RawlalGaib

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Let me explain something to you guys about how the world works around money and why all these events happen.
First of all, let’s talk about why the U.S. government and why Trump want lower interest rates. The reason is because the U.S. government runs large deficits, meaning it spends more money than it collects in taxes every year, and to cover that gap they issue Treasury bonds. When interest rates are high, new debt becomes more expensive, existing debt that matures gets refinanced at higher rates, and annual interest payments explode. So even a small change in rates creates an enormous di
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How's everyone doing? :P
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interesting week ahead
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Small update I made this morning for Russell, and all I can say is that price discovery and rotation are ahead of us
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Tip of the day, watch the US10Y closely for a potential break above 4.4% heading up to 4.8%. More uncertainty is likely to follow in that time window as energy prices continue to rise. That’s where I’ll re-enter the market if we reach 4.8%. A deal now would help dodge further uncertainty
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It's pretty interesting how the FOMC is at a critical point either providing exit liquidity or breaking out as it heads into the pivot around the 10/15th and the next two days at market open will likely decide the direction for the next two weeks. Plus this is the last FOMC meeting with Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, so I’ll watch it and share my thoughts afterwards
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This chart is screaming to me that altcoins are about to go on a run, with 1% being the key level right now. We’re currently sitting at 0.98 and once we reclaim 1% the spark should kick in.
My minimum target after that breakout would be 1.37–1.40 within a 2–3 week window. The second and more ambitious target for this summer rally would be back up to the high range at 1.90–2.00.
Be aware that we’re also approaching a major macro bearish trendline that started from the previous breakdown at 8%. That’s my main macro target for the years ahead since we’re going to grind higher slowly and build in
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I don’t typically share promo code links unless it’s something genuinely valuable — not like the usual crypto exchange ones. For stocks, I’m currently using XTB, Trading 212 and rarely eToro. Yet on Trading212 they have a promo right now where you can get stocks worth $100, but it’s limited to only a few people. So if you’re interested, you can follow the steps and grab it up.
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What if I told you that the whole cycle has played out differently from people’s expectations?
ATH before the halving, a Q4 bearish phase before the cycle end, the 4-year cycle lows arriving ahead of time, and the altcoin season will also play out differently — just like the rest of the cycle, even though it feels different at the end of the day it will still play out as it always does :P copium
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Take a read of this post I made last month covering most of the market and the macro direction, short OIL and long crypto + stocks has been the right choise all along.
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For some reason i still see people tying to short or call that the bottom is not in... oh well higher i guess
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Starting to get annoyed by people who follow narratives TAO this TAO that i didn't even got to read any article because i already know it's some dumb shit... If you really think an internal discussion between investors has anything to do with the actual utility of the project, you must be studied. These hands have been swapping way before the price pumped — using the news as exit liquidity, and when the news hits the surface, the only ones selling are the retail investors, which just creates a great entry opportunity.
Take the Trump one for example when he said he would wipe Iran and burn ever
TAO-1.72%
TRUMP0.55%
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We live in an era of deception, 70–80% of what you see is misinformation—wrong posts, bad takes, AI slop, and more. If you don’t learn to judge for yourself what’s real and what isn’t, you’ll sadly end up consuming whatever nonsense gets spread by random accounts.
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If you are still following Trump and his conflict you must be delusional. At this point, just enjoy Easter with your family, because the market doesn’t give a damn about it. It’s realizing that it’s the same playbook with tariff delays, but this time with the oil situation until they sell some more barrels at $100. And the market will start reacting less and less to what he has to say or to what is happening there.
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There's a pretty interesting chart right now, the DVOL Bitcoin volatility index has started breaking down and moving lower while Bitcoin price has stayed neutral to bullish. If both start moving up together that would be quite positive.
BTC-1.66%
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Cycle bottom, no words needed if you follow me for a while.
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Trillions have flowed out of risky assets in the stock market, while Bitcoin has remained largely flat with a neutral impact. This is because the leverage cycle had already reset before the conflict even started to create fear in the market and with no crowded long positions on Bitcoin shorts are currently paying negative funding, so any positive spark from here will trigger a short squeeze that quickly fills the entire gap up to 90/96k in a very short time window.
Leverage flushed out before February → conflict starts → retail piles into shorts → Bitcoin shows no impact → conflict pauses → sh
BTC-1.66%
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Imagine being a grown ass man posting rage bait content in the big 2k26 because it’s April… Anyway, the biggest crash in human civilization history is coming this month, and Bitcoin will go sub $10k and the stock market sub 2,000
BTC-1.66%
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Working on what will likely be the most controversial and important post until at least the end of the decade
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The biggest question bears must ask themselves is: what’s going to happen next time when the VIX goes above 35 into 50? What will Bitcoin do? The majority are already betting on a breakdown from this whatever bear flag as we’re following the "2022 fractal". But what they don’t realize is that if the VIX reaches let’s say 50, that dip will be instantly absorbed, and the 2022 fractal will be invalidated the next second and the bear flag turns into a double bottom... just saying.
BTC-1.66%
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