95% shorting win rate—how much longer can $HOME /USDT hold?
HOME_USDT - Short SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.00743 – 0.00759
SL: 0.00825
TP1: 0.00696
TP2: 0.00659
TP3: 0.00604
Why focus on this setup?
- On the 4-hour timeframe it’s clearly bearish; the 1D trend has already turned bearish—any rebound is a chance to escape
- On the 15-minute RSI is only 42.44; the rebound has no strength, and the bears are in control
- The current 0.00751 is exactly at the resistance level—downside room is open to TP1 at 0.00696
Discussion:
Will this drop hit TP2 at 0.00659 first, or will it go straight with a wic

Next Week Market Outlook
I. US Stock AI Sector (Mainly Storage)
My personal view is that this round of the AI storage bull market has already topped out in the short term.
The current levels are high and fragile. Even if there is a rebound, or even a modest new high later on, it will basically be a bull trap—deceiving retail investors into taking the bait. Institutions have been quietly distributing at high levels during this period. Funds no longer want to keep pushing hard on the storage line.
Next, money will gradually rotate away from high-level AI hardware, moving into other undervalued s

When Cramer recommends your biggest position

$$TLM Last night I bought the dip at 0.0015 while the current price is 0.0022. A 29% gain is basically not impressive. This round of liquidation and chasing FOMO retail traders is a technique I’m way too familiar with.
Current market sentiment indicators: TLM Fear & Greed Index is 22 (extreme fear), and the funding rate is -0.03%. Historical extreme comparison: last time this level appeared was in October 2023—after that, within a week TLM surged from 0.0012 to 0.0038. Now it’s the exact same script: 24h trading volume is $260 million, 6 times the average of the past 30 days, yet the price pu

⏰ At 13:47 Beijing time, $1,000 XEC has just broken through 0.0078 to a 24-hour new low. Trading volume is $85.8M, and it’s entirely panic sell orders. By the time your phone screen lights up, this price may already be history—because at the order book level of 0.00779, there are fewer than 3 million open orders left; once they’re eaten, it’s a bottomless pit.
Hook maxed out: People who chased higher at 0.0094 last month are now down 17%, but what’s even more terrifying is that if 0.0078 can’t hold, the next liquidity support is at 0.0072. Why? Because before the Bitcoin ABC hard fork, the mai

7.20 Morning Outlook
Anyone who follows Polaris knows that it has already formed a position at 62,500, and I’m still holding it. There is a reason why Polaris turned around and changed direction!
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the “doto” head volume is abundant, and it is currently in the phase of turning back and rebounding. Try to keep the bids as low as possible.
Big Brother pulls back to 64,000, and 64,600 stabilizes. Look up to 65,500, then 66,500.
Second Brother pulls back to 1,840, and 1,860 stabilizes. Look up to 1,950, then 2,000.
$BTC

## Gold Morning News | July 20, Sunday 🪨
**In one sentence: The US-Iran situation keeps worsening, safe-haven funds return, and gold prices have risen back above $4,000.**
---
### Core data
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|------|------|------|
| XAU/USD | $4,017.48 | +0.55% |
| COMEX Gold | $4,023.53 | +$31.43 (+0.79%) |
| 24h range | $3,959 - $4,029 | |
| AU9999 | ~876 RMB/gram | +5.52 |
| DXY | 100.83 | +0.06% |
| US 2Y | 4.185% | |
| ATH drawdown | $5,405→$4,017 | **-25.7%** |
Brand jewelry gold: 1220-1222 RMB/gram | Recycling: ~860 RMB/gram | Bank gold bars: 887-896 RMB/gram
---
### Major

$ON Keep going long. The daily chart has already printed 5 consecutive bullish sessions, and the momentum is indeed quite strong. Looking back at previous rounds, there have been instances where price doubled in a single day; this time there may still be room to surge further. But don’t go too heavy chasing—watch the upper levels and be mindful of the pullback risk.

🤯 It blew up! The Strait of Hormuz went straight to zero—while the long side could’ve been laughing in their sleep last night!
Open your eyes and it’s a deadly hand! Iran declared, “Transit through the strait has dropped to zero—whoever comes gets hit,” and the ‘top guy’ hit back immediately with back-to-back “fierce bombardments” for the ninth consecutive night. Brent $BZ ‌
Brent crude oil directly punched through $91, and WTI $CL ‌
It climbed above $84, and surged more than 15% over the past week. The long side is eating this meal so hard they’ve got oil in their mouths—come on, let m

Tears of joy on one side. Tears of disappointment on the other.
Lionel Messi sits on the pitch and stares at the scenes around him.
Is it the last we have seen of the great one on the world stage?
Time will tell.
For now this is Spain's moment.

In the daily cycle, the candlesticks continuously form doji and small red/small green candles with shrinking bodies. The price fluctuation range compresses, with a balance between long and short sides. The chart shows ups and downs repeatedly, with no clear trend.
In the 4-hour cycle, the MACD indicator shows that the two lines have long been winding and sticking around the zero axis, crossing repeatedly, but without forming a sustained golden cross or a death cross. This suggests that the momentum of the buyers is exhausted and the momentum of the sellers is also fading, with incremental capi

Bitcoin is now less than $1,000 away from a major liquidity zone. Nearly $1B in short positions could be liquidated if BTC pushes higher, potentially triggering forced buybacks and adding momentum to the rally.
Will the shorts get squeezed, or will bears defend this level? #BTC

Crude oil $CL /USDT 4-hour bearish signal—don’t rush into longs.
CL_USDT - SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 83.76 – 83.96
SL: 84.84
TP1: 83.12
TP2: 82.63
TP3: 81.90
Why watch this setup?
- The 1-hour RSI has reached 83.86, in the overbought zone, with short-term pullback pressure.
- The 4-hour trend is bearish, but the 1D is ranging, not a one-way move.
- Entry reference: 83.86, TP1=83.12, TP2=82.63, SL=84.84.
- Why now? RSI at a high level + a 4h bearish signal; higher odds for a short-term trade.
Discussion:
Will this push first to TP2, or will it be a stop-hunt and rebound?

In a bear market, you can still make money to reward yourself.
Like the Eight Immortals crossing the sea, each shows their own special skill.

JUST IN: A crypto whale increased its BTC long to 1,662.5 BTC, valued around $108M, with an average entry near $63,958 and a ~$1.38M unrealized gain. Liquidation risk remains tight near $63.1k. $BTC

congrats to spain, well deserved world cup run
legends of 2026

SUI short with a 95% win rate—dare you to take this cut?
$SUI /USDT - Short SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.7512 – 0.7538
SL: 0.7652
TP1: 0.7430
TP2: 0.7367
TP3: 0.7272
Why focus on this structure?
- On the 4-hour timeframe, shorts are dominating. RSI on the 15-minute chart is 58.73 and has not hit overbought—any rebound is the spot to add to the position.
- Entry at 0.7525, TP1=0.7430, TP2=0.7367, stop loss at 0.7652, risk-reward ratio 2.5:1.
- The 1-day trend looks bearish. The EMA moving averages are arranged bearishly. A rebound back to 0.7525 is a standard second retest.
Discussion:
Will thi