In Gate's prediction market, the question was "Will the Fed cut interest rates in June?" Everyone was saying NO, but I stubbornly bought YES because "the market wants it." I put in 50 USDT. I lost. I realized that the prediction market isn't gambling, it's a game of reading what the crowd thinks. It doesn't matter if my own opinion is right, it matters where the majority is putting their money. Since then, in my trades, instead of asking "what do I think," I ask "what is the market pricing in?"