#NFPShockSpikesRateCutOdds
NFP Shock: Is the Fed Finally Running Out of Reasons to Stay Tight?
July’s U.S. jobs report delivered a major surprise and potentially changed the market’s macro playbook. Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 jobs, dramatically missing expectations for roughly 80,000 new positions. But the headline number was only part of the story.
The bigger shock came from revisions. Previous estimates for May and June were cut by a combined 103,000 jobs, revealing that labor-market weakness had been building beneath the surface for longer than investors initially realized.
This is im

Bitcoin market analysis

Direction: After being pressured at the 64457 high and plunging, BTC is maintaining a low-level range-bound pattern. The rebound lacks sustainability, so use the rebound into resistance for short-term short setups.
Short entry: around 63700‑64000, stop-loss above 64300, targets 63200/62800.

After surging to touch the 64457 high, Bitcoin saw concentrated selling pressure, with consecutive large bearish candles pushing it lower. It fell to a low of 63297 and is currently priced at 63425. After stabilizing following the sharp decline, the market has entered a sideways

#TSMCRevenueHitsRecordHigh
TSMC is sending another powerful signal through the semiconductor market, and the message is clear: demand for advanced chips remains exceptionally strong.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company reported July 2026 revenue of approximately NT$467.58 billion, around US$14.5 billion. That represents a 44.7% year-over-year increase and a 5.6% rise from June, setting another monthly revenue record. Even more impressive, revenue for January through July reached NT$2.872 trillion, up 37.0% compared with the same period last year.
The biggest story behind these numbers

#USJulyCPIInLine
July U.S. CPI delivered almost exactly what markets were expecting.
Headline inflation came in at 3.4% YoY, while core CPI eased to 2.5% YoY. On a monthly basis, headline CPI increased just 0.1%, with core CPI rising 0.2%.
The immediate market reaction was constructive: stocks moved higher, Treasury yields eased, and risk sentiment improved as the report reduced pressure for an immediate Fed rate hike.
The bigger story is the September Fed decision.
Following the CPI release, CME FedWatch pricing showed the probability of a September 25-basis-point hike falling to around 42%,

Whale deleveraged: a $30M ETH long funded by a $30.2M USDS loan sold 15,993 ETH at ~$1,889, booking ~$4.3M in profit. Could signal a pause in that leveraged stance after the rally. $ETH

Tongge 8.13 BTC outlook
$BTC Go into the range near 638-643 for entry into the long, stop at 646, first target 630, second target 622.
Yesterday’s CPI came in line with expectations. As soon as the data was released, the market surged—peaking at 64,450. Then what happened? After that push, nobody cared anymore. It slid all the way down to 63,283. Even good news couldn’t hold it up. That means the big folks behind it already have no cards left in hand—only a few needles left propping things up.
Don’t take this kind of rebound too seriously. The 640-645 range—yesterday a batch of people got tra

#GateCompensatesLiquidationUsers
The U.S. jobs market just delivered a major surprise, and markets are paying attention.
July Nonfarm Payrolls came in at -23,000 jobs, dramatically below economists’ expectations for an increase of around 80,000. At the same time, previous employment figures for May and June were revised lower by a combined 103,000 jobs. The unemployment rate, however, edged down to 4.1%.
This is why the latest NFP report is being described as a shock.
For months, traders have been watching the labor market for signs that the U.S. economy is losing momentum. A weaker employmen

Xu Sheng Fan Cang 20, continues the four-game winning streak 4411-4435, wins 24 points, Yingli 4736 oil #GateLaunchpool瓜分141万枚DOS $XAUT

BANK at 0.0406—still chasing? I opened a long at 0.0395 just 15 minutes ago and have already taken 20% profit. Those chasing now, be careful not to become exit liquidity.
Over the past 24 hours, it surged from 0.034 to 0.0407, with $57 million in trading volume. The momentum is indeed strong. But don't be fooled by the gains: 0.0407 is short-term resistance. It failed to break through after testing it twice just now, showing that selling pressure is genuinely heavy.
My plan: go long on a pullback into the 0.0385–0.0390 range, with a stop-loss at 0.0372, a first target of 0.042, and a second ta

The Fed’s moves to support the economy have become very clear. The latest data showed overall inflation falling to 3.4% and core inflation declining to 2.5%, combined with the previously weak employment data, making a September rate cut almost certain.
Next, we’ll continue keeping a close eye on these sectors⬇️
▶️Macro and U.S. stocks
The tightest liquidity cycle has passed. U.S. stocks will likely see a short-term rebound driven by rate-cut expectations, benefiting technology and growth sectors.
But in the mid-to-late stages, the market will quickly shift its focus back to fundamentals. If s

ETH Market Analysis
Direction: After rising to 1924.97 and facing resistance, the price continued to fluctuate downward. Rebounds were weak, so short-term shorts can be arranged at higher levels near resistance.
Short: Around 1890–1905, stop-loss above 1918, targets 1870/1850.
After ETH rose to touch the high of 1924.97, heavy selling pressure was released, and the price began a sustained pullback, reaching a low of 1872, with the current price at 1877.55. The market fluctuated lower all the way, while the moving averages continued to suppress upward movement. Each minor rebound failed to sust

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$BTC — Bitcoin is holding near $63,457 after a sharp rejection from the $64,495 area. The 1H structure remains cautious: sellers produced a strong displacement lower, while price is now consolidating above the $63,234 swing low, suggesting liquidity is building on both sides.
📌 Support: $63,234 → $63,108
📌 Resistance: $63,865 → $64,243 → $64,495
🎯 Next Target: $63,865 first; reclaiming it opens $64,243.
A sustained break below $63,234 would favor another liquidity sweep lower. Buyers need to reclaim $63,865 with momentum to shift the short-term structure bullish. Confirmation matters more

$BEAT An hour ago it was at 1.4; now it’s 0.878. The brothers who took it at the high are down an average of 37%. This isn’t a pullback—it’s a guillotine. Trading volume of 326M shows the main players are borrowing liquidity to unload; every time it rebounds, it’s handing your neck to the blade. The position I laid in at 0.48 last night has already doubled and I cashed out—now I only keep 20% as a starter position to watch. Remember my rhythm—after a surge, don’t chase; when it collapses, don’t bottom-pick. The only two options for the current direction are to either hold on for dear life or

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Gold Outlook for Today
The current price is $4,391. The market shows a slight advantage for buyers, with a small intraday gain, but overall upward momentum remains weak.
The market is currently experiencing only a short-term minor rebound, without sustained buying support. Bullish sentiment has merely recovered temporarily and should not be considered a trend reversal.
Overall market liquidity is average at present, and 24-hour trading volume is limited, making it difficult for a sustained strong rally to develop. Once the rebound reaches the overhead resistance, it is prone to come under pres

8.13 Lu Hong’s Gold Strategy
Good morning, everyone! A new day, a new outlook.
The 4-hour bullish structure remains intact. After multiple periods of range consolidation, prices have continued to reach new highs, steadily moving upward along the Bollinger middle band. The current pullback after the surge is merely a shakeout during the advance, not a reversal.
Trade with the trend, focusing mainly on buying on dips.
Buy in batches on a pullback to 4410–4400.
First target: 4450.
Upon a breakout in the direction of the trend, look toward 4480.
Stop loss below 4395.
#GateLaunchpoo

#CPIWatch,BetOrWait?
CPI day is always one of those moments when the market can change direction in minutes.
But the real question is not simply, “Will CPI be good or bad?”
The better question is: Should you bet before the number, or wait for confirmation?
The latest U.S. July CPI data showed headline inflation at 3.4% year over year, down from 3.5% in June. Monthly CPI increased 0.1%, while core CPI rose 0.2% and remained at 2.5% annually. The numbers were broadly in line with expectations.
That is exactly why CPI trading can be dangerous.
When expectations are already priced into the market