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#美伊冲突升级 Analysis of the Wolf 🔍: The market is “holding its breath”—but this time, it isn’t a sign of a decline.
#BTC From today’s low of 60,755, it rebounded strongly to 62,800, up 2.11% over the past 24 hours, but this figure obscures the real abnormality:
Core anomaly: BTC 1-hour trading volume collapses
In the last hour (23:00 UTC), the volume was only 64.5 BTC—just 1/10 of the average volume over the previous 3 hours. Compared with today’s peak (986 BTC), it’s down 93%.
This isn’t “nobody stepping in,” but a typical consolidation at high levels with shrinking volume—both bulls and bears are waiting for a new catalyst.
Market Situation
• BTC: 62,664 / +2.11% | 24H high and low: 60,755 - 62,858
• ETH: 1,649 / +1.29% | 24H high and low: 1,603 - 1,668
• SOL: 64.90 / +1.42% | 24H high and low: 62.34 - 65.77
• BNB: 594.75 / +1.60% | 24H high and low: 580.68 - 598.52
All major coins show the traits of “holding the downside losses, with gains kept in check,” and the market isn’t panicking.
Today’s key focus: Overnight US PPI data came in above expectations, and rate-cut expectations cooled again—but the crypto market didn’t follow US stocks lower. Instead, it staged an independent rebound. The negative impact from tariff-related events has already been partially priced in within the market, and the bulls are defending from this level with a support move.
Funding rates are near zero (B advantage perpetual contracts: 0.003%), and there’s no obvious bullish or bearish divergence in the derivatives market.
I believe this kind of trading-volume cliff usually leads to two outcomes: a rapid rebound or a slow, low-volume fade. Based on the current macro pricing logic, this time it’s more likely the former—the market is completing short-term position turnover in the 62,000-63,000 range, building energy for a subsequent breakout.
But the area above 63,500-64,000 is a dense trapped zone, and it needs new external catalysts to break through.
This week’s key thing to watch: If volume expands again and price holds above 62,000, it can be seen as a signal for a short-term long. Conversely, if volume shrinks again, be wary of a false breakout followed by a pullback near 61,000.
What do you think? After the trading-volume cliff, do you believe the market will choose to break upward or downward? 👇
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⚠️ This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Contracts carry risks—please assess rationally.
#美国5月CPI创三年新高