RawlalGaib

Let me explain finance in simple words: new money pays old money, then new money gets angry that they’re not getting paid out. Old money becomes angry that new money is angry. New money starts investigating, old money starts deleting clues, new money starts suing old money, old money starts having problems with the law, new money comes out on top, old money dies. cycle repeats.

Weekly 55 EMA

Late Cycle Environment

I remember a few months ago explaining to a group of people why the market structure law won’t happen at the absolute lows. This kind of news typically comes when the market starts to look healthy again, giving new investors the courage to buy assets without fearing that crypto is a complete scam like before.
This law is quite a big deal because the structure of altcoins will change as returns become more consistent and less manipulative by MMs and Exchanges, this won’t just apply to BTC and ETH, but also to a few select altcoins that remain relevant and help redefine the future of the world.

How's everyone doing? :P

interesting week ahead

Tip of the day, watch the US10Y closely for a potential break above 4.4% heading up to 4.8%. More uncertainty is likely to follow in that time window as energy prices continue to rise. That’s where I’ll re-enter the market if we reach 4.8%. A deal now would help dodge further uncertainty

It's pretty interesting how the FOMC is at a critical point either providing exit liquidity or breaking out as it heads into the pivot around the 10/15th and the next two days at market open will likely decide the direction for the next two weeks. Plus this is the last FOMC meeting with Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, so I’ll watch it and share my thoughts afterwards

I don’t typically share promo code links unless it’s something genuinely valuable — not like the usual crypto exchange ones. For stocks, I’m currently using XTB, Trading 212 and rarely eToro. Yet on Trading212 they have a promo right now where you can get stocks worth $100, but it’s limited to only a few people. So if you’re interested, you can follow the steps and grab it up.

What if I told you that the whole cycle has played out differently from people’s expectations?
ATH before the halving, a Q4 bearish phase before the cycle end, the 4-year cycle lows arriving ahead of time, and the altcoin season will also play out differently — just like the rest of the cycle, even though it feels different at the end of the day it will still play out as it always does :P copium

For some reason i still see people tying to short or call that the bottom is not in... oh well higher i guess

Starting to get annoyed by people who follow narratives TAO this TAO that i didn't even got to read any article because i already know it's some dumb shit... If you really think an internal discussion between investors has anything to do with the actual utility of the project, you must be studied. These hands have been swapping way before the price pumped — using the news as exit liquidity, and when the news hits the surface, the only ones selling are the retail investors, which just creates a great entry opportunity.
Take the Trump one for example when he said he would wipe Iran and burn ever

We live in an era of deception, 70–80% of what you see is misinformation—wrong posts, bad takes, AI slop, and more. If you don’t learn to judge for yourself what’s real and what isn’t, you’ll sadly end up consuming whatever nonsense gets spread by random accounts.

If you are still following Trump and his conflict you must be delusional. At this point, just enjoy Easter with your family, because the market doesn’t give a damn about it. It’s realizing that it’s the same playbook with tariff delays, but this time with the oil situation until they sell some more barrels at $100. And the market will start reacting less and less to what he has to say or to what is happening there.