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What Is a Trend-Following Strategy? Why Can It Perform Well in Strong Trends but Suffer Repeated Losses in Sideways Markets?
In cryptocurrency trading, trend following is a common trading approach: rather than trying to accurately predict tops and bottoms, traders look for entry opportunities after a trend forms and try to follow it for as long as possible. However, this strategy is not suited to all market conditions.
First, what is a trend-following strategy?
A trend-following strategy uses price structure, moving averages, or trend indicators to identify market direction, looking for opport
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Trenches
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The best way to stay fresh is to keep learning
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afternoon updates
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$DASH$DASH is currently at 48.69, 24h +4.80%. MA5=49.014 remains above MA20=48.486, but the price has pulled back below the moving average. RSI=55.6 is neutral to slightly bullish; the MACD histogram=-0.07846 signals weakening short-term momentum. The Bollinger range is 46.8345–50.1375. The funding rate of +0.0100% indicates that long positions are slightly crowded, while the Fear & Greed Index at 50 is neutral. Assessment: This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a trend reversal—the price remains above MA20, RSI has not fallen below 50, and the Bollinger midline has held, indicating a healt
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Four.meme
MC:$3.87KHolders:1
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TRUMP-0.95%
Life itself is worth investing heavily in.
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📌 ONEA Community Follow-Up Q&A: 8 Questions Worth Understanding About On-Chain Restrictions and Digital Asset Security
Over the past two days, we have held a series of discussions about digital asset autonomy, private keys, contract permissions, and on-chain restriction mechanisms.
Community feedback shows that what people truly care about is not just the meaning of a technical term, but how these mechanisms might affect them: Why might assets be in a wallet yet still be impossible to transfer? Does a failed transaction mean you have been blacklisted? Does open-source code mean a project is s
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If the #crypto market had a soundtrack, what would yours be?
🎵 Calm jazz — I'm not panicking.
🎵 Action movie music — It's getting intense.
🎵 Gospel — I'm trusting the process.
🎵 Comedy soundtrack — This market is something else!
Choose your soundtrack 😂
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Instant noodles with a ham sausage for lunch,
and egg tarts! ✌️ Back to work after eating
What did everyone have for lunch? 😆
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Review of yesterday's 11.4 ZEC long/short thesis (posted late)
[translate-ref-0]: $ZEC
Yesterday morning's thesis failed to play out as expected, with no low-level range-bound trend. However, while reviewing the 11.3 thesis in the afternoon, I gave trading advice to recoup losses, and those gains were realized in the evening.
[Strategy review]:
Morning long/short thesis failed
Short entered at 1330, target around 1280 reached
Long entered at 1280, target around 1330 reached
[Current market]:
After spiking to 1352 yesterday, the price pulled back and formed a high-level range. Market depth sho
ZEC+1.29%
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
Machi Big Brother is making a killing again!
He’s not only going long but also adding to his position, increasing from over 2,000 contracts to nearly 6,700 with 25x leverage. His latest average entry price is 2366, and unrealized gains have topped $460k, but his liquidation price has also been pushed up to 2391.
Big Brother is charging ahead with total confidence, but I’m actually not very optimistic about this move in the short term. I recommend positioning for shorts near 2450.
The reason is simple:
This rebound after the election results came in looks more like a short squeeze following the
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ETH-1.23%
What Is a Stop-Loss? Why Doesn’t Setting One Completely Prevent Losses?
In cryptocurrency trading, a stop-loss is an important risk management tool, but many traders mistakenly believe that setting one will strictly limit losses to the expected range. In reality, a stop-loss can help execute a risk plan, but it cannot guarantee the final execution price.
First, what is a stop-loss?
A stop-loss is an order to close a position or sell when the price reaches a preset condition, in order to limit potential losses. For example, if the price falls below a predetermined risk level after you buy, you
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Gold XAU, BTC, ETH, and Other Analysis
Beijing Time: November 5, 2026
Key News and Data
1. Midterm election results finalized
Democrats have confirmed control of both the House and Senate, giving them control of Congress. Markets interpret this as signaling lower expectations for fiscal expansion, potentially tighter regulation, and reduced uncertainty around some geopolitical policies. US stocks fell initially before rebounding, while the dollar weakened.
2. Gold and interest rates
Gold rebounded sharply and is now above around 4100. The dollar pulled back and Treasury yields edged lower, e
XAUUSD+1.61%
Holy shit, the on-chain action is finally back today. I was so damn thrilled I could’ve died. I’m going to the third-floor spa, and nobody can stop me.
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What Is Maximum Drawdown? Why Can an Account Still Face Huge Risks After Making a Lot of Money?
In cryptocurrency trading, looking only at how much an account ultimately earned can easily obscure how much risk it faced along the way. Even an account that once generated very high returns may have experienced a severe drawdown and could even struggle to recover due to poor fund management. Maximum drawdown is an important metric for measuring this risk.
First, what is maximum drawdown?
Maximum drawdown is the largest percentage decline in an account’s net value from a peak to a subsequent low du
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🐋 WHALE WATCH : American Bitcoin posted Q3 2026 results 8427 $BTC in reserve up 5% from Q2.
The company mined 891 BTC in the quarter and generated $63.4M in revenue.
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BTC-0.67%
Stock guru Warren Buffett bought several hundred billion dollars’ worth of Google at around 390. Now Google is at 288—ALL IN?
$GOOGL
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GOOGL+3.25%
What Is Out-of-Sample Testing? Why Can Data Not Used to Optimize a Strategy Better Reveal Its True Capabilities?
In cryptocurrency trading, a strategy may perform well in historical backtests but quickly fail under new market conditions. The problem may not lie in the trading logic itself; the strategy may instead be overfitted to the historical data used for optimization. Out-of-sample testing is an important way to identify this issue.
First, what is out-of-sample testing?
Out-of-sample testing means using data that was not involved in strategy development or parameter optimization to indepe
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Crypto future market update
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