Over the past year, I've kept the idea that Bitcoin won't enter a new bull market until BTC.D goes back under 40% to 30%, hovering and bouncing in this area from 100k extending towards a shallow ATH, down to 50k, up and down for several years while altcoins go through their altcoin season phases, as everyone is too focused on catching a bottom for Bitcoin, we can see the same playbook we saw back then with gold when gold remained relatively neutral to bearish, not breaking down but not breaking out either and software assets outperformed gold. Then, when gold made its new ATH, we entered anoth

BTC-4.13%

ETH-6.50%

XAUUSD-0.08%

RawlalGaib 2 days ago

If you thought it was hard and frustrating to keep losing money, just be ready, because the hard part is yet to come when it comes to keeping the gains

RawlalGaib 2026-09-12

The 4 year cycle is now a 5 year cycle with the same outcome

RawlalGaib 2026-09-11

Am I crazy to say that Kevin won't hike the rates next week even though the consensus is at 86%?, I think it will be very close, but instead based on the economic projections, we’ll get a hike in December.

1
1.23k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-11

This market environment with the current monetary policy, is probably one of the best lessons we can get as market participants. You’re going to learn a lot about hikes, cuts, and the Fed over the next few days, pay close attention.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

I don't think it gets easier than this ethereum:native 6M simplified with emojis. Firstly, we've got the range from the previous cycle, where we have the body-close-up macro resistance, the body-close-down macro support, and in between, the mid-range where price consolidates, forms patterns, forms volume, and all that stuff. Every time any of those levels gets touched, you see market reactions. For instance, we've got two 6M closes above the mid-range, which means the structure of ETH remains constructive leaning bullish. If we had closed this year under 1933, it would have been bearish, and t

ETH-6.50%

1
7.87k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

I’m looking through few things here and there, some EMAs, some VP, some volatility, and came to the conclusion that this weekly close matters a lot, because it will determine how we enter into October. Expect some volatility coming from a TACO or something.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-10

Got such a bad sleep schedule lately, I don't know how you guys manage to do everything in a 24 hour day. I feel like it's just not enough.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-09

Are we bullish of bearish on this chart?

1
1.88k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-09

Just woke up, hope i haven't missed much, like a rug for example

RawlalGaib 2026-09-08

Remember the story behind the great financial crisis when banks originated mortgages at a fast pace, including loans to borrowers with weak credit essentially normies, ending up bundling thousands of individual mortgages together into mortgage backed securities (MBS). Well the engineering behind was more complex than that, banks took pools of MBS and repackaged them again into collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), creating CDOs of CDOs by combining lower rated slices of other CDOs.
So when banks pooled thousands of mortgages into a security, they didn't sell it as one uniform product they sl

MEME-5.39%

RawlalGaib 2026-09-06

If bitcoin:native is really in an uptrend, then we should see a move in the next few hours into the open, with continued performance over the next week.

BTC-4.13%

1.17k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-06

Bitcoin leads the first half of the year, while altcoins and ETH take over in the second half, IYKYK.

BTC-4.13%

ETH-6.50%

3.21k

RawlalGaib 2026-09-04

Got my first 1,000,000x play in my life and yet I'm not proud of it because it was pure gambling, thx $AMC

AMC+0.63%

RawlalGaib 2026-09-02

Bears are happy to early, when everyone's sharing that bart pattern with short TAs predominately, imo if we see a Taco these days we can resume higher again on the ltf with oil moving lower.

RawlalGaib 2026-09-01

Someone tried to hack into my account desperately spamming for a password reset, luckily I have 2FA on, but either way if you see me posting something weird something unrelated to my current content just so you know, it wasn't me.

RawlalGaib 2026-08-31

Just a reminder that DVOL has reset back into the 35/40 area, which means once again that expansion is likely coming soon in some form or another. This is quite positive if you ask me especially since we are now finally bouncing in the cloud, which adds to the conviction that it wants to constructively move higher.
Pay attention to altcoins during this period, especially from now on because they can start getting a small taste of the flow from Bitcoin into them.

BTC-4.13%

3
2
4.54k

RawlalGaib 2026-08-31

Woke up to everyone mocking Saylor and Tom Lee for buying at these levels, it's amazing that they still don't understand they're actual job of maintaining a constructive structure for the asset while accumulation/re-accumulation and distribution/re-distribution patterns form, it's not always about manipulating sentiment, like most people think.

RawlalGaib 2026-08-26

Let me explain why 100k matters that much. You see, in previous bull market cycles, every OG at that time was screaming that Bitcoin would reach 100k, and every cycle they were wrong. Until this cycle, where Bitcoin broke through the 100k milestone with the help of institutions and ETFs.
At first, when we got there OGs sold because their long awaited target was reached, so after a short distribution phase, it plunged -32%. Later on, institutions and ETFs bought up the supply which sparked a supply shock back above 100k. At that time, the market thought we'd push higher even the OGs who initial

BTC-4.13%

1
2
2.19k

RawlalGaib

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