#我在Gate广场过新年 Is the crypto bear market coming in 2026?
1. First, the conclusion: In 2026, the bear market is confirmed (as of February 2026). Based on technical, capital, and macro signals, the crypto market has shifted from a bull to a bear cycle.
★Bitcoin retraced over 50% from its 2025 high (around $140,000+), breaking below the ETF and MicroStrategy cost lines.
★Four consecutive monthly red candles, a pattern only seen during the deep bear in 2018.
★Since the start of 2026, BTC has fallen over 24%, ETH over 30%.
★Market sentiment: Extreme fear (Fear & Greed index at 11).
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