RawlalGaib

Active for: 2.3y

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The disbelief will be so huge when people realize that they are living through the first leg of an altcoin season while Bitcoin isn’t at an ATH, and the momentum behind that realization will fuel even more insanity among altcoins, but just like it began it will also end in a very short period of time, similar to the late-2017 to 2018 altcoin season.
IMO the base case is a top for BTC around 90/93K, with the best case adding an extension into 98/100K to sweep the full liquidity wick and tap the psychological 100K level.

BTC+1.16%

RawlalGaib a day ago

The more time goes by the more people will look back and say, "I wish I had known about Bitcoin 16 years ago so I could have bought some at $1"
And in a few years from now there will be someone else in your place talking about an altcoin, saying that they wish they had known about it earlier so they could have bought some.
Psychological cycles will always repeat.

BTC+1.16%

RawlalGaib a day ago

0.25 bps rise, bottom this week

RawlalGaib 2 days ago

My brain hurts looking through the timeline today... for whatever reason everyone is expecting a larger pullback because the CLARITY Act didnt got passed... buch of sheeps

RawlalGaib 2026-09-14

Over the past year, I've kept the idea that Bitcoin won't enter a new bull market until BTC.D goes back under 40% to 30%, hovering and bouncing in this area from 100k extending towards a shallow ATH, down to 50k, up and down for several years while altcoins go through their altcoin season phases, as everyone is too focused on catching a bottom for Bitcoin, we can see the same playbook we saw back then with gold when gold remained relatively neutral to bearish, not breaking down but not breaking out either and software assets outperformed gold. Then, when gold made its new ATH, we entered anoth

BTC+1.16%

ETH+1.42%

XAUUSD+0.53%

RawlalGaib 2026-09-13

If you thought it was hard and frustrating to keep losing money, just be ready, because the hard part is yet to come when it comes to keeping the gains

RawlalGaib 2026-09-12

The 4 year cycle is now a 5 year cycle with the same outcome

RawlalGaib 2026-09-11

Am I crazy to say that Kevin won't hike the rates next week even though the consensus is at 86%?, I think it will be very close, but instead based on the economic projections, we’ll get a hike in December.

1
1.3k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-11

This market environment with the current monetary policy, is probably one of the best lessons we can get as market participants. You’re going to learn a lot about hikes, cuts, and the Fed over the next few days, pay close attention.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

I don't think it gets easier than this ethereum:native 6M simplified with emojis. Firstly, we've got the range from the previous cycle, where we have the body-close-up macro resistance, the body-close-down macro support, and in between, the mid-range where price consolidates, forms patterns, forms volume, and all that stuff. Every time any of those levels gets touched, you see market reactions. For instance, we've got two 6M closes above the mid-range, which means the structure of ETH remains constructive leaning bullish. If we had closed this year under 1933, it would have been bearish, and t

ETH+1.42%

1
7.89k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

I’m looking through few things here and there, some EMAs, some VP, some volatility, and came to the conclusion that this weekly close matters a lot, because it will determine how we enter into October. Expect some volatility coming from a TACO or something.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

Got such a bad sleep schedule lately, I don't know how you guys manage to do everything in a 24 hour day. I feel like it's just not enough.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-09

Are we bullish of bearish on this chart?

1
1.89k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-09

Just woke up, hope i haven't missed much, like a rug for example

RawlalGaib 2026-09-08

Remember the story behind the great financial crisis when banks originated mortgages at a fast pace, including loans to borrowers with weak credit essentially normies, ending up bundling thousands of individual mortgages together into mortgage backed securities (MBS). Well the engineering behind was more complex than that, banks took pools of MBS and repackaged them again into collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), creating CDOs of CDOs by combining lower rated slices of other CDOs.
So when banks pooled thousands of mortgages into a security, they didn't sell it as one uniform product they sl

MEME+4.34%

RawlalGaib 2026-09-06

If bitcoin:native is really in an uptrend, then we should see a move in the next few hours into the open, with continued performance over the next week.

BTC+1.16%

1.18k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-06

Bitcoin leads the first half of the year, while altcoins and ETH take over in the second half, IYKYK.

BTC+1.16%

ETH+1.42%

3.23k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-04

Got my first 1,000,000x play in my life and yet I'm not proud of it because it was pure gambling, thx $AMC

AMC-1.02%

RawlalGaib

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