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i dont like the idea of just using one window, but i dont want to make it too slow either, the idea is to react fast to bursts in vol
so lets add a few more lengths to the rolling annualized vol metric like 20, 60, 120, 200
here's my finger in the air kwanting and they look good
i think that adding a blend of windows will make the estimate less noisy
but we can quickly see that the forecasting accuracy goes down as we increase the rolling window, which makes sense
ill probably just give more weight to the shorter windows but keep the blend, not sure about this one yet
in one side i do want fas
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JUST IN: Trump warns he could destroy the Strait of Hormuz if no Iran deal is reached, claiming U.S. control over transit. This kind of rhetoric can keep geopolitical risk on traders’ radars. $BTC (or no ticker?) The input is geopolitics; avoid adding ticker unless relevant. S...
BTC-2.33%
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Recently, it’s been found that the biggest help AI can bring to trading isn’t necessarily placing orders for you, but helping you get information faster.
Many market moves are actually driven by news first, with prices following. Getting actionable insights in time is becoming increasingly important.
Seeing that the News API has been opened, you can directly connect to real-time news data—making it much more convenient to build AI strategies or quantitative tools, and helping strategies react more sensitively to market changes.
In the future, trading will be about more than just analytic
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A few days ago, the hand that set the stop-loss was trembling slightly. This morning, when I opened the chart, I realized that what I really needed to guard against was myself suddenly getting carried away. A few days ago at night, $ZEC was still moving narrowly back and forth at a high level. Many people were watching that small rebound, ready to rush in. But what I saw was clear overhead suppression, and the pullback kept losing strength.

When the market repeatedly churned during the session, I rechecked the rhythm of ZEC: every time it tried to push up, there was no effective follow-thro
ZEC-7.58%
BTC-2.37%
ETH-3.32%
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🚨 A new all-time high—it's been broken again.
Some people are already witnessing ATHs one after another.
Since June 10,
97% of platform revenue has been continuously used to buy back and burn $ANTFUN .
Supply is getting scarcer and the market is getting hotter.
ANTFUN0.50%
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OnchainLedger:
This kind of continuous buyback-and-burn model is truly fierce—97% of revenue is used to buy back and burn, constantly reducing the circulating supply. With the market’s heat on top of that, seeing ATH after ATH isn’t surprising. People who got in early have already made a killing—would it still be a good time to jump in now?
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Double up
✅ Landskrona vs Norrköping – Over 1.5 Goals
✅ Nordic United vs Ljungskile – Over 1.5 Goals
✅ Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor – Navbahor Under 1.5 Goals
✅ Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon – Xorazm Under 2.5 Goals
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4/10
Hot Picks isn't looking for whoever lost the most money.
That's an important difference.
A single bad trade means very little.
A wallet that repeatedly makes similar mistakes across different market conditions becomes much more interesting to study.
Reverse Copy Trading works best when it's built on patterns ~ not isolated losses.
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JUST IN: MicroStrategy (STRC) holds steady, no new BITCOIN buys in fifth week; STRC trades near $88 pre-market (-0.26%). Founder Saylor reiterated not issuing new STRC below $100, with ongoing repurchases around $86.5. Could signal disciplined capital allocation amid BTC tilt....
STRC1.73%
BTC-2.33%
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#MinnesotaPredictionMarketBanBlocked
Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Delivering Industry's Biggest Legal Victory
A federal judge has halted Minnesota's first-in-the-nation prediction market ban just days before it was set to take effect on August 1 . The ruling grants a preliminary injunction against the law, which would have made operating or advertising prediction markets a felony punishable by up to five years in prison and a $10,000 fine .
The Ruling: Federal Preemption Prevails
U.S. District Judge Katherine Menendez ruled that the plaintiffs—Kalshi, Polymarket, an
KALSHI-6.85%
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【$ICP Signal】Bears continue — 4H lower band breakdown + weak rebound
$ICP The 4H Bollinger lower band at 2.0835 has been broken. RSI is at 39 and has not shown oversold conditions. The 1H MACD forms a golden cross, but the histogram is only 0.0013, with insufficient momentum. Buy-side support attempts to push toward the 2.108 high, but the funding rate is negative at -0.0207%, limiting bullish enthusiasm. The bearish structure remains unchanged; rebounds are an opportunity for selling pressure.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/limit orders: 2.09569 - 2.10200
🛑Stop loss: 2.12302
🚀Target 1: 2.07047
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🏅 Every Monday to Friday at 8:00 PM, there is a VIP subscription with managed trading and a special follow-trading session. During the US market trading hours, if you don’t make a profit with follow-trading, you can get a full refund of the subscription fee. Strength and reliability guaranteed!!!
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$ETH Signal | 4H shorts continue; 1H rebound meets resistance and is blocked; short-term short
$ETH RSI 1H drops to 43.11. The MACD bearish histogram shrinks, but it remains below the zero line and has not turned red. The rebound strength is extremely weak. The buy-side depth is lower than 8.26; there is clear capital support, but it still cannot lift the price. Bearish selling pressure at the high end is prominent.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry / order: 1886.18
🛑Stop loss: 1907.90
🚀Target 1: 1860.67
🚀Target 2: 1846.51
🛡️Trade management:
- Strategy execution: After reaching Target 1, cut 50%,
ETH-3.32%
USD10.00%
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gm and gmfer $BNKR fam.
it’s a good day to have a great day today
BNKR-4.78%
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Who said stock trading is more reliable than crypto trading? 😂
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📰 Gate Plaza Daily|Which news story today, July 28, is most worth paying attention to?
After reading the daily briefing, come to Gate Plaza and share your thoughts. 👇
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I really won’t buy Jay Chou’s albums anymore.
They’re getting harder to listen to.
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#USD1StakingEarnUpTo8%APR
Every crypto investor talks about finding the next big winner, but one question is often ignored: What is your capital doing while you wait?
Market conditions can change within minutes. Inflation data, central bank decisions, ETF activity, geopolitical headlines, and investor sentiment all influence price action. During these periods, many traders prefer to keep part of their portfolio in stablecoins, waiting for the next high-conviction opportunity.
That is where USD1 staking offers a different perspective.
Instead of leaving stablecoins inactive, eligible users ca
USD10.00%
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HighAmbition:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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🔥 Gate Chat | Event Contract Trade Sharing Campaign Is LIVE!
Think you can predict where BTC will move in the next 5 minutes? 📈📉 Now's your chance to trade, share, and win exciting rewards!
🎁 Daily Lucky Draw
Every day, 10 lucky winners will receive a 50 USDT BTC Futures Position Voucher.
✅ How to Participate
1. Complete any Gate Event Contract trade.
2. Take a screenshot of your order or generate your trading card.
3. Share it in the Gate Prediction Market Chat.
4. You're automatically entered into the daily lucky draw!
💎 More Rewards Await
Gate's official Event Contract Launch Campaign
BTC-2.37%
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Gate_Square
🔥 Gate Chat | Event Contract Trade Sharing Is Live!
Do you think BTC will rise or fall in the next 5 minutes?
During the campaign, complete any Gate Event Contract trade and share your order screenshot or trading card in the Gate Prediction Market Chat to enter the daily lucky draw.
🎁 10 winners will be selected every day
Each winner will receive a 50 USDT BTC Futures Position Voucher
How to participate:
1️⃣ Complete an Event Contract trade
2️⃣ Share your order screenshot or trading card in the chat
Gate’s official Event Contract campaign featuring first-trade loss protection, doubled profits, and trading volume rewards is also underway. Community rewards can be earned in addition to the official campaign rewards.
📢 Gate Event Contract Launch Campaign:
https://www.gate.com/zh/announcements/article/100750
📢 Join Gate Chat now:
https://gate.onelink.me/Hls0/group?chatroom=mOLmaY4TpB
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HighAmbition:
thnxx for the update
Layout large pie, Ethereum dog head
gate liveLIVE
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JaYeD:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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Before the major resolution, cultivating your mindset matters far more than guessing the market
Every time there’s a big move like a Federal Reserve decision, most people lose money not because they can’t read the chart—purely because their mindset breaks first.
1、Don’t treat prediction as guaranteed profit
Even if you’ve already worked out the likely trajectory in advance, never go all-in with a heavy position. Fed speeches often swing back and forth, and two-way stop hunts are too common. Prediction can only improve your odds, never serve as a “no-risk, no-loss” promise. Once the market mo
XAUT-1.21%
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