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Monday Macro + Geopolitical News

Macro

Fed officials’ remarks maintain a high-rate, wait-and-see tone, with expectations for rate cuts this year continuing to be pushed back, which is bearish. The market awaits subsequent CPI data for guidance, while short-term risk aversion rises.

Geopolitical Conflict

The situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains tense, shipping risks have not eased, and concerns over crude oil supplies persist, supporting energy markets and indirectly amplifying market volatility.


Today’s macro: The Fed remains hawkish, pushing back rate-cut expectations; geopol
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Why is everyone ignoring ZEC right when the setup locks in?

$ZEC /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1057.61 – 1066.43
SL: 1006.94
TP1: 1103.33
TP2: 1130.87
TP3: 1172.18

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is firmly bullish, and the 1h price is sitting at 1061.85, just shy of the entry zone around 1062.02. The 15m RSI is reading 25.93, showing the asset is deeply oversold and primed for a bounce. The 1h ATR of 17.654264 confirms the volatility is compressed enough for a sharp directional move. We are targeting TP1 at 1103.33 and TP2 at 1130.87, but the line in the sand is the invalidati
ZEC-5.72%
$BTC (Bitcoin) 4-hour chart
Current price 76562, Bollinger Band parameters: midline 77096.3, upper band 77637.4, lower band 76555.1
1. Market structure: The 4-hour chart is generally moving sideways at low levels after a decline. The price is currently right near the lower Bollinger Band, which forms short-term support at 76555 and almost overlaps with the current price.
2. Key levels
✅Support: 76550 (Bollinger lower band); strong support at the previous low of 75866. If the price breaks below the lower band, the market will continue to move lower.
✅Resistance: First resistance at 77096 (Boll
BTC-0.78%
ETH-1.88%
"Mom how are we so rich?"
"Your dad bridged to Robinhood"
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$SPY $Q
Futures are sharply negative
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SPY-0.59%
$SOL Signal】Bearish momentum spreading, fade-the-bounce short
$SOL 1H rebound under pressure, 4H bearish bars continue to expand. RSI is 39.35 on 1H and 41.03 on 4H, with price below EMA20. The lower Bollinger Bands at 98.9348/98.4637 have just opened. Negative MACD bars on both 1H and 4H are expanding in sync, with selling pressure continuing to weigh on price. The order-book buy-side ratio is 1.16, with a 7.55% depth imbalance. There are bids below, but rebound volume has not kept up. The dense breakout order area is around 100.5. OI is flat, the funding rate is -0.0018%, and short crowding
SOL-2.46%
BTC-0.79%
ETH-1.88%
#AIStockGuruReportedlyBullishOnAI
THE NEXT AI TRADE MAY NOT BE ABOUT AI MODELS — IT MAY BE ABOUT WHO CONTROLS THE HARDWARE
The AI investment story is entering a different phase.
For years, the market rewarded companies building the biggest models, cloud platforms, and AI applications. But as artificial intelligence becomes strategically important to governments, defense systems, data centers, and national infrastructure, the conversation is shifting toward something much more physical:
Who can actually build, package, store, and power the computing infrastructure that AI requires?
That is why
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CryptoChampion
#AIStockGuruReportedlyBullishOnAI
THE NEXT AI TRADE MAY NOT BE ABOUT AI MODELS — IT MAY BE ABOUT WHO CONTROLS THE HARDWARE
The AI investment story is entering a different phase.
For years, the market rewarded companies building the biggest models, cloud platforms, and AI applications. But as artificial intelligence becomes strategically important to governments, defense systems, data centers, and national infrastructure, the conversation is shifting toward something much more physical:
Who can actually build, package, store, and power the computing infrastructure that AI requires?
That is why I think the recent attention around INTC, AMD, SKHY, SNDK, and BE deserves a closer look.
This is not simply another semiconductor basket. In my view, it represents a broader “Sovereign AI Supply Chain” thesis.
1. AI Is Becoming a Strategic Asset
AI is no longer only a Silicon Valley competition.
Governments increasingly want reliable domestic and allied supply chains for advanced chips, memory, servers, energy infrastructure, and data centers.
That creates a powerful structural trend: friend-shoring.
The objective is to reduce dependence on geopolitical rivals and build supply chains across trusted countries and strategic partners.
INTC represents an important part of the U.S. semiconductor manufacturing story, while AMD represents advanced chip design. SK Hynix sits at the center of the high-bandwidth-memory ecosystem, and companies connected to enterprise storage and data-center infrastructure can benefit from the enormous amount of data AI systems must process.
This means the investment thesis goes beyond quarterly earnings.
It is also about strategic infrastructure.
2. The Hidden AI Bottleneck: Packaging and Memory
One of the biggest mistakes investors can make is thinking AI performance depends only on the GPU.
The reality is much more complicated.
Modern AI systems require extremely fast memory, sophisticated packaging, high-speed interconnects, enormous storage capacity, and reliable power.
High Bandwidth Memory, or HBM, has become particularly important because advanced AI accelerators need to move massive amounts of data extremely quickly.
That creates bottlenecks.
A company can design a powerful accelerator, but if the surrounding memory, packaging, networking, storage, or power infrastructure cannot scale alongside it, the entire system becomes constrained.
That is why I am watching the physical AI supply chain rather than focusing only on headline AI companies.
3. Power Is Becoming Part of the AI Trade
There is another piece investors sometimes overlook:
AI needs electricity.
As data centers become larger and AI workloads become more computationally intensive, power availability becomes a strategic advantage.
This brings companies involved in energy and data-center power infrastructure into the AI conversation.
The AI boom therefore has multiple layers:
Chips → Memory → Packaging → Storage → Networking → Power → Data Centers
The strongest opportunities may emerge where these layers intersect.
4. The Web3 Connection
This is where the story becomes even more interesting.
Centralized AI infrastructure is powerful, but it also creates concerns around concentration, privacy, censorship, access, and dependence on a small number of cloud providers.
Web3 and DePIN-based decentralized compute networks are attempting to approach the problem from another direction.
Instead of concentrating computational resources inside a few massive infrastructure providers, decentralized networks can potentially connect distributed computing resources and create alternative infrastructure for AI workloads.
That creates an interesting parallel:
TradFi is investing in sovereign hardware.
Web3 is building decentralized compute.
Both are responding to the same fundamental question:
Who controls the infrastructure of the next digital economy?
5. How I Am Looking at the Trade
I am not treating this as a simple “buy everything related to AI” narrative.
For me, the more interesting strategy is to monitor the entire infrastructure chain and look for confirmation in price action, volume, fundamentals, and market momentum.
Through Gate.io Stock Perps, traders can gain exposure to selected traditional-market names while maintaining the flexibility to trade both bullish and bearish market scenarios.
At the same time, decentralized-compute and DePIN projects offer a completely different way to express the long-term AI infrastructure thesis.
My broader view is simple:
The AI race is becoming an infrastructure race.
The winners may not only be the companies creating smarter AI.
They may also be the companies supplying the chips, memory, packaging, storage, power, and sovereign infrastructure that makes the AI revolution possible.
That is the part of the AI trade I am watching most closely.
#weeklyshare #ShareWeekly @Gate_Square #每周来晒 #GateSquare
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$BR Signal】4H momentum expansion, go long on a 1H pullback
$BR 1H RSI 79.45, current price 0.31472 is pressing against the 4H Bollinger upper band at 0.3141, and the order book buy/sell ratio is 0.66, with sell orders stacked thicker than buy orders. The 4H MACD histogram at 0.0080 continues to expand, while the 1H histogram at 0.0030 is beginning to narrow, showing divergence in momentum between the two timeframes. The funding rate is 0.0314%, OI is flat, and short-term capital has not withdrawn.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 0.3137758 - 0.3147200
🛑Stop Loss: 0.2989840
🚀Target 1: 0
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BR+25.63%
BTC+0.22%
ETH+3.17%
SOL-2.43%
PENGU surges onto CoinGecko trending searches, but the market gets colder by the day: hype hasn't brought in buying pressure
$PENGU It has hit the trending searches, but the market is gradually declining—current price 0.006998, with volume down to just 37% of the monthly average.🔥

I am bearish in the short term at this level; the rebound is weak, so I won't catch a falling knife.

First, the trending status has not brought in buying pressure: 24h trading volume of 4.49 million USDT is only 0.373 times the monthly average.

Second, the technicals are all weak, with the daily RSI at 40.7 an
PENGU-3.87%
[New Streamer] Whales Move in Sync!
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LIVE565
🔥 Get an early look at the market opportunities for the new week!
Gate Live hosts go live every day with real-time trading, sharing trading insights and tracking market changes with you in real time!
📈 How should market direction be assessed?
🚀 Which sectors are gaining momentum?
👀 Which key signals are worth watching?
Tune into Gate Live and find the answers in the livestream 👉 https://www.gate.com/live.
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#GateTop4MainstreamCEX
📊 GATE HOLDS THE TOP 4 — AND I BELIEVE THE REAL STORY IS JUST BEGINNING
August mainstream CEX rankings are out, and Gate has once again demonstrated why it deserves to be counted among the strongest global crypto exchanges.
According to the August data highlighted by BlockBeats, Gate recorded approximately $40 billion in spot trading volume and around $285 billion in derivatives trading volume during August, placing it at #4 among mainstream CEXs globally. That is a remarkable level of activity and, in my opinion, much more meaningful than simply seeing a “Top 4” label
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On Friday, I was still saying the storage Big Three had formed a top, and SanDisk really delivered by dropping $200 directly😂#存储 $SNDK $MU $SKHY
SNDK-3.49%
MU-0.51%
SKHY+1.00%
——Monday’s oil prices and 10-year U.S. Treasuries matter more than any new economic data.
Global markets opened on Monday with a “gap”:
Gold gapped down by more than $10, Nasdaq futures fell 1%, and oil prices rose 2%.
First, global market movements on Monday were influenced by two Middle East-related developments.
· One was the impact of Saudi Arabia shutting down its oil pipeline. Saudi Arabia temporarily shut down its East-West oil pipeline after it was attacked by drones. The approximately 1,200-kilometer pipeline can transport up to around 5 million barrels per day, equivalent to about 5%
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Iran
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
October 31
41%2.44x
September 30
21%4.76x
$246.64K 24H+7 more
NAS100-1.06%
XAUUSD-0.09%
BZ+3.05%
#XAU$XAU Two weeks of debugging are over; the journey to recoup capital and compound returns begins, using small funds with high leverage to shape the future, patiently waiting for success to blossom.
XAU-0.52%
Morning Market Updates
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LIVE1,254
Mainstream prediction market expectations suggest that BTC can comfortably hold $72,000 on September 14, with $74,000 also close to certain; the market is pricing in virtually no downside, and bearish expectations are extremely weak.
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BTC-0.79%
#晒出我的持仓收益 $Lobster can't be pushed any higher; let it trade sideways for now.
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龙虾-9.64%
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