance on AI spending will decide if $NVDA stays above $204 and $TSMC stays above $2260 TWD.
For traders, earnings season volatility is opportunity. For investors, earnings season confirmation is the green light to hold quality assets.
The numbers say corporate America is strong. The market now wants to know if management believes 2027 will be even stronger.
Do you trade earnings beats or wait for guidance?
#USEarningsSeason
#ShareWeekly
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$SOL ‌ Leaning BULLISH SOL has the potential to continue its upward movement toward 94.00–94.53. A strong rebound from 89.83 indicates increasing buying pressure. The MACD is beginning to show bullish momentum. The candlestick pattern reflects a recovery, characterized by a "higher low." The 94.53 level serves as the primary resistance (hurdle). Scenario: A successful breakout above 94.53 would open the path toward 95.00–95.89. Conversely, a failure to break through could lead to a correction toward 92.86–91.34. Conclusion: Bullish in the short term, though a breakout above 94.53 is required
LuckyBag
$SOL ‌ Leaning BULLISH SOL has the potential to continue its upward movement toward 94.00–94.53. A strong rebound from 89.83 indicates increasing buying pressure. The MACD is beginning to show bullish momentum. The candlestick pattern reflects a recovery, characterized by a "higher low." The 94.53 level serves as the primary resistance (hurdle). Scenario: A successful breakout above 94.53 would open the path toward 95.00–95.89. Conversely, a failure to break through could lead to a correction toward 92.86–91.34. Conclusion: Bullish in the short term, though a breakout above 94.53 is required for confirmation.
Note: Crypto and stock transactions carry the risk of loss. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before trading. This information is for general purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation, recommendation, or investment advice. You are solely responsible for your decisions and the associated risks. Have a great day! 🥳
#每周来晒
#WCTCS9
#Gate多项排名全球Top2
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🎉 Gate Square’s New Creator Rewards Are Here: Earn Rewards for Posting and Get Double Exposure for 14 Days!
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3️⃣ Daily picks: 3 creators selected each day, each receiving a 100 USDT position trial voucher!
4️⃣ Re
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🎉 Gate Square’s New Creator Rewards Are Here: Earn Rewards for Posting and Get Double Exposure for 14 Days!
Earn rewards for posting, get double the traffic, and receive extra rewards for quality content!
👉 Join now: https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6880
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Gate Square New Creator Program: Post to Earn Rewards and Enjoy Double Exposure for 14 Days https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6880?ref=VLIWBLOKUW&ref_type=132
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📣 Daily Great Post Call for Submissions|Good content, check in in the comments
The hot-post patrol is on duty. Today, we’re looking for your standout post 🔎
If you could recommend just one of your own posts, which would you choose?
Evidence-based market analysis, trading recaps that spell out the wins and losses, practical knowledge sharing… Show us what you’ve got.
💬 Leave a link to the original Square post in the comments, plus one sentence on why it’s worth reading
You’re also welcome to recommend great posts by other authors. If you find a perspective that interests you, open the origin
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📣 Daily Great Post Call for Submissions|Good content, check in in the comments
The hot-post patrol is on duty. Today, we’re looking for your standout post 🔎
If you could recommend just one of your own posts, which would you choose?
Evidence-based market analysis, trading recaps that spell out the wins and losses, practical knowledge sharing… Show us what you’ve got.
💬 Leave a link to the original Square post in the comments, plus one sentence on why it’s worth reading
You’re also welcome to recommend great posts by other authors. If you find a perspective that interests you, open the original post and leave a question, add-on, or different take—let good content spark a conversation.
🕒 When selecting posts, we’ll look for great content in the comments
🎁 Selected authors get 3 days of traffic support + featured content
Whose post would you recommend today? 👇
‍#每日神贴 #Gate广场
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🏆 WCTC S9 Plaza Carnival: Share quality content for a chance to receive 1 GT
Your next trading post could randomly earn you a great GT reward 🎁
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💡 Not sure what to write? Start with one angle:
• What did you get right in your most recent trade, and what could you improve?
• Which asset are you watching, and what signal would make you trade?
• When the market shifts, would
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🏆 WCTC S9 Plaza Carnival: Share quality content for a chance to receive 1 GT
Your next trading post could randomly earn you a great GT reward 🎁
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👉 Sign up first, then post to participate
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💡 Not sure what to write? Start with one angle:
• What did you get right in your most recent trade, and what could you improve?
• Which asset are you watching, and what signal would make you trade?
• When the market shifts, would you stick to your plan or adjust your position?
🎁 Share evidence-based insights for a chance to earn rewards
Each day, 3 outstanding creators will be selected to receive a 100 USDT position trial voucher each. High-quality content also has a chance to randomly win 1 GT, and cumulative valid participation also gives you a chance to enter the weekly bonus prize draw.
📝 Add #WCTCS9 to post your trading insights
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👀 That “I also want to say something” thought while scrolling posts? Share it today.
Agree with an analysis and add your take; encounter a different view and share your reasoning; don’t understand a detail? Ask a follow-up.
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🔹 Engagement leaderboard: compete for prizes including Gate merchandise valued at 150 USDT and 150 USDT Futures position experience vouchers
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GateSquare
👀 That “I also want to say something” thought while scrolling posts? Share it today.
Agree with an analysis and add your take; encounter a different view and share your reasoning; don’t understand a detail? Ask a follow-up.
The Gate Square comment challenge with prizes is underway: share your thoughts, and our editors will spotlight great comments 🎁
🔹 Engagement leaderboard: compete for prizes including Gate merchandise valued at 150 USDT and 150 USDT Futures position experience vouchers
🔹 Rewards for speaking up: after signing up, your first valid comment earns a 10 USDT Futures position experience voucher
🔹 Featured comments: 3 users with quality comments will be selected each round, and each will receive 5 USDT
💬 Insightful, interesting, or relatable comments all have a chance to be featured.
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Please write your comment yourself. “One-click comments” won’t count toward activity statistics or selection
‍#Gate广场 #CommentRewards
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🎁 Talk stocks, enter to win GT and USDT, and get featured for great insights
The Gate Square stock discussion season is here!
Which stocks have you been following lately? Share why you’re bullish, what’s giving you pause, or a recap of a trade.
💰 Get rewarded for great insights: 3 top contributors are selected daily, each receiving 5 USDT + official promotion
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🎁 Talk stocks, enter to win GT and USDT, and get featured for great insights
The Gate Square stock discussion season is here!
Which stocks have you been following lately? Share why you’re bullish, what’s giving you pause, or a recap of a trade.
💰 Get rewarded for great insights: 3 top contributors are selected daily, each receiving 5 USDT + official promotion
🎲 Post to enter the GT draw: Earn 1 raffle entry for valid posts each day, plus a chance to win 3 sets of exclusive Gate merchandise and stock-themed gifts.
🎁 Sign up to receive a 10 USDT stock contract position experience voucher; the first 1,000 eligible new Square authors will also receive 5 USDT in stock trading trial funds for their first post.
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Gate Square Stock Talk Season: Share Your Views, Win GT and Stock Rewards https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6898?ref=VLIWBLOKUW&ref_type=132
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#USEquityPerpetualFuturesGoLive
As of November 3, a groundbreaking step has been taken in the United States: perpetual futures contracts based on individual stocks have received approval to be traded on regulated exchanges. This leveraged model—previously seen only on offshore crypto platforms—is now entering the realm of traditional capital markets.
This decision marks the migration of a product born and bred in the crypto ecosystem into the stock market, effectively blurring the lines between these two worlds more clearly than ever before.
What is the legal framework for this approval?
Acco
User_any
#USEquityPerpetualFuturesGoLive
As of November 3, a groundbreaking step has been taken in the United States: perpetual futures contracts based on individual stocks have received approval to be traded on regulated exchanges. This leveraged model—previously seen only on offshore crypto platforms—is now entering the realm of traditional capital markets.
This decision marks the migration of a product born and bred in the crypto ecosystem into the stock market, effectively blurring the lines between these two worlds more clearly than ever before.
What is the legal framework for this approval?
According to the Chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), these contracts have been classified as "security futures products" under the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. This classification is critical, as it subjects these products to the oversight of both the CFTC and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
The approval was granted under "deemed approved" status pursuant to Regulation 40.3, meaning the review period concluded without any objections. These products can only be listed on "dual-registered" platforms—exchanges that are both designated as contract markets by the CFTC and registered as securities exchanges with the SEC.
So, what exactly is a "perpetual" futures contract? Unlike traditional futures, which have a set expiration date—requiring traders to "roll over" their positions to the next contract month—perpetual futures have no expiration. To ensure the contract price remains anchored to the underlying asset, periodic "funding payments" are exchanged between the long and short sides. This allows traders to maintain positions indefinitely, without the need for rollovers.
Who is preparing for this, and how will it work?
While the CFTC’s announcement did not specify a particular exchange, a list of stocks, or a launch date, the picture becomes clearer when examining publicly available filings. Some platforms plan to list up to 58 contracts based on major companies such as Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla, while others have applied with an initial list of 10 stocks.
The operational structure will also differ from overseas models. These contracts will not be traded 24/7; instead, they will be available from Sunday evening through Friday afternoon. The initial margin requirement is set at approximately 15%, which translates to a leverage ratio of about 6.5x—a far more cautious level compared to the extremely high leverage often seen on offshore platforms.
Why isn't everyone applauding this decision?
Those in favor present a clear argument. The chair of the CFTC describes these products as widely sought-after tools for risk management and price discovery, noting that American investors will no longer be forced to turn to offshore—and often unregulated—platforms. It is emphasized that the two regulatory bodies—the CFTC and the SEC—have effectively closed a gap, addressing previous concerns from the SEC chair that such products were trapped in a "regulatory no-man's-land."
There is also significant opposition. An industry association has filed a lawsuit, arguing that these products are, in fact, security-based swaps and that the decision lacks proper justification. A high-ranking member of the Senate Banking Committee has criticized the approval, labeling the product as risky—one that could facilitate insider trading, endanger investors, and introduce volatility into the market. Some industry groups have called for a comprehensive review and a public comment period, while certain investor advocacy groups have characterized the product as a form of gambling in disguise. Furthermore, one of the traditional derivatives exchanges—which had previously challenged a similar approval—argues that these funding-based contracts should be classified as swaps rather than futures. How might this change the structure of the exchange?
There are three primary impacts.
First, the need for "rolling over" positions—moving them from one contract expiration to the next—is eliminated. Liquidity becomes concentrated in a single contract, removing the requirement to shift positions every month.
Second, there is the matter of trading hours. While traditional exchanges operate within limited hours, perpetual futures allow for position management even outside of standard market hours—accommodating geopolitical or macroeconomic developments that may occur when traditional markets are closed.
Third, it puts pressure on the revenue models of traditional exchanges. A structure that relies on frequent position rollovers may now find itself competing against a single, perpetual contract. Some market makers even suggest that this model could become the dominant mechanism for equity price discovery by 2026.
What does this mean for you?
This approval marks a turning point in the integration of a concept that evolved within crypto markets into the realm of regulated capital markets. It offers a legal framework and regulatory oversight, while simultaneously sparking new debates.
Questions such as when these products will actually begin trading, which stocks will be included initially, and how ongoing legal proceedings will be resolved are all matters for the coming weeks. What you should focus on here is not the allure of leverage, but rather how funding costs, trading hours, and the regulatory framework affect your own risk management.
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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NVDA-0.35%
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#WCTCS9 #$DOGE
Dogecoin is trading near 0.07527 USDT in the latest Gate spot snapshot, taken at about 09:00 UTC on November 4, 2026. Over the last 24 hours the price is up about 2.03%, and the intraday range runs from 0.07230 to 0.07573, a swing of roughly 4.7%. Over seven days DOGE is down about 4.89%, and it sits about 28.9% below its September 22 intraday high of 0.10589. Market capitalization is about 12.59 billion USD, and reported 24-hour volume is about 275.1 million USD. The short-term picture is weak but not broken. The higher timeframes still show a descending structure, and the nex
HighAmbition
#WCTCS9 #$DOGE
Dogecoin is trading near 0.07527 USDT in the latest Gate spot snapshot, taken at about 09:00 UTC on November 4, 2026. Over the last 24 hours the price is up about 2.03%, and the intraday range runs from 0.07230 to 0.07573, a swing of roughly 4.7%. Over seven days DOGE is down about 4.89%, and it sits about 28.9% below its September 22 intraday high of 0.10589. Market capitalization is about 12.59 billion USD, and reported 24-hour volume is about 275.1 million USD. The short-term picture is weak but not broken. The higher timeframes still show a descending structure, and the next few sessions will show whether the late-October lows hold.
The 1-day chart shows steady selling pressure. The November 3 daily candle opened at 0.07424, touched a low of 0.07353 and a high of 0.07573, and closed at 0.07520, about 1.3% above its open. The November 4 candle has just started, with an open at 0.07521, a high of 0.07550, and a low of 0.07230. That low is close to the October 30 daily low of 0.07216, the most important short-term floor on the chart. Above the price, the moving averages are stacked against buyers. The 7-day simple average is at 0.07594, the 30-day at 0.08112, the 120-day at 0.08054, and the 200-day at 0.08605. The exponential averages tell the same story: the 7-day is at 0.07585, the 30-day at 0.08040, the 120-day at 0.08351, and the 200-day at 0.08507. When short averages sit below long averages and the long averages slope down, the trend is bearish, and that is what the data shows.
Momentum readings agree but do not show panic. The daily relative strength index is 36.43, below the neutral 50 line but well above the oversold zone near 30. The stochastic readings are K at 31.61, D at 33.07, and J at 28.69, which points to weak momentum that has not yet bottomed. The MACD line is at negative 0.0000544 against a signal line at negative 0.0028246, so the histogram is still negative. The Commodity Channel Index is at negative 115.02, a stretched reading that often precedes a bounce, though a bounce alone does not change the trend. The Average Directional Index is at 32.33, confirming that the move has real strength. The minus directional indicator at 30.25 sits well above the plus indicator at 12.22, so sellers still control the trend. The parabolic SAR is at 0.08031, about 6.7% above the price, and has not flipped to support. Price sits in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, with the lower band at 0.07362, the middle band at 0.07825, and the upper band at 0.08287.
The 3-day chart shows the bigger pattern. Since the September 22 peak, DOGE has been moving inside a descending channel. The 3-day swing highs have stepped down from 0.10589 in late September to 0.09792 on October 1, 0.09390 on October 7, 0.08813 on October 10, 0.08287 on October 16, 0.08381 on October 19, 0.08219 on October 22, 0.07922 on October 25, 0.08147 on October 28, 0.07643 on October 31, and 0.07573 on November 3. Each swing low has also come in lower, with the most recent lows near 0.07216 and 0.07230. Lower highs and lower lows are the textbook definition of a downtrend. The current 3-day candle, which opened on November 3, is still forming, so its final shape is not yet known. The most important line on this chart is the top of the channel, which currently sits between 0.0790 and 0.0815. The October 28 rally reached 0.08147 before failing, and the October 31 rally stalled at 0.07643. For the trend to change, DOGE must close a 3-day candle above that upper boundary and hold above it. Until then, each rally is a test of the channel top rather than the start of a new uptrend.
Resistance is layered. The first zone is 0.0765 to 0.0770, which includes the October 31 high of 0.07643, the November 1 high of 0.07607, and the November 3 high of 0.07573. A daily close above 0.0770 would be the first sign that short-term sellers are losing grip. The second zone is 0.0790 to 0.0800, where the 30-day exponential average, the October 25 to 28 highs, and the lower edge of the broader channel cluster. A daily close above 0.0800 would suggest the bounce has real momentum. The third zone is 0.0811 to 0.0815, which contains the 30-day simple average and the October 29 intraday high of 0.08147. The fourth zone is 0.0829 to 0.0838, covering the upper Bollinger Band and the October 19 to 21 highs. The fifth is 0.0857 to 0.0860, where the 200-day simple average and the October 13 high meet.
Support is also layered. The first zone is 0.0750 to 0.0753, which covers the October 29 close of 0.07527 and the November 2 close area. Analysts quoted in the news flow have also flagged this level as the line that decides whether DOGE can hold its footing. The second zone is 0.0736 to 0.0740, which includes the lower Bollinger Band at 0.07362 and the November 3 intraday low of 0.07353. A daily close below 0.0736 would open the path to lower floors. The third zone is 0.0722 to 0.0724, the most important short-term floor, covering the October 30 low of 0.07216 and the November 4 low so far of 0.07230. A daily close below 0.0720 would be a clear breakdown of the recent range. The fourth level is 0.0700, a psychological round number. The fifth zone is 0.0677 to 0.0681, which holds the August 14 low of 0.06772 and the base of the summer range.
The news flow is mixed. Cryptoticker reported on November 2 that addresses holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE cut holdings by about 120 million tokens since the previous Thursday, citing Santiment supply distribution data. The same report described a short-term death cross, and the daily averages do show the 7-day sitting below the 30-day. Cryptoticker also reported on November 3 that the House of Doge had lost its Nasdaq listing. News like this tends to move DOGE for hours rather than weeks unless it triggers real outflows from related products. Pluang data for November 1 showed about 64% of orders on its platform were sell orders and 36% were buy orders, which points to cautious retail sentiment. Some venues also reported trading volume at an October low even as the price edged higher, which often means a rally lacks conviction. A recent price-prediction piece from LiteFinance, dated October 31, rated the one-month sentiment as sell, though forecasts of that kind are only opinions.
The short-term structure is a range inside a larger downtrend. The range runs from about 0.0722 at the bottom to 0.0765 at the top, and the price has oscillated inside it since October 30 without a breakout that holds on volume. The best short-term trades tend to sit at the edges of that range with strict stops, rather than in the middle.
Here are the trade frameworks I would discuss with other traders. These are ideas for discussion, not personal financial advice. Size every position to your own risk tolerance.
For a range-bottom long, the entry zone is 0.0722 to 0.0735. The stop loss sits just below the October 30 low, around 0.0715. That gives a risk of about 1.4% to 2.7%, depending on fill. The first take-profit is 0.0765, roughly 4.1% to 6.0% above the entry zone. The second is 0.0800, about 8.8% to 10.8% above. The third is 0.0815, about 10.9% to 12.9% above. The risk-reward is roughly two to one to three to one, but only if the stop is respected. A daily close below 0.0715 invalidates the idea, and the trade should be closed without second-guessing.
For a breakout long, the trigger is a daily close above 0.0770. The entry zone is 0.0772 to 0.0778 after confirmation, with a stop loss below 0.0745. That is a risk of about 3.4% to 4.2%. The first target is 0.0800, about 2.8% to 3.6% above entry, and the second is 0.0840, about 7.9% to 8.8% above. This is a momentum trade, so watch volume and the 3-day chart. If the 3-day candle closes back inside the channel after the breakout, reduce the position or exit.
For a range-top short, the entry zone is 0.0765 to 0.0775, with a stop loss above 0.0790. That is a risk of about 1.9% to 3.3%. The first target is 0.0735, roughly 3.2% to 5.2% below entry. The second is 0.0722, about 5.6% to 6.8% below. The third is 0.0700, about 9.7% to 10.3% below. This is a counter-trend trade inside the larger downtrend, so expect bounces, and step back rather than chase if the stop is hit.
For a breakdown short, the trigger is a daily close below 0.0720. The entry zone is 0.0716 to 0.0720, with a stop loss above 0.0745, a risk of about 3.5% to 4.0%. The first target is 0.0700, about 2.2% to 2.8% below entry. The second is 0.0677, about 5.4% to 5.8% below. Volume expansion on the breakdown would strengthen the thesis.
Exit rules should be set before entry. For longs, take one third off at the first target, move the stop to breakeven, and let the rest run to the second target. Shorts work the same way in reverse. Never add to a losing position below the October 30 low unless the chart shows a clear bullish reversal. Keep leverage low if you use it, and make sure the liquidation price sits far below your stop. DOGE can move 5% to 10% in a day during news spikes, and spot stops are not guaranteed in fast markets, so slippage can happen.
Position sizing matters more than the entry. Many traders risk no more than 1% to 2% of their account on any single idea. With a stop about 3% away, the position size should be set so that a 3% move costs no more than that risk amount.
The one-day plan for the next session is straightforward. If the price holds above 0.0736 and climbs back through 0.0755, the short-term bias turns mildly positive, with targets at 0.0765 and 0.0780. If the price falls below 0.0736 and cannot reclaim 0.0740 within a few hours, the bias turns negative, with targets at 0.0722 and 0.0708. A daily close below 0.0722 changes the structure from a range into a breakdown.
The three-day plan centers on the channel. As long as 3-day candles keep printing lower highs below 0.0815, the bigger trend stays down. The first meaningful sign of a trend change would be a 3-day close above 0.0815 followed by a higher low above 0.0740. The 3-day candle that started on November 3 is the first real test. A close above 0.0770 on that candle would be the earliest hint that the channel may be breaking higher.
In summary, Dogecoin trades at 0.07527, up about 2.03% over 24 hours, down about 4.89% over seven days, and about 28.9% below its September peak. The daily chart is bearish, with price below the key averages, RSI near 36, and a trend-strength reading that favors sellers. The 3-day chart shows a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. Support sits at 0.0722 to 0.0724, then 0.0700, then 0.0677. Resistance sits at 0.0765 to 0.0770, then 0.0790 to 0.0800, then 0.0815. Define your stop before you enter, and size the position so that a wrong call does not damage your account. Protecting capital matters more than predicting the next headline.#ShareWeekly $DOGE ‌
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