The unemployment figures have come out, is the market going to change?



The unemployment rate data for the US in September has just been released - 4.4%, higher than the market expectation of 4.3%. What will this "surprise" bring to the crypto market? I've整理了一些思路.

Let's first talk about what this data means. The job market is cooling down, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates is increasing. Once liquidity is loosened, a weaker dollar is almost inevitable. Where will those seeking high returns go? Cryptocurrency assets are likely to get a share of the pie.

BTC and ETH serve as the "stabilizing anchors" of the market, often being the first to attract capital. If risk appetite truly rises, the rotation of altcoins may not be far behind. However, it is essential to keep a close eye on sectors closely tied to the macroeconomy—AI, DeFi, and Layer 2. These three areas deserve extra attention.

Specifically talk about the key players in these several tracks.

In the field of AI, TAO is referred to by many as "the Bitcoin of the AI space"; it is a decentralized machine learning network. RNDR was originally focused on GPU rendering, but is now extending towards AI computing power. NEAR is a high-performance public chain that has recently invested heavily in the AI ecosystem.

DeFi goes without saying. The oracle #加密货币市场动态 is essentially the "hydropower station" of the entire DeFi world; many protocols simply cannot run without it. $LINK is the boss in DEX, with trading volume right there. AAVE has been playing quite flamboyantly in the lending track, with rapid feature updates.

The three giants of Layer2 each have their own strengths. ARB has the highest TVL and the greatest density of ecological projects. OP is relatively aggressive in its technical roadmap, with significant performance improvements after the Bedrock upgrade. MATIC, on the other hand, is advancing multiple solutions simultaneously, and its ecosystem is relatively mature.

If I had to pick the "most overlooked" asset, I would choose $LINK.

Why? Because it is infrastructure. Various DeFi protocols rely on the data it provides, and the future development of AI and Layer 2 also requires reliable oracle services. This underlying position is hard to replace.

As for how to configure, it depends on your own style. If you want stability, look at $LINK; its infrastructure attributes are right there. If you want to pursue high growth, you can pay attention to $TAO, as the AI sector is still in the early explosion stage. If you want to balance risk and return, the ecological dividend of ARB might be a good choice.

Of course, the data is just the beginning. We also need to keep an eye on the CPI numbers for October $UNI to confirm how inflation is trending (, the statements from Federal Reserve officials ) to be wary of hawkish remarks suddenly emerging (, and the reaction of the US stock market ) as sentiment can be transmitted quickly (.

The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the patience to judge the timing.
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