Let me explain something to you guys about how the world works around money and why all these events happen.

First of all, let’s talk about why the U.S. government and why Trump want lower interest rates. The reason is because the U.S. government runs large deficits, meaning it spends more money than it collects in taxes every year, and to cover that gap they issue Treasury bonds. When interest rates are high, new debt becomes more expensive, existing debt that matures gets refinanced at higher rates, and annual interest payments explode. So even a small change in rates creates an enormous difference in borrowing costs. At 5% interest, the U.S. pays around $1.7 trillion a year in interest, while at 2% they pay around $680 billion a year based on the current $34 trillion debt.
Now, the FED is an independent organization, meaning it does not depend on Congress or the government. Its main goals are stable prices to control inflation, maximum employment, and financial stability. So when the FED cuts rates, they usually do it because things are under control and the economy is heading toward a soft landing.
And this is where the "3–9 month window" theory comes in. So far, this theory has played out very closely to expectations because when the FED pauses interest rates, the government is stuck with the same expensive borrowing costs. During that 3–9 month window, in order to stimulate the economy and generate market fluctuations, the government allegedly creates manufactured events that impact the world and move money through different sectors.
For example, we had the first rate cuts from August 2024 into December 2024 right before Trump took office, and then the FED entered a plateau of pauses. While the FED paused rates, the "3–9 month theory" started to play out, and according to this theory the government generated a manufactured event through the 2025 tariffs to give fluctuations. Then the FED started cutting rates again around August/September 2025 into December 2025 (almost looks like a repeating pattern). Once again the FED paused rates, the "3–9 month theory" sparked again, and according to this theory another manufactured event appeared, this time through the Iran conflict, in order to stimulate different sectors of the economy.
And now here we are again. The world keeps spinning, interest rates are paused, and soon we may get new cuts. If the new FED starts cutting rates as it comes into office, then another 3–9 month cycle begins where something major could happen again. But if the FED does not cut rates for a few more months, then during that same window more conflicts or crises could emerge, whether that’s this virus situation (which I personally doubt) or something related to NATO.
So according to this theory, all of these manufactured events have two major objectives: either to force the FED into cutting rates aggressively by creating a crisis, or to stimulate through different sectors while rates remain paused. In the meantime, the FED keeps trying to engineer a soft landing, but since a soft landing may not be dramatic enough, the government will eventually create a final and real crisis that forces the FED to cut rates all at once during one of these 3–9 month windows, preventing the FED from fully achieving that soft landing.
So now that we understand this theory, it doesn’t really matter whether the FED cuts rates next month or in 2–3 months. Once the next rate cut happens, you give it another 3–9 months and expect that something major could happen again. And like I said, if they don’t cut rates in the coming months, there’s still a chance that this Hantavirus situation or something related to NATO could become part of the current 3–9 month stimulus window.