Monetary Policy

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New uncertainty surrounds a September Fed rate hike: After July NFP unexpectedly declined, how are prediction markets repricing?

On August 7, data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics completely overturned market expectations. July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23k, sharply deviating from the market expectation of an increase of 80k and coming in below the lower bound of every economist’s forecast range—the weakest performance since 2026. Meanwhile, May and June nonfarm payrolls were revised down by a combined 103k jobs: May was revised from +129k to +63k, and June from +57k to +20k. The deterioration in employment
NAS1001.15%
US5000.60%
USIDX-0.34%
GLDX-0.29%
PAXG0.17%
GateInstantTrends·08-07 14:21
New uncertainty surrounds a September Fed rate hike: After July NFP unexpectedly declined, how are prediction markets repricing?

Interim Strait of Hormuz Agreement Reached as NFP Data Looms: How Will the Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin Markets Reprice?

On August 7, 2026, Beijing time, financial markets are simultaneously at the intersection of two major variables. The first variable comes from the U.S. labor market. The July NFP employment data due to be released tonight, Beijing time, is widely regarded by the market as a key basis for assessing the Federal Reserve’s next policy path—whether the U.S. economy is continuing to cool, whether the Fed has room to cut rates, and whether dollar liquidity will improve will all be reflected in the dat
XTIUSD-1.48%
XBRUSD-1.63%
XAUUSD2.39%
BTC-0.16%
GateInstantTrends·08-07 01:39
Interim Strait of Hormuz Agreement Reached as NFP Data Looms: How Will the Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin Markets Reprice?

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 199k, while Bitcoin gave back its gains to trade at $64,312

Bitcoin fell to $64,312 on August 7, mainly due to stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data, which fueled expectations of an interest rate hike. The U.S. Department of Labor announced that initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1 totaled 199k, below economists’ forecast of 204k. CME FedWatch data showed that traders saw a 54.71% chance of a 25-bps rate hike in September. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Key Macroeconomic Indicators Based on the latest data from the U.S. Department o
CME-0.27%
C0.85%
MarketWhisper·08-07 01:01
美國初次申請失業救濟降至19.9萬推動比特幣下跌

Bitcoin rebounds to $64,640; Coldcard vulnerability drives active wallets to a three-month high

Bitcoin edged up to $64,640 on Aug. 6. Santiment’s latest data shows that the number of active Bitcoin wallets surged to 712k last week, while the number of whale transactions worth more than $100k each reached 61,800. Santiment said the surge in activity was related to a vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets, with the loss of 2,055 BTC prompting investors to withdraw funds and strengthen their custody strategies. Key Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics at a Glance According to the latest data from Sa
BTC-0.16%
ADP-0.80%
US5000.60%
UK1000.35%
CL1.34%
MarketWhisper·08-06 00:58
Coldcard漏洞引發比特幣活躍錢包創三個月新高

BTC rose slightly by 0.34% over 15 min: The escalation of the US-Iran conflict boosted safe-haven demand, while a large investor accumulated 19,610 BTC against the trend.

From 16:00 to 16:15 UTC on August 5, 2026, BTC rose 0.34% over the 15-minute period, trading within a range of 64,392.2–64,609.8 USDT. Although the gain was limited, BTC moved against the broader trend in a market dominated by risk-off sentiment, attracting significantly increased attention. The primary driver of this move was the continued escalation of the U.S.-Iran military conflict. U.S. Central Command confirmed that it had intercepted 45 merchant ships, disabled two, and boarded and inspec
BTC-0.16%
GLDX-0.29%
PAXG0.17%
GateNews·08-05 16:16
BTC rose slightly by 0.34% over 15 min: The escalation of the US-Iran conflict boosted safe-haven demand, while a large investor accumulated 19,610 BTC against the trend.