GM - perps sold the dip, bought the bounce, sold the dip again. trade this range long enough and youll need therapy bitcoin:native

What Is Backtest Overfitting? Why Might a Strategy With Perfect Historical Performance Fail Completely in Live Trading?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people keep adjusting indicator parameters, take-profit and stop-loss levels, and entry conditions until the strategy achieves the highest possible backtest returns. But better historical performance does not necessarily mean a strategy is more reliable. Overfitting to historical data can instead make a strategy less able to adapt to future markets.

First, what is backtest overfitting?

Backtest overfitting occurs when a strategy is overly ta

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Computing power isn’t short on money—it’s short on electricity!
Morgan Stanley estimates that, hit by the “Blue Tide,”
around 20% of new data center projects could be delayed until 2029, and 40% of chips already shipped won’t be powered up before 2028.
AI’s bottleneck has shifted from “can’t get a GPU” to “can’t get plugged in.”
Think it through, and this is actually a window of opportunity for crypto markets!
Mining farms have existing grid interconnection capacity and load-management capabilities. The pricing power over computing assets and grid resources is being reshuffled.
Army’s outlook:

Taiwan stocks close: After surging 3,010 points in two days, the weighted index closed at 42,711 points (+1,050 points, +2.52%), reclaiming the 5-day moving average. #Gate上线台股交易

Today's session rose sharply, pulled back, then rebounded: the index briefly climbed to 43,135 points in the morning, fell to 42,381 points before midday, then saw buyers return in the afternoon, closing 330 points above the midday level. Turnover was NT$1.0033 trillion, a marked increase from yesterday's NT$877 billion—the rebound finally came with higher volume. The OTC index also closed at 332.97 points (+3.42%),

Imagine an agreement that can execute itself once the required conditions are met.
That's the idea behind smart contracts.
They help power decentralized applications, DeFi platforms, NFT marketplaces, and many other blockchain services.
Less paperwork. More programmable possibilities.
#SmartContracts #Blockchain #CryptoTechnology #Web3

#标普500创7个月最大涨幅 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗽 𝗕𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗲? 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦&𝗣 𝟱𝟬𝟬'𝘀 𝗕𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝗦𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝘀

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁

The evidence says the rally was broad, but the recovery is not complete. On Monday, November 9, the S&P 500 rose 2.35% to 7,549.94, gaining 173.08 points in its best session since April 8, when it rose 2.51%. All 11 sectors rose, the Dow added 2.15% to 52,389.75 (+1,104.02 points), the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.74% to 25,253.14 (+673.71) and the Russell 2000 climbed 3.15% to 2,840.81. That day was bigger t

$BTC Price is once again sandwiched between two liquidation clusters.

However, the cluster below, between $73K and $74K, is the larger one, making it the more likely target for today.

Yesterday, leveraged longs became increasingly aggressive, leaving them vulnerable to another leverage flush.

With market structure still looking weak, I don't see enough reason to favor an upside sweep first.

Phase 6 of the Dual Investment Challenge: Up to $4,000 https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6936?ch=9531&ref=BVIRBA8M&ref_type=132

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📢 Today's Hot Topic | Korean Stocks Rebound
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$NAS100 daily chart
This kind of break below followed by a quick recovery
is more often bullish going forward
I feel the bull market is back in US stocks
At least $q bouncing to 700 shouldn't be a problem, right

This morning, the early-session rebound-and-short setup for ETH played out as expected. $ETH

After rebounding, the price encountered clear resistance and failed to sustain its gains, then pulled back, matching the early-session forecast of a rebound meeting resistance and moving lower. The market remains volatile, so stay alert and continue watching how support levels hold, with risk management as the top priority.
#红牛双车登上巴西领奖台

What Is Survivorship Bias? Why Can Studying Only Cryptocurrencies That Still Exist Today Overestimate Strategy Returns?

In the cryptocurrency market, some traders select currently popular and actively traded coins for historical backtesting, then use the results to judge whether a strategy is effective. But if they ignore projects that have been delisted, lost liquidity over time, or performed very poorly, the backtest results may be systematically biased. This phenomenon is known as survivorship bias.

First, what is survivorship bias?

It refers to focusing only on objects that still exist

#USCPIDataIncoming #ShareWeekly
U.S. equity markets have staged a sharp recovery in recent sessions, with the S&P 500 climbing approximately 2.35% to around 7,549–7,550 and the Nasdaq Composite advancing roughly 2.74% to near 25,253 on the latest close.

This rebound follows earlier volatility tied to labor data and policy uncertainty. Bitcoin, however, remains under pressure near $74,700–$75,300, down about 0.5–1% in the most recent sessions and significantly off its earlier highs near $86,000. Ethereum trades around $2,120, reflecting similar risk-off sentiment in crypto with declines in t

How do you calculate a reasonable position size? Why should you set your stop-loss before deciding how much to buy?

In crypto trading, many people decide how much to buy first and only then consider where to place their stop-loss. This order can make it difficult to control position risk. A more reasonable approach is to first determine the maximum loss you are willing to take on a single trade, then calculate the position size based on the distance to your stop-loss.

First, set your risk budget. Suppose your account equity is 10,000 USDT and you plan to limit the risk on a single trade to 1

Only 5 strong signals this round: JCT, AKE, SOXS; 2 long, 3 short. Watch volume and structure before acting. Last round: 5 wins, 1 loss, +34.2%; MUU, NXPC, and GRAM are each up about 9–10%, with 15 positions currently averaging +0.3%. The rhythm is still there; observe for now. 🎯 Last round's returns: MUU entry $15.5800 → exit $15.1000, 5.0x leverage, gained +9.2%; NXPC entry $0.1564 → exit $0.1589, 5x leverage, gained +9.2%; GRAM entry $1.0760 → exit $1.1090, 5.0x leverage, gained +10.0%━━━ Market View ━━━BTC 74,767 +1.2%, with short signals becoming more concentrated; negative funding rate

JUST IN: Bitcoin ($BTC ) miner MARA sold 13,597 BTC for $1.1 billion in six weeks, roughly 2,270 BTC a week. It plans to sell more.

Zhang Jingkang, founder of Zu Lijian elderly shoes, has become a “dishonest judgment debtor.”
On November 9, the Feixi County Court in Anhui listed Zhang Jingkang, Zhang Shaokang, Xin Junlan, and Suixian Zu Lijian Shoes as dishonest judgment debtors in a case involving 1.9542 million yuan, none of which has been repaid. The court found that they “had the ability to perform but refused to do so.” The applicant for enforcement was Anli Co., Ltd., which supplied them with materials.
This is not the first time: 22 consumption restriction orders have been issued against Zhang Jingkang, involving a