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The Governor of the Bank of Japan is urgently hospitalized! On the eve of the rate-hike night, is the crypto market’s liquidity life-or-death crisis about to arrive? When the source of “arbitrage trading” begins to dry up, don’t ask who the death knell is tolling for—it’s tolling for your positions. Brothers, this is very bad news! The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting on June 16 is approaching, and the market has priced in a 25 basis point rate hike with a probability as high as 98%. But the real black swan is this: 74-year-old Governor Haruhiko Ueda has been urgently hospitalized due to an infection and will miss the decision-making meeting—this will be the first time since 1998.
Market analysis: The market is in “calm before the storm.” Historical data shows that every time the Bank of Japan’s main rate hike happens, the crypto market typically sees a sharp selloff and pullback. Liquidity has already begun to “retreat,” with stablecoin outflows exceeding more than $3 billion this week.
BTC: Currently under pressure below 64K. If the Bank of Japan’s rate hike is implemented and it signals further tightening, 60K may not hold—watch the strength of the 58K support.
ETH: Relatively weak; if it breaks below 1600, downside room opens up.
Player strategy: Don’t try to fight the macro liquidity tightening. Before the “shoe drops,” it’s recommended to use low leverage or take a defensive, wait-and-see stance. Don’t go long and catch falling knives. In the short term, focus mainly on selling rebounds; the real opportunity to bottom-fish comes only after the bad news has been fully digested!
Trading plan: Short around BTC 63,000; short around ETH 1,670! #Gate直通IPO认购SpaceX $ETC