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$55 HYPE, do you dare to buy the dip?
First look at the surface: bearish news bombarded, but the price hasn't collapsed.
In the past 7 days, down 20-25%, from ATH 75.5 back 26%, trading volume exploded to 1.1 billion USD. The candlestick shows: sharp rise then fall + volume expansion for correction, currently oscillating between 52-58, today’s small positive candle + moderate volume increase—this is called “healthy correction,” not trend reversal.
First thing: unlocking scared away the retail investors, but not the institutions.
On June 6, large token unlock, core contributors worth hundreds of millions of dollars, Wintermute-related addresses net short, Arthur Hayes publicly exited and added to the short.
But look carefully—
HYPE only dropped 25%, while other altcoins’ unlocks directly halved.
Grayscale launched a HYPE staking ETF, institutional funds are entering through compliant channels. USDC treasury cooperation, Hyperliquid Treasury continues to accumulate HYPE and execute buybacks.
Second thing: the buyback mechanism is the biggest trump card for HYPE.
Hyperliquid’s Assistance Fund automatically uses 97%-99% of trading fees to continuously buy HYPE on the open market. Over $1-1.3 billion has been repurchased, which is unique in the entire crypto space.
Third thing: a strange phenomenon appears on the technical side.
From 75.5 down to 55, a 26% correction, exactly hitting the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level + monthly VWAP. RSI enters oversold zone, MACD histogram narrows below zero line, price rebounds after touching Bollinger lower band.
Volume increased during the correction, indicating panic selling. Today’s small positive candle + volume gently expanding, a typical sign of a pre-oversold rebound.
Bull-bear showdown, see for yourself
One side:
Grayscale launched HYPE staking ETF, institutional channels open
Buyback mechanism has repurchased over $1 billion, ongoing deflation
Protocol annual revenue billions USD, real cash flow
Strong support at 52-54, technical oversold
Platform cleans up low-quality assets, ecosystem quality improves
Other side:
June 6 unlock selling pressure not fully digested
Arthur Hayes bearish + Wintermute shorting
BTC market unstable, if 60k breaks, altcoins will flood blood
Huge trapped positions above 75.5, short-term hard to break through
Key level 55, only 3 dollars away from the critical 52 line.
Resistance above: 58-60 → 65-68 → 75+ (ATH)
Support below: 52-54 → 48-50
Short-term traders:
Lightly try long around 55, or wait for a dip to 52-54. Stop loss below 51.5, target 60→65-68. Today’s small positive candle rebound, if volume breaks through 58, add to positions.
Swing traders:
DCA in three batches within 52-56, hold until fundamentals further confirm (high trading volume/OI + stable buyback scale). Target 75+.
Hedging risks:
If it falls below 52 with increased volume, cut losses and exit, wait for 48-50 to re-enter.
HYPE now is like SOL in 2023—
Everyone said “FTX legacy mess,” but it rose from 8 to 200, a 25x increase.
Every panic during unlocks is just the main players shaking out the weak hands.
Any project with real cash flow won’t be buried by the market.
The day 75 breaks through, you’ll realize:
It’s not HYPE that’s weak, it’s your constant doubt when falling, #Gate直通IPO认购SpaceX chasing high when rising.