RawlalGaib

I’ve spotted some volatility building on the LTF today as we went back and retested the mid range at 79,500 on Bitcoin while holding above the EMAs which are acting as support. However, some uncertainty remains in play due to the midterms ahead, so I don’t expect much to happen until then only afterwards can we begin to move in a clear direction. In the meantime, with a good FOMC we remain neutral to bullish forming a base and eventually after the midterms back to bullish, where we would see another expansion leg higher into the 90-100k area before a larger de-risking later on with a bigger pu

Today we have the FOMC meeting, where the Fed will pause as pressure on the bond market is lifted ahead of the midterms, so as not to create too much uncertainty or stir fear among voters. Anyway, the economic projections for 2027 signal much lower inflation alongside strong unemployment, which means the Fed will cut interest rates pretty soon.
IMO, as I pointed out here on TLT, another selloff will still happen after the midterms, heading into the next FOMC on December 9th, where the Fed could hike rates one last time before turning dovish. After that, rates will become volatile, with cuts pr

What’s the concern guys? IMO there’s no concern at all, as the plan remains the same as mentione, October will bring bearish volatility going into the FOMC or midterms, from which we put in a pivot low followed by another leg higher. What happens then will decide whether Bitcoin can enter a small distribution phase while altcoins outperform for what’s left of this year, followed by a risk-appetite shift as we enter a late cycle environment towards August/September 2027 where altcoins will continue to perform while Bitcoin remains neutral to bullish above 50/60k on the macro scale.
Now, just li

Waiting for October to pass and see what happens after the midterms, because we should eventually have larger exit liquidity before December arrives, so a red or neutral close in October would be the best thing that could happen right now to set up a move higher in November into mid December, mostly because it would reset this numb sentiment which is still divided between bears and bulls without a clear victory call from either side.
Based on the calendar returns, both structurally and time wise, we are in a very similar environment to early to mid 2019 when the rally ended in June, yet this t