Monetary Policy

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Bitcoin holds firm at $66,000, as expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates fall to 58% after the Iran-U.S. agreement.

Bitcoin fell from the early-week high of $67,292 on June 16, held steady above $66,000, and was reported at $66,336. CME’s “FedWatch” tool shows that after the U.S.-Iran framework agreement was reached, traders reduced the probability of a Fed rate hike in December from nearly 70% last week to 58%. During the French G7 summit, President Trump announced that the two sides, the U.S. and Iran, have completed the electronic signing of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). Fed Rate-Hike Expectations
MarketWhisper·06-16 01:02
Bitcoin holds firm at $66,000, as expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates fall to 58% after the Iran-U.S. agreement.

Key crypto market events this week: FOMC decision, expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, and the Iran–U.S. agreement

This week in the cryptocurrency market (June 16-19) faces four major macro events: the US-Iran peace agreement is expected to be signed in Switzerland on the 19th; the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will hold meetings on June 16-17; Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Walshe will announce his first policy rate decision on June 17; and the Bank of Japan is also expected to discuss in its June 15-16 meeting whether to raise the short-term policy rate from 0.75% to 1.0%. This Week’s Key Macro Event S
CME4.93%
MarketWhisper·06-15 03:37
Key crypto market events this week: FOMC decision, expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, and the Iran–U.S. agreement

BTC 15-minute short-term surge of 0.76%: technical support bounce aligning with short-covering ahead of the FOMC meeting

From 14:45 to 15:00 UTC on June 12, 2026, BTC saw a short-term spike within 15 minutes, delivering a +0.76% return. The price moved within the 63,462.2–64,011.2 USDT range, with a 0.86% amplitude. The price anomaly occurred on the eve of an FOMC meeting, when market attention was high. Although the volatility was limited, trading volume increased, indicating intensified competition between bulls and bears. The main driver behind this anomaly was a rebound from a technical support level combined
BTC-0.85%
GateNews·06-12 15:04
BTC 15-minute short-term surge of 0.76%: technical support bounce aligning with short-covering ahead of the FOMC meeting

Bank of Japan rate hike probability reaches 93%; Ueda Kazuo absent from policy meeting due to hospitalization

Reuters, based on data from the swaps market, shows that the probability of Japan’s central bank (BOJ) raising interest rates from 0.75% to 1% at its policy meeting on June 15-16 is 93%. This would be Japan’s highest policy rate since 1995. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda (74) was admitted to the hospital on June 10 due to an infection from a liver cyst, and will be absent from this two-day policy meeting; the meeting will be chaired by Deputy Governor Ryozo Hino. Rate-hike expectations confirmed: Reute
BTC-0.85%
MarketWhisper·06-12 03:27
Bank of Japan rate hike probability reaches 93%; Ueda Kazuo absent from policy meeting due to hospitalization

How big is the impact of CPI on the BTC market? With inflation data at 4.2%, how will rate-hike expectations hit the crypto market?

In May, the Consumer Price Index returned to above 4% for the first time in three years, with energy prices becoming the key driver. Compared with April, the mild performance of core inflation formed a split combination of overall heat and an restrained core. This structural “temperature difference” not only makes the rate-hike path increasingly hard to pin down, but also directly affects the pricing benchmark of crypto assets in a strong-US-dollar environment. According to data from the U.S. De
BTC-0.85%
XAUUSD-0.08%
USIDX-0.11%
NAS100-0.30%
GateInstantTrends·06-11 11:29
How big is the impact of CPI on the BTC market? With inflation data at 4.2%, how will rate-hike expectations hit the crypto market?

US May CPI data is about to be released: expectations of further Fed rate hikes are reignited, and Bitcoin and gold are both under pressure

At 20:30 Beijing time on June 10, 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the May Consumer Price Index. This is the final key inflation data point ahead of the first FOMC policy meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Wosch, scheduled for June 16 to 17. Market expectations are that overall CPI year-over-year growth will rise to 4.2%, the highest since March 2023, and the first time inflation has returned to above 4% in nearly three years. Core CPI excluding food and energy is expected t
BTC-0.85%
ETH-0.23%
GLDX0.79%
PAXG-0.01%
GateInstantTrends·06-10 08:58
US May CPI data is about to be released: expectations of further Fed rate hikes are reignited, and Bitcoin and gold are both under pressure