90% Probability of a Rate Hike—The Market Has Already Written the Answer
Without a doubt, the Fed is what everyone cares about most this week. At 2 a.m. Beijing time on September 17, the rate decision will be announced, followed immediately at 2:30 a.m. by Powell’s—or rather, Warsh’s now—press conference.
First, let’s look at one figure: The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has surged into the 86%–90% range. A month ago, before the Jackson Hole central bank symposium, that probability was only around 38%. More than doubling in just a few w

#8月核心CPI超预期
August Core CPI coming in hotter than expected is another reminder that the market is not trading on crypto narratives alone. Right now, inflation, the Federal Reserve, regulatory developments, and liquidity conditions are all converging — creating an environment where volatility can expand very quickly.
For me, the biggest question is not simply what the Fed does next, but how policymakers communicate their view on inflation and future rate decisions.
A hawkish message after stronger inflation data could keep pressure on risk assets and make BTC’s recovery much harder. On the othe

#RobinhoodChainRevenueFallsFor5ConsecutiveDays
I’m watching this Robinhood Chain number closely — because at first glance, it looks much worse than the underlying activity actually is.
Robinhood Chain revenue has now fallen for five consecutive days, reaching just $723,077 over the latest 24-hour period. That puts revenue below $1 million for the fourth consecutive day. Over the last seven days, the chain generated about $8.66 million, while its previous daily peak was around $6 million.
That is a massive change from the beginning of September.
But here is the part I think traders should

🚨 JUST IN: Odds of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this week surge to 84%.

$LITE SHORT Settings | 1H
Price structure continues to favor the short side. Entry zone: 860.47–863.56 Stop loss: 880.7 Targets: TP1 842.8 (1.03R) / TP2 834.69 (1.46R) / TP3 818.48 (2.33R) Partial take-profit: 20% / 30% / 50% Notes: The 15M entry confirmation is not yet complete; the price has deviated from the planned entry and may need to retest. Status: Add to watchlist only—do not consider this setup before confirmation.

9.14 Jinman Midnight Gold Commentary: Gold prices plunged to a bottom at 4253 before rebounding—is the bearish trend reversing?
From the 15-minute chart, spot gold surged to the intraday high of 4355 during the early session before entering a one-way downward channel. Continued bearish pressure drove prices lower step by step, with the evening session hitting a low of 4253 before triggering an oversold correction and quickly rebounding to around 4290. Following the concentrated release of short-term bearish momentum, bulls and bears entered a tug-of-war in the low-price range.
Technically, on

#美联储加息会议
The way I see this Fed meeting, the rate decision itself is probably not going to be the biggest surprise. The market has already spent days positioning around a 25-basis-point move, so for me the more important question is what happens after the headline comes out. In my experience, when almost everyone is expecting the same outcome, the real volatility usually comes from the details that traders were not fully prepared for.
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its decision at 02:00 on September 17 Beijing time, followed by the press conference at 02:30. Current market expec

RV wants to claim emissions and must first pair 0.75 incentive tokens; $BERA the market showed no reaction
More than an hour ago, Berachain officially announced new MIR rules, with $BERA sitting at 0.1842, down 5.924% over 24h. My stance is clear: bullish, buy dips but don’t chase.

The rule in one sentence—RV must pair incentive tokens at a 1:0.75 ratio to claim emissions, with mainnet launch on September 18. The market has not reacted—0.1844 to 0.1842, giving away the expected upside.

Two transmission channels—mandatory pairing creates floor buying for the incentive token, and RV must a

Most traders are about to get blindsided by a quiet move in $SOL /USDT

$SOL /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 102.80 – 103.16
SL: 101.22
TP1: 104.30
TP2: 105.17
TP3: 106.49

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is firmly bullish, setting the stage for a continuation play. The 1h ATR of 0.731278 confirms enough momentum to push past resistance without stalling. We are looking at a 15m RSI of 63.64, meaning the asset has room to run before hitting overbought territory. The entry zone is locked between 102.80 and 103.16, with targets clearly marked at 104.30 and 105.17. This setup holds to

How do you rate this level of profit?
In crypto, if you don't make dozens of times your money, it's embarrassing to talk about it. Do you consider this worthwhile?

0x7759a8e27bae320b7167f241be0fc74a463b8d01 wlfi’s advisor, Ogle bought it. This is a new launchpad—what if he made it? A $90,000 market cap seems worth gambling on.

$XAG /USDT is about to expose a hidden short setup that most traders will ignore

$XAG /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 63.29 – 63.49
SL: 64.31
TP1: 62.70
TP2: 62.23
TP3: 61.54

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, which means $XAG /USDT lacks a directional push and favors short trades from resistance. The 1h price sits at 63.39, exactly at the entry_ref, giving us a clean trigger to sell. The 1h ATR of 0.38525 tells us the hourly volatility is large enough to justify the 64.31 stop. The 15m RSI at 54.85 shows momentum is neutral, not overbought, so the short bias has room to

ZEC and other privacy coins went through a round of deleveraging last Friday, with open interest dropping significantly; today saw a rebound. The volume comes from the notional value of the high-priced contracts themselves, while the privacy sector has not completely lost momentum. It is moving in the same direction as BTC, but the logic is a sector play.
$ZEC

What does everyone think of 👀 Dogecoin, Doge?

9.14 Morning and evening outlook (recommended 3%, 100x, total position no more than 5%):


ETH short: Short on a wick near 2575, stop loss 33 points

ETH long: Long on a wick near 2469, stop loss 23 points


The market is currently weak and has been moving sideways in a range. Wait for news to emerge and observe how the market breaks out,

The levels above are the current positions where orders can be placed, while the levels below are the possible highs and lows after the breakout where positions can be established

🔥ETH long: Long on a wick near 2442, stop loss 23 point

#GateSquareMidAutumnReunion
LINK/USDT Technical Analysis and Near-Term Setup
Overview
LINK/USDT is currently trading at 11.474 USDT, up 1.37% over the last 24 hours. The 24-hour range is between 11.118 (Low) and 11.494 (High), with a 24-hour turnover of 4.53M USDT. The analysis is based on the Daily (1D) and 15-minute (15m) timeframes.
Daily Timeframe (Macro Analysis)
· Trend: Following a macro bottom at 6.995, the price experienced a substantial recovery to a local high of 14.395. The asset is currently undergoing a correction from this high.
· Moving Averages: The price (11.474) is trading

$4k a day keeps the 9-5 away $SPY $Q

August CPI Data Review—Has the Rate-Hike Threshold Been Reached?
After discussing pre-meeting expectations, let’s take another look at the August CPI data itself, as this was the direct reason behind the rate-hike expectations.
U.S. CPI rose 3.4% year on year in August, unchanged from July. It rose 0.4% month on month, accelerating significantly from July’s 0.1%. Core CPI rose 0.3% month on month, above the market expectation of 0.2%.
CICC pointed out that the month-on-month rebound in inflation was mainly due to rising energy prices, higher telecommunications prices, and continued inflationar