Sakura_3434

🌈 #GateLiveStreamingInspiration -August 22
Go live with the following topics now to receive extra official support and promotional exposure!Today's Topic Recommendations:
🔹 US Market Close | Dow surges 500 points; long-term Treasury yields rise; all three major indices post weekly losses
🔹 Bitcoin (BTC) breaks past 78,000 USDT, rising 7.26% in the last 24 hours
🔹 Ethereum (ETH) surpasses 2,500 USDT, gaining 7.91% over 24 hours
🔹 Precious Metals | CFTC: COMEX gold net long positions hit a 10-month high
🔹 Stocks | US markets close higher; Tesla hits a monthly high
🔹 Visa issues warning to Hims & Hers regarding complaints linked to its weight-loss subscription service
🔹 US Dollar falls to a three-month low as Treasury buyback plans exacerbate structural bearish sentiment
🔹 BNB rises 5.36% in 24 hours, breaking past 690 USDT
Choose any topic to start a live stream, and you'll have a chance to be featured on the official website's homepage!🔥 Start streaming now: https://www.gate.com/live/apply

#BTCBreaks75000
Bitcoin Surpasses $75,000:
Bitcoin rose by more than $11,000 in just 48 hours, climbing above $75,000. An analyst says BTC, which reached its highest level since the end of May, may be entering a new bull market.
Bitcoin had been stuck in the $62,000-$65,000 range for a long time. Its attempts to break above $65,000 were unsuccessful, and it had most recently retreated to the $62,000-$63,000 region following sell-offs last week.
The picture suddenly changed on Wednesday. Bitcoin rose approximately 12% within 24 hours, first surpassing $70,000 and then breaking above the $71,000-$72,000 region. After pausing for several hours, buyers stepped in again, and BTC reached approximately $76,000 this morning. The price was around $75,000 at the time of writing.
Thus, Bitcoin’s rise in less than 48 hours reached approximately 18%.
Why Did Bitcoin Suddenly Rise?
There is no single reason for the rise. However, developments from the US are among the most important factors behind the move.
The US Treasury Department announced that it would raise the per-operation limit on its buybacks of long-term government bonds from $2 billion to at least $4 billion in order to support liquidity. Following the decision, bond yields declined while appetite for riskier assets increased.

Qixi Festival is here 💘
Some are showing off their partners,
Some are showing off their gifts,
People in crypto may still be showing off the market, their holdings, and how they feel today 👀
Whether you're accompanied today by them or by a candlestick,
You can come to Gate Square and leave a little Qixi memory.
💙 Love is in the air on Qixi; the story stays in the Square.
‍#Gate #GateSquare #我的七夕交易分享

#我的七夕交易分享
Bitcoin struggles to hold the $64,000 mark
Bitcoin is seeking direction around the critical $64,000 threshold, a level being closely monitored for BTC.
If the $64,000 level holds, the $65,000 and $65,700 marks could come back into play.
Weakness below $63,000 could leave the price vulnerable to a drop toward $61,000.
As Bitcoin retests the critical level around $64,000, the search for short-term direction has taken center stage. If the price sustains its position in this zone, a continued recovery is possible; however, a loss of support could reignite selling pressure.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,630.10, with a 24-hour trading volume of $20.97 billion and a market capitalization of $1.29 trillion. The asset has risen 1.09% over the last 24 hours. In the short term, the price structure is being monitored alongside growth in spot ETFs.
After dipping below $63,000, the Bitcoin price attracted buyers and retested the $64,000 pivot point. Following this move, BTC recovered to $64,529 but subsequently faced renewed selling, pulling back to the $64,000 threshold.
Maintaining the $64,000 level could bring the $65,000 and then the $65,700 marks into play; reclaiming this zone would significantly strengthen the short-term bullish outlook.
Holding the $64,000 level could pave the way for a move toward $65,000 and subsequently $65,700. Conversely, if this pivot point is lost, the $63,000 support level will once again come into focus. If four-hour closes fail to hold above $63,000, the recovery structure could weaken, and the risk of a drop to $61,000 might come into play.
$63,000 Major support
$64,000 Critical pivot
$65,700 Confirmation of upward movement
$67,200 Previous resistance
Data from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) revealed that, as of June 30, Jane Street held positions exceeding $1 billion in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. Jane Street is a prominent quantitative trading firm known for its high-volume trading activities in global markets.
Jane Street’s large-scale allocation to spot Bitcoin ETFs demonstrates that major financial institutions are seeking exposure to the asset through regulated investment vehicles rather than holding Bitcoin directly.
Of this total, $828 million is held in BlackRock’s IBIT fund, while the remainder is distributed across various other spot Bitcoin ETFs, including Fidelity’s FBTC fund and Grayscale’s GBTC product. The data indicates that institutional investors are increasingly accessing Bitcoin via regulated products.
The market's future trajectory will largely depend on whether the $64,000 threshold can be maintained. If the price rises above $65,700, the $67,200 resistance level could come back into play. Conversely, a drop below $63,000 could raise the risk of further weakness toward $61,000.
The growing institutional positioning in spot ETFs is viewed as a supportive factor for market confidence. However, technical levels appear to remain the primary drivers of short-term price action.
‍$BTC $SK Hynix $META $NAS100

#Japan5YearYieldHitsRecordHigh
Japan's 5-Year Treasury Yield Hits All-Time High: 2.18% New Record
Japan's 5-year government bond (JGB) yield rose 2 basis points on the morning of August 18, reaching 2.18% and recording its highest level in history. This move is interpreted in the markets as a result of strong expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will raise interest rates in September and a global wave of bond selling.
Expectations of a Rate Hike Gaining Momentum
Markets are pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike at the September meeting with an almost 80% probability. This expectation is rapidly strengthening, influenced by statements following the joint US-Japanese currency intervention. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's statements implying that Japan should pursue appropriate policies after the intervention have reinforced the perception in the markets that the BOJ will be forced to act.
The Effect of the Rise Across Maturities
The increasing interest rate pressure was not limited to 5-year bonds. The 10-year bond yield surpassed 2.94%, reaching its highest level since September 1996. The 2-year bond yield also rose to 1.70%, a level not seen since 1995. This indicates that investors are preparing not only for short-term but also long-term interest rate increases. According to Bank of America's new forecast, the BOJ could raise its policy rate to 2% by July 2027, increasing it at three-month intervals.
However, strong demand in the 5-year bond auction following this rise caused a slight pullback in interest rates. With the high interest rate proving attractive, the auction reached its highest demand level since June 2025, after which the 5-year yield fell to 2.15%. This highlights the delicate balance between long-term concerns and short-term demand.
This post is not investment advice and is intended solely for informational purposes regarding market conditions.

#SpaceXSuperInvestorsRevealedStockRallies40%
The long-term rally potential depends on the speed at which the company transforms its Starlink and space transportation monopoly, as well as its next-generation AI data center infrastructure; however, significant short-term fluctuations are expected before the major lock-up period in December 2026.
Following its historic IPO in June 2026, SpaceX (SPCX) shares successfully passed their first lock-up test, experiencing a strong rebound of approximately 35-40% from their lows. 13F announcements revealed massive shares held by Alphabet ($94 billion) and Nvidia ($21 billion), while short selling rates rapidly decreased, easing market panic.
However, the exponential increase in the free float offering in December raises critical questions about the sustainability of the rally.
Key Factors Supporting the Current Rally
The absence of the expected intense institutional selling pressure during the August lock-up period provided a boost to the market. Key factors keeping investor appetite alive include:
* AI Revenue Jump: SpaceX is transforming itself from a space company into an "AI infrastructure giant" with its massive Colossus data centers that will exclusively use Nvidia chips. Billion-dollar cloud and computing lease deals with Anthropic and Google have boosted Q2 revenue by 92% year-over-year to $7.81 billion.
* Corporate Confidence: Alphabet's early investment in 2015 has grown more than 100-fold, creating a corporate anchor, while Nvidia's position as the second-largest shareholder in SpaceX through xAI integration has reinforced confidence in the stock.
* Index and Funding Demand: SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index under the "fast entry" rule has prompted passive funds to make billions of dollars in mandatory purchases, limiting pullbacks in the stock price.
December 2026 "Supply Wall" and Risk Analysis
The biggest risk factor determining how long stocks can rally is the time-bound unlock schedule.
Date Period Stocks to be Released and Supply Dynamics Market Impact Risk Level
August - October 2026 Incremental tranches of 7% are released every 2-4 weeks for employee RSUs and early investors. | Medium - The market can absorb these small drops.
November 2026 An additional block of shares becomes available for trading following Q3 financial results. Medium-High - Directly dependent on financial performance expectations.
December 8, 2026 The main 180-day lock-up period ends. All insider restrictions except for founders are completely lifted; the public float can increase almost 8 times.
Very High - Historically, as seen in the Figma or Rivian examples, insiders tend to cash out by selling shares, creating delayed selling pressure on the price in the 2-4 weeks following the unlock day rather than on the day itself.
June 2027 | Elon Musk’s massive block of shares, comprising 40%+ of the company, is released. Critical - A key turning point that will determine the long-term ceiling.
Roadmap for Investor Strategy
The current rally may continue, albeit with some volatility, until December thanks to strong financial growth and AI speculation; however, institutional investors are advised to follow these steps for position efficiency:
1. Follow Delayed Selling Pressure: The fact that the August lock-up was weathered without damage should not be misleading. Large institutional sellers typically exit slowly in the weeks following the lock-up, rather than on the day it happens, without disrupting liquidity.
2. Balance Costs: The median target price of $225 for mid-2027, according to Wall Street analysts, indicates that the company retains its long-term potential. However, potential pullbacks during the large supply expansion in December could offer a more rational buying opportunity for long-term positioning.
3. Monitor AI CapEx Ratios: While the company's investment of Starlink profits into high AI spending ($15.8 billion in CapEx in Q2) is positive for growth, the pressure on free cash flow should be closely monitored.
$SPCX ‌

🧧 Have you claimed your red packet on Gate Square today? Up to 5 USDT awaits you!
Discuss the market, showcase your trades, claim red packets, and win Qixi Festival gift boxes!
Join now 👉️ https://www.gate.com/campaigns/5828
🔥 Three event highlights:
✨ Exclusive for newcomers: Post about the market and get a red packet with a 100% chance, up to 5 USDT!
✨ Climb the leaderboard: Post with #我的七夕交易分享 to win 400 USDT + a Qixi Festival limited-edition gift box!
✨ Festive celebration: Enjoy multiple interactions across Square, livestreams, and hot discussions to unlock limited-edition holiday gifts!
Event details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/101104.

The decline on Friday occurred following a specific development. On Thursday, the Treasury sold $25 billion worth of 30-year bonds. The interest rate was announced as 5.216%.
Bids came in at 2.39 times the offering and were in line with recent sales. Demand was not bad, but the price was not satisfactory#GateLaunchpool141MDOS $BTC

Strategy's STRC Model: Critical Bitcoin Price at $16,184
Strategy has shared its credit model developed for its BTC-linked preferred stock, STRC. According to assumptions explained by company founder Michael Saylor, the critical Bitcoin price threshold for STRC to maintain its nominal value is calculated at $16,184.
The model's core parameters are: a 10% annual BTC return, a BTC price of $63,701, and 40% volatility. Calculations under these assumptions show that for STRC to maintain its nominal value of $100, the Bitcoin price must not fall below $16,184.
Currently, STRC is trading around $95, while the Bitcoin price is around $63,000. The fact that the critical threshold is significantly below the current price indicates a wide margin of safety for capital protection at present. However, it's important to remember that this model may be updated depending on changes in market conditions.
NFA ✔️ DYOR 🔎
#我的七夕交易分享
#MyQixiTradingShare

💰 Gate Square Content Mining — Turn quality content into real earnings.
✅ Post content with trade cards and earn rebates when users trade through them.
✅ Rebate boosts up to 60% — the hotter your posts, the higher your earnings.
✅ New creators enjoy double rewards.
📌 Learn more:
https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/49475