7.30 BTC $BTC market outlook analysis
BTC retraces and holds around the 63,900 level, which may allow a light initial long position. For the short term, the first rebound target is 64,700.
If the price rebounds to 64,700–65,200 and faces resistance with stalled upside, you can take a light short position. If the market pushes higher to probe 65,200, you can add to the short position. Overall, unify the short positions with a defensive stop at 65,500. Take profit on the downside in two stages: 63,900 and 63,200.
From the one-hour chart structure, in this round BTC surged to a high that reached

On the 4-hour timeframe, COTI maintains a clear bullish structure: EMA5 > EMA10 > EMA20 > EMA120. This suggests that the strength of the short-term price is gradually expanding into the intermediate-term trend. If pullbacks can hold the short-cycle moving averages, it may still continue to test the prior high area.
The MACD shows DIF at 0.00243, DEA at 0.00171, and the histogram at 0.00144. In addition, both the recent DIF and the histogram have continued to rise, indicating that upward momentum is still strengthening, with no clear high-level dead cross or momentum exhaustion signals yet.

Yesterday I was holding a short position, and once I saw these signals, I decisively closed it.
Big cake: 1H-level bottom divergence, and spot CVD keeps receiving buy orders.
It’s still moving within a parallel channel. It has to break down through this channel before it can possibly go to 6W1; otherwise it’ll just keep ranging.
Today is the full moon—maybe it will gain momentum to rise. Right now this line is looking extremely ugly; there may be a relatively large bounce, all the way up to 6W8.

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At dawn, the U.S. Federal Reserve came out: no rate hike, but three voters voted to raise rates. Powell didn’t mention the words “rate cut” at all throughout. Gold surged from 4047 straight to 4081. I stared at the screen thinking, finally, it moved—then at 3 a.m. it got smashed back again. When I woke up in the morning, it was 4066. Turns out all that sleepless waiting was for nothing.
This kind of trend is the most annoying. You say go short—since there wasn’t a rate hike, there’s support underneath. You say go long—these hawks are dying, and the moment it goes up someone slams it. A $50 ran

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7.30 Biscuit board analysis
Direction: rebound after a low-level bottoming attempt; clear pressure overhead; overall the market is mainly in a “control” mode.
Control: around 1920-1940; stop-loss above 1950; targets 1890/1870.
The Biscuit’s lowest point touched 1870.26, then it started a repair rebound; current price is 1916.55. Price keeps probing upward; in the short term, moving averages are turning up in sync. The “head” has brought short-term repair momentum, but there is strong pressure around the prior high of 1935, and upside room is being suppressed.
This round of downside has fully r

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2026.7.30 early 9:59 BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK, break it down.
That night, the market “devoured” $388 million, with 107,971 people going bankrupt to zero; the late-night long-biased mindset is perfectly validated right now.
SNDK bought 1 lot at 1025, hit the first take-profit; currently it’s straight up break-even with no worries about losses;
XAU didn’t hit the first entry level, but it touched 4120; then a long from around 4020 was easy, and the take-profit was taken smoothly.
BTC
Support: 61600 / 59800
Resistance: 67135-70000 (tentative)
Last night the big BTC was slightly stronger, dipping

The airdrop today was a movie

Brief Analysis of BTC Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationship, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Suggestions)
$BTC ‌#BTC Comprehensive Assessment
Dow theory provides signals that the primary trend may be in a turning point, but the high-volume selloff on July 28 is a dangerous signal. On July 29, the rebound to 64,650 followed by a pullback shows that the bulls lack strength, and the short-term trend is weak.
Chan theory indicates that the upward stroke strength is weak (+846), followed by a downward stroke strength that is moderate

BTC today, Thursday, 07/30 hour operation illustration

Honestly, at the very beginning, not many people were willing to touch this one. After the price kept sliding down, the order book looked very weak, and the earlier emotions could easily get dragged along. But around 0.010718, I noticed a detail: after every sell-off, someone always steps in to pick up the low bids.
So this time, I didn’t get out along with the panic, and I also didn’t immediately chase and add just because of a short-term rebound. There was a particularly grueling stretch in the middle—price kept whipsawing, and the holding experience wasn’t good. People with a slightly worse

7.30 BTC strategy and trading suggestions
Current price is 1916. The market is moving in tandem with the big pie; the bearish side’s sentiment dominates the order book. In the short term, the rebound’s follow-through is relatively weak. There is a lack of independent buy-side support for upside moves, and after each rebound, sell pressure is likely to resurface. The longs do not have sufficient momentum to break upward, and the overall structure is more of a choppy, bearish-leaning setup. It’s not suitable to chase long positions; instead, prioritize pullback opportunities by watching the over

$LAB $LAB $LAB $LAB
Will there be a strong rebound? Will it kill long shorts?
Is it going from the bottom at $7 to $18—shouldn’t I sell now, it’s at $0.14?
I lost $500 because I tried to catch the bottom in the lab. Catching a falling knife means you get your hand cut.
Is $0.1 the bottom?

Bitcoin $BTC first trades in a range and makes a volatile up move, then also does a volatile down move. Can’t pull off something like that—it’s too hard.