Gate Instant Trends

World Cup Group Stage: Why does the prediction market give Spain a 92% win rate against Cape Verde?

In the first round of Group H at the 2026 USA/Canada/Mexico World Cup, Spain will face their brand-new World Cup debutant, Cabo Verde, in a direct showdown on the pitch. Based on Gate prediction market data, as of June 15, 2026, the capital bet on Spain to win stands at 92%, the probability of a draw between the two teams is 6.3%, and Cabo Verde pulling off an upset win is only 2.6%. Such a stark probability spread is uncommon in crypto prediction markets. This distribution is not random fluctua

12h ago

Peace deal between the US and Iran reached: BTC, gold, and US stock index futures all surge, while crude oil plunges 4%

On June 15, 2026, global financial markets saw a dramatic synchronized bout of volatility. From crude oil to gold, from US stock futures to cryptocurrencies, nearly all major asset classes repriced in clear-cut directions along the same time axis. The immediate trigger for this volatility was the rapid rollout of the US-Iran peace agreement. On June 14, US President Trump announced on social media that the agr

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BTC1.36%

19h ago

SpaceX officially lists: Gate completes SPCX subscription and distribution; SPCX hits a high of $176

Stocks

Market Analysis

Capital Flow

On June 12, 2026, SpaceX officially listed on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share, corresponding to an estimated valuation of about $1.77 trillion. The fundraising size reached $75 billion, surpassing Saudi Aramco’s 2019 IPO record to become the largest public offering in human history. According to Gate stock quote data, SPCX touched a high of $176.5 intraday on its first trading day and ultimately closed at $161.27. For crypto industry investors, the significance of the Spac

20h ago

World Cup group stage: Sweden vs Tunisia — which team does the prediction market see more funds favoring?

Prediction Market

Less than 12 hours remain before Sweden’s Group F opener against Tunisia. According to Gate’s prediction market data, the current market assigns a 51% probability to Sweden winning, 29% to a draw, and 21% to Tunisia winning. This probability distribution reflects the market’s overall assessment of the two teams’ combined strength: Sweden is viewed as the side more likely to win, but not with overwhelming advantage—while the possibility of a draw is also priced in accordingly. {currencycard:polym

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06-14 14:18

World Cup group stage: Netherlands vs Japan — which does the prediction market money favor more?

Prediction Market

On June 14, 2026, Beijing time, the World Cup group-stage match between the Netherlands and Japan is set to kick off within 16 hours. Crypto prediction markets have become an important data source for event expectation analysis. Gate prediction market data shows that the current capital is betting on a 48% probability of the Netherlands winning, a 27% probability of a draw, and a 26% probability of Japan winning. This probability distribution is not a simple win-or-lose prediction, but a market

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06-14 04:42

Brazil vs Morocco is about to kick off— which team does the prediction market favor more?

Prediction Market

As of June 13, 2026, according to Gate’s prediction market data, the win-rate distribution for Brazil vs. Morocco in the group stage is as follows: Brazil win probability 59%, draw probability 26%, and Morocco win probability 18%. The market trading volume for this predicted event has already exceeded $5.3 million, reflecting crypto users’ high level of engagement and enthusiasm for this Group C showdown. This probability distribution is broadly aligned with the

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06-13 14:21

World Cup Group Stage: USA vs Paraguay — Who do the betting market funds favor more?

Prediction Market

On June 13, 2026 at 9:00 AM Beijing time, the host U.S. team will face Paraguay at the Los Angeles Stadium to kick off Group D’s first match. This is the second time the two teams have met in the World Cup—going back to the inaugural World Cup in 1930, when the U.S. beat the opponent 3-0, with Patnaud becoming the first player in World Cup history to score a hat-trick. For crypto industry prediction market participants, the suspense of this match isn’t about “who can win,” but about “why the mar

POLYMARKET-0.32%

06-12 14:41

SpaceX’s fundraising of over $7.5 billion lands on Nasdaq—can the crypto market’s liquidity performance stand up to the test?

On June 12, 2026, SpaceX, trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under stock ticker SPCX, officially began trading in a fresh listing. The offer price was set at $135 per share, implying a market cap of approximately $1.77 trillion. The base capital-raising size was as high as $75 billion, and if the underwriters exercised their over-allotment option, it could reach up to $86 billion—setting a new global record for IPO fundraising. Dubbed by the market as a “century IPO” capital feast, this

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06-12 08:59

Win rate 53% vs 21%: Why do prediction market funds favor Canada over Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Prediction Market

On June 13, 2026 at 3:00 a.m. (Beijing time), with the host nation Canada, the stage will welcome the third-ever World Cup journey in the team’s history at Toronto’s BMO Field. Their first match is against Bosnia and Herzegovina, which returns to the World Cup stage after 12 years. As the world’s first centralized exchange to integrate Polymarket, Gate prediction market data shows: the probability of Canada winning in the current market is 53%, the probability of a draw is 27%, and the probabili

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06-12 04:30

World Cup group stage: Belgium vs Egypt—why does the betting market bankroll favor Belgium with a 62% win rate?

Previous

World Cup Group Stage: Why does the prediction market give Spain a 92% win rate against Cape Verde?

Peace deal between the US and Iran reached: BTC, gold, and US stock index futures all surge, while crude oil plunges 4%

SpaceX officially lists: Gate completes SPCX subscription and distribution; SPCX hits a high of $176

World Cup group stage: Sweden vs Tunisia — which team does the prediction market see more funds favoring?

World Cup group stage: Netherlands vs Japan — which does the prediction market money favor more?

Brazil vs Morocco is about to kick off— which team does the prediction market favor more?

World Cup Group Stage: USA vs Paraguay — Who do the betting market funds favor more?

SpaceX’s fundraising of over $7.5 billion lands on Nasdaq—can the crypto market’s liquidity performance stand up to the test?

Win rate 53% vs 21%: Why do prediction market funds favor Canada over Bosnia and Herzegovina?