#CPIWatch,BetOrWait?
July CPI Could Redefine the September Fed Narrative
The July US CPI report is arriving at a critical moment for global markets.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release July CPI today, August 12, at 8:30 AM ET. Markets are looking for approximately +0.1% month-over-month headline CPI and +0.2% MoM core CPI, with annual headline inflation expected around 3.4% and core inflation around 2.5%.
But the real story is not simply whether inflation rises or falls.
The bigger question is whether June's unusually soft inflation report represented the beginning of a sus

JUST IN: An Ethereum genesis wallet with 2,680 ETH has activated after 11+ years of dormancy, now worth ~$5.05M. If dormant addresses reactivating signals any shift in long-term holder behavior, watch for potential macro cues around ETH supply dynamics. $ETH

Dear, Asia’s largest and most hardcore Bitcoin conference, Bitcoin Asia 2026, is coming to Hong Kong soon~
📅 August 27–28
📍 Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre
And this year’s lineup is seriously impressive
Moonlight just finished looking through this year’s guest list
and feels those two days could very well become the liveliest place in the entire Asian crypto scene at the end of August
CZ will headline the Nakamoto Stage, and there will also be an on-site book signing!
Balaji Srinivasan, author of “The Network State”
Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich
Justin Sun, David Bailey
as well as

Key financial data and events on Wednesday, August 12!

📌August 12 operation: Short at daytime highs and wait for CPI to set the direction
As we flagged last night, BTC pulled back 1,000 points, but the rebound was weak this morning. Support emerged around 63,400, but 63,850 was not broken to the upside. Trading volume did not increase significantly during the rebound. This structure currently looks more like a recovery after a decline than a reversal into a new trend
I remain cautious today. The reason is not simply that I am bearish on BTC, but that the macro environment is temporarily unfavorable for risk assets
First, US-Iran negotiations have

A whale withdrew 9,000 ETH (approximately $16.87 million) from Gemini again today. Over the past month, the wallet has withdrawn approximately 121k ETH (approximately $227 million) in total, transferred it to self-custody, and staked most of its holdings.

【$CLO Signal】1H golden cross with increased volume + 4H bullish expansion
$CLO 24-hour gain of 22.08%, with the 1H MACD forming a golden cross on increased volume. The 4H MACD bullish momentum is expanding, with three consecutive histogram bars widening. RSI 1H is 61.65, leaving buyers with further strength. Order book depth imbalance is 6.56%, with thick buy-one orders suppressing sell-side pressure. The funding rate is 0.0502%; perpetual longs are not paying a high cost, open interest is stable, and there are currently no signs of a liquidation cascade.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/limit order:

$SKHYNIX with a gold order

O Allah, protect Imran Khan.

8.12 Morning Bitcoin/Ethereum Market Analysis — Shiyuan’s View
Bitcoin surged to 65482 before coming under pressure and falling sharply, now priced at 63827; Ethereum likewise hit a high of 1943 before plunging, now reported at 1885. The two major cryptocurrencies accumulated substantial profit-taking positions after their consecutive gains, and concentrated selling triggered the sharp drop, releasing high-level risks. Do not blindly buy the dip and try to catch a falling knife!

Bitcoin
Resistance: 64200–64800
Support: First watch 63300–63500, then strong support at 63200
Recommendation: Set

$HSK Daily Post #63 HSK's parent company will release its financial report next month. Not sure whether the situation has improved.

Little Genius: Gold enters range-bound consolidation; tonight’s CPI will determine strength or weakness
The long entry levels given yesterday were not reached. Instead, gold showed a typical high-level surge-and-pullback washout, with the intraday high reaching 4435 before coming under pressure and retreating, quickly falling to test the key support at 4350.
The daily candle ultimately closed as a bearish candle with a long upper shadow. A long upper-shadow candlestick indicates heavy selling pressure above, with clear profit-taking by bulls at high levels. Short-term upward momentum needs to

Is $CATE going to get another crime pump?

Watching 64K slowly bleed lower
BTC has printed three red candles in four days, grinding from 64900 to 63700
The long-short ratio is still stuck at 1.8
Gold hit a new high at 4431, safe-haven flows are running, while crypto is still waiting for a V-shaped reversal
But this time is different
64K broke too quietly; the last time it was this quiet, the next leg down was 10%
I’m staying flat and waiting
Not buying the dip

Crypto market sectors broadly pulled back, with the NFT sector down 25.62% over 24 hours. Audiera (BEAT) fell sharply by 55.02%. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 1.85%, falling below $65k; Ethereum (ETH) declined 2.44%, falling below $1,900.

Yesterday, gold prices surged again to touch a high of 4435 before coming under pressure and pulling back, with the intraday low reaching around 4356.
On the news front, the US-Iran conflict remains tense, passage through the Strait of Hormuz is obstructed, inflation remains unresolved, and expectations of interest rate hikes have increased somewhat.
After yesterday’s surge and pullback under pressure, the bulls’ upward momentum has clearly weakened, with significant resistance overhead.
Continue to watch the 4400 level today; if it fails to break through effectively and hold above it, confide

August 12 Market Update: BTC Retests the 63.7K Key Support Zone as Bulls and Bears Clash Intensifies Ahead of CPI Inflation Data】
📊 Key Data Today:
• BTC Spot Price: ~$63,700 – $63,850 (pulled back after repeatedly failing to break through the $65,000–$65,400 resistance, remaining range-bound intraday)
• Macro Outlook: Market focus has fully shifted to the U.S. July CPI (Consumer Price Index) data due to be released this week. The rebound in crude oil prices triggered by geopolitical tensions has also caused marginal disruptions to inflation expectations, with market funds generally turning c