🔴 July 13 intraday update | Price continues to fall, key support is being tested
——Guanlan · Yunyuan Research Institute
【Latest Price】
₿ BTC $62,800 ↓ down about $1,000 from 63,800
Ξ ETH $1,780 ↓ down 3.6% from the high of 1,846
◎ SOL $76 → relatively resilient
🥇 XAU $4,055 ⚠️ touched the lower edge of chart support at 4,051
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【Core Call: Next, watch these price levels】
🔑 BTC 62,500
This is the most critical support level right now.
Hold → range-bound consolidation, with a chance for a rebound
Break → accelerate the move lower to 61,000-62,000
🔑 ETH 1,750
At 1,780, it’s already at the lower edge of support
If broken → look toward the 1,680 area
🔑 Gold 4,051
The support bottom line marked on the chart this morning
Currently 4,055, only $4 away from it
If it breaks effectively → look to 3,980-4,000
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【How to understand this sell-off?】
This isn’t random fluctuation.
This morning, BTC/ETH/SOL/Gold all flipped green across the 4H SuperTrend,
and the subsequent drop is兑现 (giving effect to) that signal.
Before the CPI data is released, the market chose to “fall first to pay respect” —
institutions are trimming positions to hedge the risk of CPI coming in above expectations.
This sentiment-driven sell-off doesn’t need fundamental support;
it only needs CPI tomorrow to come in below expectations to reverse quickly.
But if CPI again comes in above expectations, this drop won’t be enough.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【Two scenarios—how should I respond?】
🔴 Bearish scenario (CPI hotter)
If BTC breaks 62,500 → 61,000
Use reserve funds to buy in batches, don’t go All in at once
🟢 Bullish reversal (CPI below expectations)
BTC holds 62,500 + 4H ST turns green again
→ rebuild swing positions / reallocate for short-term trades
【Trading principles for tonight】
✅ Core position 30% — continue to hold
⚠️ Swing positions — reduce exposure
❌ Short-term — go to cash and wait for results
💵 Reserve funds — USDT on standby
Don’t bottom-fish or chase shorts during the decline
Decide after CPI is out
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏰ Tomorrow, July 14 CPI is the final judge
We’ll discuss it in tonight’s live stream
(Personal view, not investment advice, DYOR)
#BTC #ETH #黄金 #CPI #Yunyuan Research Institute
——Guanlan · Yunyuan Research Institute
【Latest Price】
₿ BTC $62,800 ↓ down about $1,000 from 63,800
Ξ ETH $1,780 ↓ down 3.6% from the high of 1,846
◎ SOL $76 → relatively resilient
🥇 XAU $4,055 ⚠️ touched the lower edge of chart support at 4,051
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【Core Call: Next, watch these price levels】
🔑 BTC 62,500
This is the most critical support level right now.
Hold → range-bound consolidation, with a chance for a rebound
Break → accelerate the move lower to 61,000-62,000
🔑 ETH 1,750
At 1,780, it’s already at the lower edge of support
If broken → look toward the 1,680 area
🔑 Gold 4,051
The support bottom line marked on the chart this morning
Currently 4,055, only $4 away from it
If it breaks effectively → look to 3,980-4,000
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【How to understand this sell-off?】
This isn’t random fluctuation.
This morning, BTC/ETH/SOL/Gold all flipped green across the 4H SuperTrend,
and the subsequent drop is兑现 (giving effect to) that signal.
Before the CPI data is released, the market chose to “fall first to pay respect” —
institutions are trimming positions to hedge the risk of CPI coming in above expectations.
This sentiment-driven sell-off doesn’t need fundamental support;
it only needs CPI tomorrow to come in below expectations to reverse quickly.
But if CPI again comes in above expectations, this drop won’t be enough.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
【Two scenarios—how should I respond?】
🔴 Bearish scenario (CPI hotter)
If BTC breaks 62,500 → 61,000
Use reserve funds to buy in batches, don’t go All in at once
🟢 Bullish reversal (CPI below expectations)
BTC holds 62,500 + 4H ST turns green again
→ rebuild swing positions / reallocate for short-term trades
【Trading principles for tonight】
✅ Core position 30% — continue to hold
⚠️ Swing positions — reduce exposure
❌ Short-term — go to cash and wait for results
💵 Reserve funds — USDT on standby
Don’t bottom-fish or chase shorts during the decline
Decide after CPI is out
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏰ Tomorrow, July 14 CPI is the final judge
We’ll discuss it in tonight’s live stream
(Personal view, not investment advice, DYOR)
#BTC #ETH #黄金 #CPI #Yunyuan Research Institute
