Monetary Policy

According to Grayscale research chief Zach Pandl on July 23, if the Federal Reserve pauses rate hikes and economic growth remains stable, Bitcoin may have already bottomed. Pandl noted two prevailing market views on when the crypto bear market will end: one follows the "four-year cycle" tied to

On July 22, 2026, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continued its upward trend, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day and briefly trading above the 101 level intraday. Prior to that, over the previous week the DXY had been hovering around 100.76; within just a few days, the dollar completed the shift from consolidation to breakout. This leg of dollar strength was directly triggered by two directions. One was the rapid escalation of geopolitical risk in the Middle East—U.S. forces launched atta

From 17:45 to 18:00 (UTC) on July 21, 2026, BTC fell 0.44% within 15 minutes. The price ranged from 66,038.6 to 66,507.8 USDT, with an Ampl of 0.71%. Market volatility intensified as geopolitical risk and liquidity depletion created a short-term synchronized effect. The main driver behind this anomaly was fluctuations in risk-off sentiment triggered by an escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. Central Command completed another round of strikes on Iran’s missile systems. Iran’s Revolutionary

Jim Cramer called the stock market 'miserable' on July 21 as oil prices, tariff uncertainty, and Federal Reserve hawkishness pressured Wall Street. WTI crude jumped 9.4% to $78.14 a barrel following President Trump's decision to reimpose a naval blockade on Iran through the Strait of Hormuz, while t

According to CNBC, Jim Cramer called the market "miserable" on July 21 as President Trump's reinstatement of a Strait of Hormuz blockade drove WTI crude up 9.4% to $78.14 a barrel. The blockade, which affects roughly one-fifth of global oil transport, triggered sharp volatility across equity

According to Polymarket, traders raised the probability of Bitcoin hitting $67,500 in July to 70%, up from approximately 56% earlier this week. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for the fifth consecutive trading day, bolstering market bets on higher price targets. The Federal Reserve

From 18:30 to 18:45 (UTC) on July 20, 2026, BTC saw a sharp short-term dip of 0.38% within 15 minutes, slipping back into the $65,346.3–$65,595.8 USDT range, with an amplitude of 0.38%. This move was accompanied by a Filled Amount of 633.48 BTC, which is relatively low, indicating limited market participation; overall, the market is showing a weak consolidation pattern. The main driver behind this sharp short-term decline is the continued escalation of the geopolitical conflict between the US an

From 13:45 to 14:00 (UTC) on July 20, 2026, BTC fell 0.48% on the 15-minute candlestick timeframe, with a price range of 64,209.4–64,760.9 USDT and an Ampl of 0.85%. Market volatility intensified, and the Filled Amount was low, indicating that short-term funds’ risk-avoidance sentiment is heating up. The main drivers behind this abnormal move are the ongoing escalation of the U.S.-Iran military conflict. For the ninth consecutive night, the U.S. military carried out airstrikes in Iran. Iran thre

July 20, 2026, 11:00–12:00 (UTC): BTC traded in a tight range of 64,272.0–64,444.4 USDT, with an Ampl of 0.27%. It ultimately closed up 0.12%. Due to limited price movement, market participation was low: the filled amount totaled only 148.48 BTC. Overall, trading sentiment was one of wait-and-see. The key driver behind this deviation was an escalation in geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. The US carried out military strikes against Iran for the ninth consecutive night. Iran threatene

On July 20, international energy markets saw a landmark moment. Brent crude futures surged through the $90-per-barrel mark in one move, topping out at $91.42 during the day; WTI crude futures also climbed into the $84 range. This breakout level is not coincidental—over the past week, Brent crude has risen 15.9% in total, posting the largest single-week gain since April; from the early-July low near $71, the rebound is already close to 30%. {currencycard:tradfi}(XTIUS

July 20, 2026, 06:30–06:45 (UTC): Within 15 minutes, BTC fell 0.47%, with the price dropping into the 63,770.5–64,148.7 USDT range. Ampl was 0.59%, and risk-avoidance sentiment noticeably intensified. The main drivers behind this move are the continued escalation of the military conflict between the US and Iran. The US carried out its ninth consecutive overnight military strike against Iran, with targets expanding to infrastructure such as highways, tunnels, railways, and ports. The conflict has

ECB executive board member Piero Cipollone warned Friday that stablecoin adoption could drain retail deposits from European banks, compounding losses already incurred through mobile payment fees and transaction data. The warning came as the ECB named 36 payment service providers for a digital euro p

According to ECB board member Piero Cipollone on Friday, stablecoin growth could strip European banks of retail deposits. He noted that two-thirds of card payments in the euro area already route through non-European payment

According to ECB board member Cipollone on Friday, July 11, stablecoin growth poses a risk to European bank retail deposits, adding to losses already incurred from mobile payment platforms. Cipollone noted that two-thirds of card payments in the euro area route through non-European schemes, and 13 o

On July 17, 2026, from 17:00 to 17:15 UTC, BTC saw a modest short-term uptick, with a Return % of +0.58%. The price ranged from 63,593.0 to 64,139.5 USDT, with an Ampl of 0.86%. Over the past 24 hours, BTC traded in a narrow range, with a 24h move of only -0.48%. The current price is around $63,987. The market is waiting for a clearer directional catalyst, and trading sentiment is leaning toward caution. The main driver behind this move is a macro hedging narrative battle fueled by the continued

From 01:30 to 01:45 (UTC) on July 17, 2026, BTC fell 0.39% over 15 minutes, trading in a range of 63,718.5 to 63,978.5 USDT, with a spread of 0.41%. Market volatility increased, trading volume remained relatively low, reflecting a pullback driven by short-term wait-and-see sentiment. The main driver behind this anomaly is a sharp escalation in the military conflict between the US and Iran. The US launched another round of strikes against Iran’s Bandar Abbas port and naval facilities, while Iran

Bitcoin fell back to around $63,860 on July 17. At the same time, multiple macro events unfolded in parallel: the U.S. military launched airstrikes on several facilities in southern Iran, including Abbas Port, Shaher Airport, and bridges in Hormozgan Province. The Hormozgan provincial government said two people were killed and four were injured. Dallas Fed Chair Lorie Logan (Lorie Logan) delivered remarks in Houston, saying the Fed may need to raise interest rates “moderately.” U.S. military car

Bitcoin dropped 1% on Thursday, retreating below its $1.3 trillion market cap after failing to hold the $65,000 level. The cryptocurrency's decline followed a shift in Federal Reserve rate expectations and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Fed policy and geopolitical risks have