U.S. stocks surge, but BTC and ETH fail to follow

The Nasdaq and S&P rose sharply, but BTC failed to hold above 75000, while ETH remained under pressure below 2150, indicating selling pressure within crypto is still present.
Avoid making a heavy directional bet ahead of tonight's CPI release.

【BTC Strategy】
Direction: Short the rebound
Entry: A spike to 75150—75280 followed by a pullback
Target 1: 74650
Target 2: 74100
🔴 Stop loss: Above 75620

【ETH Strategy】
Direction: Short the rebound
Entry: Faces resistance at 2142—2152 and fails to hold above 2152
Target 1: 2115
Target 2: 2085
🔴 Stop

A 5% jump does not, by itself, constitute a trend.

The sharp rise in the KOSPI, which exceeded 5%, was driven primarily by Samsung and SK Hynix. From the perspective of an individual investor, I do not view this move as the beginning of a trend.

Data flows originating from the U.S. and various geopolitical developments remain unclear. In the current climate, it is wiser to maintain a cautious approach and wait for the markets to settle. On days like these, the costliest mistake one can make is to increase one’s position out of fear of missing out on a single day’s rally. While this surge off

11/10 daytime levels update! Follow for ongoing updates on precise levels
BTC / ETH / SOL / Gold / U.S. stocks
Overall strategy: The consolidation is not over yet; go long at lows and wait to short at highs.
The market has yet to show a clear direction. Tonight’s CPI data is worth watching closely. I’m leaning toward a move higher first, followed by a pullback overnight. For now, trade short-term levels and avoid taking a large directional position in advance.
📈 U.S. stocks
SNDK｜Sandisk
🔴 Short
925｜Watch for short opportunities above
Extreme 1000｜Key topping area
🟢 Long, i

What Is Time Series Cross-Validation? Why Can't You Randomly Shuffle Training and Test Sets for Cryptocurrency Prediction?

In crypto quantitative trading, machine learning models often need to be trained on historical data before predicting future price movements. But if you randomly shuffle all the data and then split it into training and test sets, as in ordinary classification tasks, you may disrupt the chronological order and make the model's evaluation results overly optimistic.

First, what is time series cross-validation?

It is a method of organizing training and validation in chronol

$ARIA This move is really strong—up 34% in 24 hours and just hit 0.212. The bears probably didn’t expect it to rally this fast.

The AI gaming narrative is back in play, but there haven’t been any particularly major project catalysts so far. This move looks more like it’s being driven by capital flows.

24-hour futures trading volume is close to $37 million. Over the past 4 hours, OI rose from 103.3 million tokens to 106.6 million, up 3.2%. Price and open interest are rising together, which suggests new positions are still being opened. But the funding rate has turned positive, so longs are st

$SOXLB Currently trading at 55.64, up 26.95% over 24H, a substantial short-term gain. The 1H and 4H structures are both bullish, with price above the EMA20 (1H 54.01/4H 51.20). However, the 1H RSI of 50.5 diverges somewhat from the 4H RSI of 65.09, suggesting upward momentum may be slowing. If price can later hold above the resistance at 57.76 on increased volume, watch for further upside; if it breaks below the support at 44.5 and fails to recover, the bullish structure may be invalidated. In the next review, focus on whether 57.76 can hold. Current volume is only 0.15 times the average of th

🐋 WHALE WATCH : The KelpDAO exploit on April 18 triggered $38.4B in outflows from Ethereums stablecoin and tokenized fund market. Down 19% in under 7 months from $206.7B to $168.3B.
Capital flight is real. The question is whether $ETH TVL finds a floor here or has further to fall.
Where do you see the bottom ?

It's been a long time since I washed my car. After washing it today, I found some stuff on the car's surface that wouldn't come off. Does anyone know what it is and how to clean it off?🤔

The one thing I wish every crypto beginner understood is __________.
No complicated explanations. No long lectures.
Just one useful lesson that could save someone from making a costly mistake.
Let's share some knowledge today. 🧠
#CryptoBeginners #CryptoEducation #DYOR

#美伊谈判出现新进展
The current recovery process may continue for a few more days or weeks; however, I believe one should be cautious about viewing this as the beginning of a sustained bull market.

In my assessment, the markets are entering a phase where geopolitical risks are being repriced. Investors are scaling back expectations of a prolonged conflict between the U.S. and Iran, unwinding some of the "geopolitical premium" previously baked into oil prices, and feeling more comfortable holding risk assets.

Nevertheless, it is important to bear in mind that there is a significant difference between

What Is Walk-Forward Testing? Why Can Backtesting Over a Fixed Period Hide Strategy Flaws?

In cryptocurrency trading, market conditions are constantly changing. A strategy may perform exceptionally well in a bull market but get stopped out frequently in a sideways market; it may also be profitable on a certain period of historical data but fail to adapt to subsequent volatility. Walk-forward testing can help traders assess how well a strategy adapts across different periods.

First, what is walk-forward testing?

Walk-forward testing typically divides historical data into consecutive time win

Brother Bj arrived at the office at 10 a.m. and opened his futures account. He’s currently down 730,000, and his oil positions are down more than 4 million.
At noon, we grabbed a quick bite, then talked until now. He shared how he built his wealth trading steel in previous years, and today he brought along a bottle of 30-year-old Kweichow Moutai.
We talked in depth over tea. My biggest takeaway: if you don’t understand technical analysis, you absolutely shouldn’t touch futures. This business is nowhere near as simple as people imagine.
The most eye-opening thing was that Brother Bj feels no pr

11.9 ZEC Long/Short Strategy (Review)
[Trade Details]: $ZEC
4 winning trades in total, no losing trades
Long entered at 1190, exited at 1230, with 40 points of upside
Short entered at 1230, exited at 1190, with 40 points of downside

[Strategy Review]:
The strategy focused mainly on Range 4; neither the long nor short trades played out, and a downtrend has formed

[Current Market]:
A downtrend channel has formed on the higher timeframe, with a target of 1120. The current price is consolidating around 1140, back at Range 5. A downside breakout is more likely. Market depth shows ample short mom

$JCT As it grinds lower, is this really the end for this volatile coin? Feels like there could still be one more rebound to squeeze the shorts—might take a chance on going long ⬇️⬇️

$BTC Earlier, I pointed out that the liquidation cluster between $73K and $74K is larger than the one above price.

Looking at the numbers, we have roughly $1.3B in long liquidations below compared to $800M in short liquidations above.

While this imbalance favors the downside, it's far from extreme.

An upside sweep remains possible, but based on the current liquidity distribution, I still slightly favor a red day today.

We'll make enough money this November

With the same sorrow and longing every year...
#10Kasım #November10