Macroeconomic Sentiment Repair — Fading Fears of Rate Hikes After Non-Farm Payrolls, 5% Rebound May Signal a Mid-Term Turning Point

The background of this #比特币回升5% is that the market is gradually digesting the rate hike expectations triggered by the non-farm payroll data. Last Friday, the US reported 272k new non-farm jobs in May, far exceeding expectations, causing a surge in US bond yields and a broad decline in risk assets. But then the market calmed down: the unemployment rate rose to 4.0%, and hourly wage growth was only 0.1% month-over-month — strong employment did not bring inflationary pressure. As a result, Bitcoin quickly rebounded from $59,500 to above $63k.

However, the real macro test will be the CPI data on June 13 and the FOMC rate decision on June 14. The market is currently pricing in over a 50% chance of rate cuts in September. If CPI comes in below expectations, #比特币回升5% is likely to continue its momentum toward the $68k–$70,000 range; if CPI exceeds expectations, the $63,000 level may be retested. On the resistance side, macro factors determine that $68,000 is a short-term ceiling, as it corresponds to the price level before the May CPI data release.

My strategic layout: Maintain 40-50% positions before the CPI release, mainly holding BTC and ETH. If CPI is below 3.3%, increase to 70%, targeting $68,000; if CPI exceeds 3.6%, reduce to 20% and consider hedging. In choppy markets, news-driven moves outweigh technical signals; flexibility is more important than prediction. #比特币回升5% presents an opportunity, but risk control always comes first.

#比特币回升5%