#加密市场回升

The Bitcoin weekly chart shows the second-ever bullish divergence signal in history, sparking market expectations of a new upward trend. The five-second weekly level bullish divergence signal has only appeared once before, during the consolidation phase after the 2022 FTX collapse, followed by a sustained and significant rally. The current signal reappears, indicating the market may be approaching a similar structural turning point. Recently, Bitcoin's price repeatedly tested the $60k level near the 200-week moving average, which is widely regarded as the long-term bull-bear dividing line. Meanwhile, analysts' consensus on key upward targets unusually converges around $93k, which closely aligns with the $91.8k target mentioned in the latest news (50-week moving average). The most notable detail is that the market currently exhibits two completely opposite technical structures: a "weekly bullish divergence" and a "weekly bear flag breakdown," pointing to two extreme targets at $90k and $50k respectively. This significant technical disagreement reflects the fierce confrontation between bullish and bearish forces at key moving averages, exposing the fragility of market consensus through conflicting technical indicators. The final directional choice will determine whether this is a deep squat and jump or a complete trend reversal. On June 8, the Bitcoin weekly chart showed the second-ever bullish divergence signal in history, sparking market expectations of a new rally. Analysts believe that if history repeats, Bitcoin could challenge the region above $90k. Data shows that Bitcoin's weekly RSI has rebounded above 34 after falling below oversold levels, while the price has dropped from about $75.8k to approximately $63k. Despite continuous new lows, the momentum indicator has formed higher lows, constituting a classic bullish divergence, indicating selling pressure is weakening. The last similar signal appeared after the 2022 FTX collapse, when Bitcoin rose from about $15.5k to around $126.2k, a gain of over 700%. Technically, analysts see the first major target for Bitcoin near the 50-week moving average, approximately $91.8k. Currently, Bitcoin still trades around the $62k level near the 200-week moving average, which has repeatedly served as a significant bottom during the 2015, 2018, and 2020 bear markets. Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe states that the 200-week moving average is an ideal long-term positioning area, but bulls need to first break through the resistance zone of $64k to $65k. If successful, Bitcoin could further rise to $71.5k to $73k and eventually fill the CME gap near $79k, with the next major resistance above $90k. However, downside risks still exist. Reports indicate that Bitcoin remains in the breakdown phase of the weekly bear flag pattern; if this pattern continues, the theoretical target for BTC could fall below $50k. Analysts believe that only by reclaiming support along the bear flag can the market effectively mitigate further downside risks. $BTC