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Why Did the Market Rally After Trump’s Election Defeat? JD Vance Explains the Logic Behind It🔥🔥
Trump suffered a major setback in this election, and his party lost control of both the House and the Senate.
Based on past experience, this kind of result would often shock capital markets. But this time, the opposite happened: stocks rose, and Bitcoin surged to $80k.
Many people’s first reaction was that election uncertainty had passed, giving the market a sigh of relief.
But that is only the surface-level reason. The rally has deeper drivers, and Trump’s vice president, JD Vance, laid out the f
BTC-0.67%
Hello @X 👋
I invest in crypto, mostly post-quantum. Been following that space for 6 years.
On the side I vibe code, and I keep an open map of which blockchains really use post-quantum signatures.
Looking to #connect with:
🔐 Post-quantum and security builders
🤖 AI builders and vibe coders
🚀 Founders shipping something new
📈 Crypto investors
Would love to hear what you're working on 👇
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Shocking🔥 When I ran the data for the past four U.S. election cycles through claude, I found an astonishing consistency: The plain-English takeaway is that mid-to-late December is the bottom,
Good news: no new lows
Bad news: the drop isn't over
Take it, no thanks needed—I’m a real-life Lei Feng, but please tap ❤️
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At Devcon, Drake dropped a date: December 2028.
He said he hopes to complete Ethereum’s full post-quantum + post-AI transition by then. @drakefjustin
Don’t confuse this with the Foundation: the public quantum-resistance target is still December 2029, covering all three layers.
Meanwhile, leanVM passed end-to-end formal verification, and the consensus layer is set to move from BLS to leanXMSS.
I’m watching the January 2027 mainnet milestone more closely. $ETH Whether validators and clients can keep up matters more than slogans.
ETH-1.26%
Nothing major on the calendar today, so here’s how I see this week.
$BTC is now at 77.7k, having fluctuated between 77,100 and 78.1k all night, while $ETH is hovering around 2,290.
What stands out is the ETFs: they saw net outflows of $399 million on Monday alone, with IBIT accounting for $405 million.
A lot of people see outflows and shout that the top is in. I’d say don’t rush to that conclusion: money is leaving, but the price hasn’t been knocked down, which suggests buyers are stepping in below.
I have just two rules: no adding leverage before the nonfarm payrolls come out Friday night;
BTC-0.67%
ETH-1.26%
DeepSeek v4.1 Flash burned 50.4T tokens on OpenRouter last week, more than #2 and #3 combined.
6 of the top 10 models come from Chinese labs.
Cheap flash models keep beating the flagships on volume.
Data: @OpenRouterAI rankings, week of Nov 2
DEEPSEEK-2.21%
ON+4.77%
Hi @X 👋
Web3 founder, now investing in post-quantum crypto. I also vibe code and keep building GapMine, a tool that finds startup ideas on Reddit.
Looking to #connect with:
🔐 PQ and security builders
🤖 AI builders and vibe coders
🛠 Indie hackers building in public
💼 Founders and investors
If that's you, say hi in the comments 👇
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“Cooling chips in space is easier than on the ground.”
@elonmusk This line has set the AI community abuzz over the past two days. The opposing side’s long post got nearly 5 million views, and after Musk replied with an insult, it gained another 2.48 million.
Actually, both sides are talking about the same physics: there’s no air in a vacuum, so heat can only escape through radiation.
The disagreement is over the math. By Musk’s numbers, an aluminum radiator panel facing away from the sun can dissipate about 1,300 watts per square meter, while a solar panel generates only about 250 watts per sq
Stanford University and Netflix are both really popular on X. It feels like the algorithm @grok really likes them—videos posted with both keywords never seem to get bad traffic
【OpenRouter Weekly Rankings】
DeepSeek takes more than half: v4.1-flash burned through 50.447 trillion tokens in one week, firmly in first place.
Top 5:
1. DeepSeek v4.1-flash · 50447B
2. GLM-5.3-flash · 15320B
3. DeepSeek v4.1-flash (09-10 version) · 15076B
4. Tencent hy4-preview · 9250B
5. GPT-6 Luna · 9219B
Domestic model prefixes take 6 of the Top 10 spots, accounting for roughly 80% of usage. The flash series continues to crush flagship models.
Data: OpenRouter rankings (weekly label 11-02)
$BTC It’s fallen back below 77k again, and voting in the US midterm elections starts tonight.
When it dipped below 77k last night, more than $100 million in long positions got liquidated in one hour.
My first reaction was: another “everyone gets out before the event” market. Crypto prices looked rough around the 2018 and 2022 midterms, but those years were bear markets in their own right, so there’s no point forcing the comparison.
I have just two rules: don’t add leverage before the results are in; as long as 76k holds, I’m not worried.
BTC-0.65%
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🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: Spot crypto ETFs bled $634M last week (Oct 26–30).
$BTC ETFs: -$202.4M
Four green days, then Friday wiped it out with -$643.2M in a single day.
IBIT still took in +$176.9M. FBTC (-$166.0M) and ARKB (-$129.5M) did the selling.
$ETH ETFs: -$431.4M
Red all five days. ETHA alone: -$391.1M.
Third straight week of outflows.
I'm not adding $ETH until these flows flip green.
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BTC+2.93%
ETH+5.80%
My take on the market 👇🏻
I'm cautious on BTC for now and am treating this as a weak recovery; it's not time to confirm a new bull market yet.
The long-term trend in tech stocks is still intact, but they’re starting to correct in the short term. Crypto has rebounded, but stablecoin supply is shrinking. Money isn't consistently coming back, so the market is prone to more ups and downs.
MicroStrategy has a cash buffer in 2027, with a concentrated debt repayment test in 2028. It can get through by raising funds, issuing more shares, or selling coins, but shareholders may be diluted and its holdi
BTC-0.67%
Hey X 👋
I'm a Web3 founder who now invests in crypto, mostly post-quantum. I've been tracking it for 6 years.
I also vibe code and build GapMine, a tool that finds startup ideas on Reddit.
Let's #connect 🤝
🔐 Post-quantum and security builders
🤖 AI builders and vibe coders
🚀 Indie hackers and founders
💼 Crypto investors
If that's you, say hi in the comments 👇
Most chains need a hard fork and a move to new addresses to become quantum-resistant.
@Starknet is different: its accounts are smart contracts by design, so the signature verification logic can be changed directly, without moving addresses or assets—change the lock, not the door.
Two pieces of evidence:
In July, a Falcon-512 account assisted by @OpenZeppelin made a transfer worth about 6 cents on mainnet (experimental, unaudited);
In October’s Snapshot vote, 93.52% of voting power supported researching an independent quantum-resistant L1, with the working group’s white paper due in the coming
STRK-3.55%
About $137 million in major token unlocks this week, 80% from $BTW
[Token Unlocks 11.2–11.8]
Times are UTC+8; amounts are in USD, converted at prices as of 11-02 00:40
Three unlocks are clustered on Monday:
Bitway $BTW · 11-02 16:00
102 million tokens newly unlocked this week, worth about $112 million, or 3.5% of the current circulating supply
Daily trading volume is only about $4.4 million, not enough liquidity to absorb it—best to stay away
Quack AI $Q · 11-02 08:00
190 million tokens newly unlocked this week, worth about $5.48 million, or 4.0% of the current circulating supply
Daily trad
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BTW-7.42%
Q-28.72%
2Z-3.17%
AIN+3.85%
UAI-7.58%
~$135M in big token unlocks this week. $BTW alone is ~82% of it.
Token unlocks · Nov 2–8
Times in UTC. Dollar figures = USD value at Nov 1 17:18 UTC prices.
Monday cluster:
$BTW · Nov 2, 08:00
101.6M tokens (~$110.3M) · 3.5% of circulating supply
Daily volume is only ~$4.4M. Thin books. Stay out of the way.
$Q · Nov 2, 00:00
190.3M tokens (~$5.5M) · 4.0% of circulating supply
~$32M daily volume. Manageable.
DoubleZero (2Z) · Nov 2, 13:00
135.7M tokens (~$3.4M) · 3.9% of circulating supply
Small, but ~70% of a day's volume. Don't chase.
Midweek → weekend:
$CYC · Nov 4, 11:00
48.3M tokens (~$2.9
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BTW-7.42%
2Z-3.17%
AIN+3.85%
UAI-7.58%
Largest verified unlock this week: $BTW approx. $110 million
【Token Unlocks 11.2–11.8】
Those with unverifiable prices or zero circulating supply have been cut from this week's list.
Three unlocks are clustered on Monday:
$BTW · 11-02 16:00 · approx. $110 million (circulating supply ~3.5%)
The amount dwarfs daily trading volume (only a few million); stay out if the order book can't absorb it
$Q · 11-02 08:00 · approx. $5.67 million (circulating supply ~4%)
Trading volume is decent, relatively manageable
$2Z · 11-02 21:00 · approx. $3.46 million (circulating supply ~3.9%)
Small in size, limi
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BTW-7.42%
2Z-3.17%
AIN+3.85%
UAI-7.58%
SOL-0.77%
$BTC If post-quantum signatures are supported, what should happen to old coins that have remained untouched?
A wallet sitting untouched for years doesn’t mean its owner has lost the private key. Keeping the old rules could leave assets vulnerable to attack; forcibly freezing them could affect people who still control their assets.
This is the part I care about most in @r8raq’s BRUTER framework. I’ve organized his ideas into four Chinese-language graphics to make them easier to understand and discuss.
Nic Carter has also discussed the need to allow holders time to migrate voluntarily, beyond so
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BTC-0.67%
Post-Quantum Breakdown #1: $MON
@monad published a post-quantum paper called Quantum Cadence this week, and some people said Monad was “starting to defend against quantum threats.”
After reading the paper and roadmap, my conclusion is that this change is to the consensus layer; the MON in your wallet is not protected yet.
Post-quantum signatures are much larger than current BLS signatures. @keoneHD puts certificates at about 2500 times larger. The paper’s idea is to make block production no longer depend on signatures, keeping signatures only for accountability. It’s a good idea, but the paper
MON+2.58%
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