A Case Review: Thoughts on the "77,000 Support"

In the past few days, although I judged 77,000 as a strong support, my strategy was too conservative, insisting on waiting for an unrealistic low (76,666) before entering the market, resulting in four days of waiting and completely missing the opportunity. This rigidity caused by pursuing the perfect entry point is undesirable.

Optimized Decision-Making Framework: Dynamic Risk-Reward Assessment

1. Scenario A (Normal Market Conditions): If the day's high drops to around 77,850, then the profit and loss ratio at 77,200 is unfavorable, and avoiding long positions is reasonable. This reflects respect for the risk-reward ratio.

2. Scenario B (Favorable Market Conditions): If the day's high exceeds 78,500, it indicates a shift in market focus with stronger bullish momentum. At this point, as long as the price does not effectively break below the wide support zone of 78,450–77,085, one can look for signs of stabilization within the range to enter. The logic is: even if the rebound does not reach a new high, the price is highly likely to fluctuate within the 77,700–78,500 range, providing sufficient profit potential.

Core Conclusion

The essence of short-term trading lies in making decisions based on the current market structure (support/resistance) and risk-reward ratio (profit and loss ratio), rather than stubbornly pursuing a preset perfect price. Flexibility and timely action when the win rate and payout ratio are favorable are key to continuously accumulating profits. $BTC $GT $ETH