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Wednesday, June 10th SOL Morning Thoughts
SOL's current price stabilizes and consolidates around $65. After a long-term continuous decline, the selling pressure has been fully absorbed, and a good window for positioning has emerged. From a technical perspective, after a deep long-term decline, indicators have entered oversold territory, and the downward momentum has significantly weakened. The $60.5 level has established a solid bottom support, and the downside space has been severely compressed. Once market funds warm up, the primary rebound target is directly at the $70 resistance level. A volume breakout above this level will open a new upward space.
On the fundamentals side, the Solana blockchain ecosystem remains active, with on-chain transactions, NFTs, and DeFi applications continuing to land. The ecosystem value has not diminished with the price decline. Currently, the entire crypto market is in a phase where macro bearish factors have been fully priced in. The pressure from Federal Reserve rate hike expectations has been fully priced, and the upside space for the dollar and US Treasury yields is limited. After risk aversion is completed, market funds will reallocate to high-quality public chain tokens with deeper declines and greater elasticity. Compared to Bitcoin, SOL has a stronger rebound and explosive potential.
Overall, SOL's bottom structure is gradually solidifying, and the bearish factors have largely played out. As long as the market maintains a consolidation phase, SOL, with its ecosystem advantages, will lead the market in a recovery rally. Currently, it is a good opportunity to accumulate at low levels.
Trading suggestion: Watch for a rebound around 63.5-64, target 65, and if broken, $BTC look for 66.5.