What Is Strategy Overfitting? Why Should We Be More Wary the Better the Historical Return Curve Looks?
In cryptocurrency trading, some strategies have their parameters adjusted repeatedly until their historical return curves become very smooth and their win rates very high. But once they enter real markets, their performance drops significantly. This may be strategy overfitting: the strategy has adapted too closely to specific patterns in historical data without learning to cope with future market changes.
First, how does overfitting occur?
Common causes include repeatedly adjusting parameters

Galaxy Research says Bitcoin has bottomed, BTC enters new accumulation phase
Galaxy Research believes Bitcoin has bottomed—and is entering a new accumulation phase.
As BTC continues to trade around $80,000, Galaxy Research says the market may have completed the bottoming process.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

Google did indeed fall short of Wall Street’s expectations this quarter, but note—it “didn’t beat expectations,” not “stopped growing,” and it’s certainly not shutting down tomorrow. Why are you all acting like the sky is falling?
Samsung next door also reported earnings below expectations, so why haven’t you been going after the memory sector? Is it because $SKH ’s earnings report was so strong that you don’t know how to start talking it down?
$GOO
Risk warning: The above is solely my personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice. The crypto market is highly volatile, so plea

You sent 100 tokens—why did fewer arrive?
A friend says they sent 100 tokens. You open your wallet and see only 95. Where did the rest go?
One possibility is that the token has a transfer fee, commonly called a “transfer tax” in crypto circles.
Suppose a token deducts 5% on this transfer. If 100 tokens are sent, the recipient may receive only 95. Exactly how the fee is deducted and who receives it depends on the contract rules; this is just an example.
Here, “tax” usually refers to a fee set by the token contract, not government taxes or blockchain Gas fees. Even if the network fee is very low

Second round of screenshots from Dabao's livestream

$PEPE is currently at 0.00000507, up 7.42% over 24 hours. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 66.67 and 76.81, respectively. But it is just one step away from the shared resistance at 0.00000523, while 1-hour volume is only 0.493x its usual level, so follow-through at these highs is not confirmed.
Current assessment: bullish, but the risk of crowding is rising. If it holds above 0.00000523 on increased volume, the bullish case will be more solid; if it pulls back below 0.00000474, that would indicate insufficient support on the first pullback, and the strong trend would n

Does getting a receipt after staking count as an extra asset?
You stake ETH through liquid staking and receive another token in your wallet. You do the math: “The funds are still in staking, and now there’s another one in my wallet. Have my assets doubled?”
This is usually double-counting.
It’s like putting something in a warehouse and getting a claim ticket. The item in the warehouse and the ticket represent the same claim, so you can’t count both toward your net worth.
Liquid staking tokens, also called LSTs, usually represent a claim on staked assets and related rewards. Different products

BNT has been distributed so many times this month—at least three or four times.
Whether you bought OTC or kept mining all this time, you must have made quite a bit, right?
The price on the Safe exchange is currently 0.17U. Those who got in can enjoy another big meal of pork trotter rice.
It’s all about the privacy narrative. Does this shady market maker have what it takes to build the next ZEC?
The path from the past few days and the BNT from a few months ago have finally borne fruit.
This run paid off big—I hit my target for the month outright. Taking a couple of days off.

Why has $DUSK fallen so quickly? Now that it has broken below the key $0.1 support level, where do you think its October candle will close? Is there still hope it can recover like
‍$INIT and $BTW ? DUSKPriceAnalysis

Who sets prices for on-chain lending, anyway?
You open an exchange and see one price for ETH; then you open an on-chain lending page, and the valuation of your collateral is slightly different.
Do protocols just make up their own prices?
Many protocols get prices through “oracles.” The name sounds like they can predict the future, but their main job is to deliver external data to smart contracts.
You can think of them as quote providers: they collect and process data according to set rules, then provide it to the protocol. Different solutions may use different data sources and update at differ

Australia’s regulator ASIC has effectively classified prediction markets with this stance.
Officials explicitly said they had never received an application, and directly classified them as gambling, even comparing them to the binary options they had shut down before. They clearly see this stuff as having nothing to do with finance—just pure win-or-lose betting. The communications authority was already blocking Polymarket in August.
People in the industry know full well that the biggest pain point for prediction markets right now isn’t technology or DeFi mechanics, but the wall of compliance.
I

🚨 Live signal repost
Source: KOL channel klopyzx Asset: $ANKR Direction: Short Entry: 0.00397 Stop-loss: 0.00418 Targets: 0.003918 / 0.00384 / 0.00379
Come to think of it, I just reposted klopyzx's $ALGO signal yesterday, and here it is again today—the channel is pretty active.
I just repost signals; this one was just posted, so you guys decide for yourselves whether to enter and how large a position to take. The stop-loss is set by them, not a guarantee of market performance, so don't go all in.
Personal record shared for informational purposes only; not investment advice. #Stock Earni

Restaking for extra yield—is it just one more button to click?
Regular staking already offers rewards, and now the page shows “restaking,” which looks like a way to earn another layer of yield. Does that mean your original assets stay put while you collect an extra reward on the side?
First, take a look at what the added rewards are for.
Restaking usually lets already-staked assets provide security for other services as well. You can think of it as the same collateral taking on new tasks and rules.
More tasks may bring extra rewards, but they may also add new slashing conditions, contract depe

BlackRock spent $277 million buying BTC over the past 3 hours, as IBIT’s weekly net inflows hit a recent record. BTC briefly fell below $80,000 intraday, spreading panic among retail traders, while smart money had already built large positions. The direction will soon become clear—which side are you on? $BT $ETH
#The Fed holds rates steady, divisions over a December rate hike intensify
Risk warning: The above content does not constitute investment advice. The crypto market is highly volatile; please make decisions with caution.

GM lads ☕️
Keep your eyes open, do your own research and don't let the market rush you into bad decisions.
Play it smart.

The market is looking great today. Woke up late and opened the first chart to check the small details

The NFT floor price went up. Can you sell yours at that price?
Yesterday, the collection's floor price was still 0.5 ETH. Today, it's 1 ETH. You happen to own one—is it already worth twice as much?
First, know the difference: the floor price is usually the lowest price among the collection's current active listings. It's the seller's asking price, not a price buyers are guaranteed to pay.
It's like a secondhand marketplace where the cheapest listing for the same phone is 3,000 yuan. That doesn't mean someone will immediately pay 3,000 yuan for your phone.
Suppose the lowest listing is 1 ETH, b

10.29 SOL Trading Strategy
　　The SOL 30-minute chart is in a phase of testing lower levels after pulling back from a recent high. After dropping quickly from a high of 103.89, the price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band. The MACD remains in a bearish cross below the zero line, with selling momentum still building, so the short-term trend is generally bearish. The price is now gradually approaching the key support zone formed by the previous low of 99.11 and the lower Bollinger Band at 98.64. Consider going long in this support zone to capture a technical rebound after the price becomes