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Deep analysis of Polymarket data—Is the 56.5% win rate reliable?
The data on Polymarket about this match is quite interesting. England's win probability is about 56.5%, a draw at 25.5%, and Croatia around 18%. Kalshi's data is similar—England 57%, draw 26%, Croatia 17%.
Compared to traditional betting, England's payout is roughly -138 (implied probability 58%), a draw +280 (26%), Croatia +450 (18%). The numbers on both sides are highly consistent, indicating a very clear market consensus: England has a higher chance of winning, but not overwhelmingly so, and the probability of a draw should no
KALSHI-0.05%
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ENG VS HRV
England
1.72x
58%
Draw
3.85x
26%
Croatia
5.56x
18%
$1.49M Vol
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$H um dos holds should be that hacker, his wallet will be emptied?
H-18.07%
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#PredictWorldCup🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿vs🇭🇷
Football fans worldwide are preparing for an exciting showdown as **England (🏴)** takes on **Croatia (🇭🇷)** in the latest **#PredictWorldCup** event. The match promises a thrilling battle between two talented European teams known for their technical quality, tactical intelligence, and competitive spirit. As supporters analyze team form and make predictions, the fixture has become one of the most talked-about contests among football enthusiasts and sports communities.
England enters the match with a reputation as one of international football's strongest
BTC0.90%
ETH0.61%
GT0.58%
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#BTW Through data analysis from Aice100, it can be seen that when $BTW price is around $0.06713, the 24-hour price change is +8.62%.
In simple terms, the short-term rally has been pushed again, and funds are still following the trend.
What to watch out for is that the large investors' positions have just shifted from long to short (54:46 → 46:54). The long-short positions on the big side are 46:54, clearly leaning bearish, following the trend and returning to the trend, with support at the pullback being key.
Holding above $0.06545 still offers room for recovery; only when it recovers back a
BTW1.17%
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#PredictWorldCupWin40000U
FIFA World Cup 2026 is not just about watching matches on TV anymore, it is happening on Gate too. Gate has launched an incredible event called PredictWorldCupWin40000U where you can share a 40,000 USDT prize pool using your football knowledge and trading skills. This event runs from June 9 to July 21, 2026, and participation is so simple that anyone can join. Just use the hashtag PredictWorldCupWin40000U on Gate Square, or share the official Gate World Cup campaign page with your opinions. Do this and you become eligible for the prize pool.
Now let us talk about the
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𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗧𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝘂𝗲𝘀 𝗧𝗼 𝗘𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘃𝗲 𝗔𝗰𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗿𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲, 𝗨𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝗔𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝗱𝗼𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻
The past week brought several notable developments across the BitTorrent ecosystem, highlighting continued progress in network infrastructure, asset accessibility, and global user adoption.
Here's a closer look at what happened.
𝗕𝗧𝗧𝗖 𝗕𝗥𝗜𝗗𝗚𝗘 𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗜𝗧𝗦 𝗡𝗘𝗫𝗧 𝗣𝗛𝗔𝗦𝗘
BitTorrent announced the phased shutdown of the BTTC Bridge, marking an important infrastructure transition for the ecosystem.
As blockchain networks mature, periodic u
BTT0.14%
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6/18
ETH Short-term Long (Buy/Long) Strategy
ETH0.61%
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Gate Square Little Classroom 🧑‍🏫
What is a crypto whale?
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⚽🏆Editor's assertion is that Portugal 🇵🇹 will start Cristiano Ronaldo tonight, but Portugal's 🇵🇹 chances of winning are not high because he will drag down the entire attacking rhythm of Portugal, as Portugal now has the strongest midfield combination of Manchester United ➕ Manchester City ➕ Paris Saint-Germain, and doesn't really need Ronaldo. Ronaldo's participation will only affect their performance.
Portugal's midfield is currently the top tier in world football, with the most complete functional division and the most exaggerated depth, widely regarded as one of the strongest midfiel
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$MAGMA Signal】Bullish momentum continues; a 1H pullback sets up a buy on dips
$MAGMA 4H Bollinger upper band is directly pierced through by price, reaching a high of 0.527. The MACD histogram bars are still expanding. The 1H buy ratio fell from 0.52 to 0.48, and the short-term pullback has already entered the 0.497-0.498 zone. The depth buy-to-sell order ratio is only 0.32; sell walls are stacking, but the price is not breaking down—buyers’ resilience is stronger than expected.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Order: 0.4972 - 0.4987
🛑Stop Loss: 0.49375
🚀Target 1: 0.50622
🚀Target 2: 0.50996
🛡️Tr
MAGMA32.33%
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Kane’s terrifying season—36 goals and 5 assists; he alone can dismantle Croatia.
We’ve talked about defense—now let’s discuss England’s sharpest knife: Harry Kane.
This season, Kane has put up the most outrageous numbers of his professional career at Bayern Munich: 36 goals and 5 assists in the Bundesliga, and 61 goals in 51 matches across all competitions. Among the top five European leagues, the only forward ahead of anyone else is Haaland with 27— the gap is simply absurd. Kane alone is almost like an entire attacking system—he can drop back to receive and organize, win chances in the box,
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ENG VS HRV
England
1.72x
58%
Draw
3.85x
26%
Croatia
5.56x
18%
$1.49M Vol
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布局大饼以太
gate liveLIVE
1,771
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TalkingAboutMemeAsTheCoinMakes:
Buy the dip 😎
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Don't miss out: Your first plaza benefit is right here! 🧧
Chat World Cup and get red envelopes, post 100% winning, up to 10U ETH!
💰 What's the most cost-effective way to claim?
1️⃣ Post your first plaza creation, red envelope credited directly!
2️⃣ Share your World Cup predictions, the more posts, the bigger the red envelope!
3️⃣ Top 100 will receive prizes, Gate World Cup gift boxes waiting for you!
🗓 The event runs until June 30th, participate early for a better chance at the leaderboard!
Details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/100168
#BTC #ETH #HYPE #SEC
ETH0.61%
BTC0.90%
HYPE2.62%
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#GateLaunchesHongKongStockTrading
🚀 Gate TradFi Launches Hong Kong Stock Trading — Over 1,000 HK Stocks Now Accessible with USDT
Big news for global investors: Gate has officially launched Hong Kong stock trading, bringing over 1,000 HKEX-listed stocks directly to the Gate platform. This marks a major expansion of Gate TradFi's global equity product matrix, now covering both U.S. and Hong Kong markets under one unified account.
What's New?
Starting now, users who upgrade their Gate App to v8.23.5 or above can trade Hong Kong-listed stocks using USDT — no traditional brokerage account needed,
TENCENT-0.30%
HSBC2.13%
XIAOMI-0.98%
MEITUAN-1.13%
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Tonight, $spcx experienced its first adjustment since going public, but $RKLB has finally ended its early adjustments and started to rise.
I currently hold stocks of these two companies. Will their future trends cause their stock prices to oppose each other—if $SPCX rises, will $RKLB fall?
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RidingTheWindAndBrea:
Is it possible that the script was reversed by you?
#USIranPeaceDealReachedStraitOfHormuzToOpen
The US–Iran peace agreement has already triggered a sharp drop in oil prices and a modest rally in Bitcoin and other risk assets. Lower energy costs, reduced geopolitical risk, and a weaker dollar outlook are the main channels through which crypto markets are benefiting.
Energy Market Impact
Oil prices fell 4–5% immediately after the announcement, with Brent crude sliding to around $83–87 per barrel.
The Strait of Hormuz reopening restores ~20% of global oil flows, removing a major supply risk.
Crypto mining benefit: Lower fossil fuel benchmarks can
BTC0.90%
NAS100-0.23%
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Syeda:
To The Moon 🌕
Don't miss out: Your first plaza benefit is right here! 🧧
Chat about the World Cup to earn red envelopes, post to win 100% chance, up to 10U ETH!
💰 What's the most cost-effective way to claim?
1️⃣ Post your first plaza creation, red envelope credited directly!
2️⃣ Share your World Cup predictions, the more posts, the bigger the red envelopes!
3️⃣ Top 100 will receive prizes, Gate World Cup gift boxes waiting for you!
🗓 The event runs until June 30th, participate early for a better chance at the leaderboard!
Details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/100168
#BTC #ETH #HYPE #SEC
ETH0.61%
BTC0.90%
HYPE2.62%
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🚨 SPX6900 IS PUMPING… BUT WHY? 🚨
This is not random. In crypto, nothing moves without a reason 👇
Here’s what’s actually driving it:
1️⃣ Narrative rotation
Meme money is flowing back into old meta coins again
2️⃣ Low liquidity
Small buys = big green candles fast
3️⃣ Big whale activity
A masive wallets are moving price more than retail ever could
4️⃣ Social media hype
Once X starts talking, FOMO does the rest
5️⃣ Shorts getting squeezed
Traders bet against it… and get forced out, SPX wins and goes up
Now the real question 👇
Is this the beginning of a bigger run… can SPX6900 reach above $1 s
SPX19.08%
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Vosh's debut is approaching, tonight is highly likely to switch to a bullish rhythm
Today, the overall market was relatively weak throughout the day, with the ten-day rally and rebound lacking buying momentum. After breaking below a key support in the afternoon, it continued to decline, and the upward momentum on the daily chart has come to a halt. The market has already signaled a retreat consistent with the Fed's hawkish expectations.
This early morning at 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve's decision is almost certain to keep interest rates unchanged. The real factors influencing the market are Vo
BTC0.90%
ETH0.61%
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𝗝𝗦𝗧 𝗢𝗻-𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝘂𝗲𝘀 𝗧𝗼 𝗔𝗰𝗰𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲
Strong ecosystems leave measurable signals.
Not just through price action, but through increasing user activity, deeper liquidity, and growing transaction volume.
The latest on-chain data for JST highlights momentum across all three areas.
𝗡𝗘𝗧𝗪𝗢𝗥𝗞 𝗔𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗩𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗜𝗦 𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗘
Recent metrics show:
• Transfers: 4,005 (+36.97%)
• Trading Volume: $32.56M (+13.88%)
• Liquidity: $9.00M (+2.16%)
These figures point to increased participation across the JST ecosystem, with users actively moving as
TRX1.57%
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