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Core CPI is the real danger—the headline number may look scary, but don’t be alarmed

The CPI data will be released tomorrow, and many people are worried that the headline number will surge to 3.7%. But I want to point out something that many may overlook—this time, the rise in headline CPI is mainly being driven by energy prices, not a deterioration in underlying inflation.

Barclays’ forecasts are clear: the energy component rose 5.05% month-over-month in September, with gasoline prices surging 9.23% month-over-month and 34.8% year-over-year, while heating oil rose as much as 38.8% year-ov
BTC-0.56%
$ZZZ Chart Analysis
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ZZZ+29.38%
The Asian session falls, the European session continues, and a rebound in the U.S. session means go short.
Today’s market is well suited to this rule of thumb, but don’t blindly follow it in your trading today either.
The seasonally adjusted September CPI annual rate will be released at 8:30 tonight. Based on the forecast data, the probability is relatively high that the release will be bullish for the U.S. dollar and bearish for non-U.S. products. If the bearish impact has been priced in ahead of the release, watch the resistance at 4150 above, with 4180 as the extreme level. If 4180 is decis
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XAUUSD-1.90%
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Another $1B in USDC has been minted by Circle in the last 24 hours.
That brings total USDC minted this month to over $3B
Liquidity is building, and I think the market might just need the right narrative to get some of that capital flowing in
The next couple of weeks is sure gonna be pretty interesting in the market
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USDC-0.01%
As the daily-chart low-to-top conversion level, 820 was once resistance above the price, then became support after being broken through. During the subsequent decline on the right side, it turned back into resistance. The price is currently moving right around this key level, and only a break below this zone would turn the broader trend bearish.
If a clear bottoming signal forms above 820, it could present an opportunity to trade a rebound.
If 820 is effectively broken and the rebound is blocked, the broader trend will turn bearish, but beware of a false breakdown, as with the previous two maj
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BTC-0.56%
ETH-0.83%
CPI data - tonight. BTC / ETH Market Updates
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LIVE2,813
$DUSK #DUSK
Breakout of the Falling Wedge already confirmed.
Expecting a solid bullish rally during coming days ✍️
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DUSK+1.12%
Not sure how A-shares will perform again tomorrow.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange shows:
The market has increased its bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates three more times by the end of 2027.
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Sneaking in a short-term long before the data comes out—is that too much?
​
New partner: 12,000 oil, now at 47,300 oil!
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BTC D is in an uptrend in btc bull cycles
This cycle has been different
Since Sept 2025 - we have moved sideways
We had. Multiple pump and dumps but dominance didn't break out
Vs
Previous bull market
#bitcoin
BTC-0.56%
📊 September CPI data is set to be released—what do you think? Gate Square’s special “Weekly Share” edition is here!
Share with the hashtags: new users get a 100% chance to receive a red packet, with up to 2 USDT; the weekly leaderboard winner can receive up to 100 USDT!
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💬 This edition’s hot topic
The U.S. September CPI data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14. As important data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October interest rate me
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GateSquare
📊 September CPI data is set to be released—what do you think? Gate Square’s special “Weekly Share” edition is here!
Share with the hashtags: new users get a 100% chance to receive a red packet, with up to 2 USDT; the weekly leaderboard winner can receive up to 100 USDT!
📌 How to participate
1️⃣ Sign up for the event 👉 https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6244
2️⃣ Share your market views with #每周来晒 and #美国9月CPI即将公布
💬 This edition’s hot topic
The U.S. September CPI data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14. As important data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October interest rate meeting, the market will closely watch its impact on rate-cut expectations.
💡 Share your views
1️⃣ Do you think the September CPI will come in above or below expectations?
2️⃣ How will the financial markets react after the CPI is released?
Red packets are available in limited quantities—share your views and be among the first to claim one!
👉 https://www.gate.com/post/topic/USCPISoon?topic_id=205842
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【October Crypto Market & BTC Intraday | October 14】
BTC is currently trading at approximately $83,400. On the daily chart, it remains above the EMA30 (approximately $82,386), but the MACD is still weak, while the RSI is around 53, indicating a corrective consolidation after the pullback. On the 1-hour chart, BTC is moving sideways around $83,000–$84,300, with no clear short-term direction yet.
Intraday levels to watch:
Resistance: $84,100–$84,350; a breakout could target around $84,800.
Support: $83,000–$82,800; a breakdown would bring the previous low zone of $81,000–$80,345 into focus.
Since
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BTC-0.56%
ETH-0.81%
CPI sets the direction tonight! Gold bulls and bears await the data to break the deadlock.
At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. September CPI data will be released. The annual rate was previously 3.4% and is expected at 3.6%; the monthly rate was previously 0.4% and is expected at 0.6%.
If the data rises above expectations, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in October will cool sharply, while a stronger dollar will pressure gold, and gold prices are highly likely to fall further; if the data comes in below expectations, rate-cut expectations will heat up, the dollar will retreat, and gold may
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XAUT-1.86%
$ZEREBRO I almost gave back all the money I made at the start of the year in this move. I got buried chasing the rally at 0.047 last time, held for three days, and finally cut my position at 0.028, taking a full loss of 47,000 U. My account shrank by a third overnight. I genuinely couldn't sleep those days, staring at the candlesticks and wanting to slap myself.
After cutting my position, I didn't leave. I put it back on my watchlist and let it sit. Looking at the data again over the past two days, I noticed a few things I'd overlooked before.
It's currently at 0.0329, up 23.58% in 24 hours, w
ZEREBRO+20.75%
A major CPI release is coming tonight! If inflation exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve may
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LIVE2,527
#USCPISoon
One hour before the CPI data release (12:30 UTC), the market is in a state of complete uncertainty. Here is a brief, to-the-point overview of the current situation on the BTC/USDT 1-hour chart and the action plan.
Detailed chart analysis (1H)
1. Price and range: BTC is trading at 83,360 USDT, down 0.28% over the past 24 hours. The price is trapped in a narrow range between the 24-hour low (82,927) and high (84,103).
2. Bollinger Bands (BOLL 20,2): The bands are narrowing (UB: 83,717, MB: 83,384, LB: 83,050). The price is exactly on the middle band. This is a classic sign of volatil
KatyPaty
[Live Now] CPI data - tonight. BTC / ETH Market Updates
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BTC-0.56%
I’ve been watching that DOGE whale for half an hour. He put more than 8 million coins into the position with 3x leverage. At the current price of 0.0847, he’s practically drawing the liquidation line on his own forehead.
Trading volume has shrunk to 60% of normal. With this little liquidity, DOGE can easily swing more than ten percentage points overnight. How many times can he withstand that?
The key is that this price is still stuck halfway through the 7-day range—neither rising nor falling, the most grinding position. I calculate that the odds of him getting liquidated are not low, but if he
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DOGE-0.71%
CPI stilll HOT
FED to hike rates again in Oct
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SOXL+0.23%
SOXS-0.15%
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