Consulting firm Crane Zeng released a report stating that the trading volume of offshore prediction market platforms accessed by U.S. users via VPNs and other methods has reached $11 billion to $34 billion, with Polymarket accounting for $11 billion to $27 billion. The report estimates that offshore platforms account for 12.5% to 31.5% of U.S. prediction market trading volume, with about 30% of Polymarket's trading volume coming from U.S. users. Data shows that the trading volume gap between regulated platforms and offshore platforms is narrowing. During the reporting period, CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and IBKR ForecastEx handled a total of approximately $74 billion in trading volume, while offshore platforms totaled about $85 billion. (The Block)

KALSHI-1.88%
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MintCondition
· 2h ago
Back when Kalshi first got its license, it was making a lot of noise; now its trading volume is still being kept down by Polymarket.
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FoldedPrivateKey
· 7h ago
Everyone knows that VPNs bypass regulations; it just depends on when the SEC/CFTC will take action.
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LpGrandma
· 7h ago
CFTC platform 74 billion vs offshore 85 billion, the gap is indeed narrowing, but offshore still wins
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SummerCoast
· 7h ago
Is the range from 12.5% to 31.5% really that wide? Don't you even have confidence in your own report?
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ByteBard
· 7h ago
Polymarket's data is quite impressive; American users contribute nearly one-third. Regulatory pressure is probably about to increase.
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