DXY & Forex

The Australian dollar has reached a 30-year high against the Japanese yen, propelled by optimism over a US-Iran ceasefire and a global equity rally. The RBA's hawkish policy and positive links to equity markets enhance AUD's appeal, though risks remain due to potential volatility.

Trump threatens to fire Fed Chair Powell if he stays past May 2026, amid an ongoing Justice Department investigation into the Fed's renovations. Powell insists he will not resign before the investigation concludes, regardless of Trump's criticisms.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates further, emphasizing that rising oil prices have not impacted inflation expectations, as they remain detached from broader economic price pressures.

Nigeria's inflation rate fell to 20.12% in August 2025 from 21.88% in July, driven by a slowdown in food prices and central bank policies. Despite this drop, inflation remains high, requiring reforms in agriculture and infrastructure for sustained improvement.

Kevin Warsh, nominated by Trump for Federal Reserve chair, is the wealthiest candidate in recent history, with a net worth up to $209 million. His diverse investments include Silicon Valley, fintech, and AI. Despite potential conflicts, he has a modern view on digital assets.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Hong Kong has become a key hub for the movement of Iranian funds. Using shell companies, it handles as much as $4.8 billion in oil proceeds each year and also helps procure military technology. Although U.S. sanctions keep escalating, Hong Kong still serves as an important base for Iran’s shadow banking, and it avoids U.S. financial system oversight through small banks and offshore transshipment. The Hong Kong government has refused to cooperate with unilateral sanctions, which has helped facilitate the flow of underground funds. The United States has therefore changed its strategy, trying to make it harder to set up shell companies to stop the flow of funds.

Shin Hyun-song, nominee for Bank of Korea governor, acknowledged the coexistence of CBDCs and stablecoins at a confirmation hearing. He proposed a three-pronged approach for the won's internationalization and pledged to divest foreign assets to prevent conflicts of interest.

Yellen said in Hong Kong that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates later this year, even though the Iran war is creating upward pressure on inflation. She emphasized that this situation depends on how inflation evolves, and warned that Trump’s political pressure on the Federal Reserve is an unprecedented threat that affects central bank independence.

On April 15, Hong Kong dollar interbank offered rates (HIBOR) fell for most tenors, with the one-month and three-month rates declining, while longer-term rates saw slight increases.

Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen believes the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates this year, despite uncertainty from the Iran war and oil price volatility. She sees a broad supply shock impacting various sectors but suggests stable inflation expectations make rate hikes unlikely.

The minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting show that the federal funds rate remains unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, emphasizing factors such as stability in the labor market, limited impact from AI investment, and still-present inflation pressures. The unanimous approval reflects the stability of monetary policy, and it remains cautious about any further rate cuts; the outlook going forward needs to be determined by observing inflation data.

Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Paul Chan reported strong economic performance driven by exports, services, and goods trade, alongside steady consumption and rising private investment. He emphasized the city's robust stock market and the need for financial stability to enhance competitiveness.

Billionaire Tim Draper predicts that Bitcoin will rise to $250k within 18 months, mainly due to inflation pressure and a weakening U.S. dollar. While his prediction is appealing, it hasn’t been met over the past six years, and his personal holdings may affect the assessment. Market conditions and the impact of regulatory policies on prices must be taken into account.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDINR (US Dollar vs Indian Rupee) has dropped by 1% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

On April 14, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell by 0.25% to 98.124 as the dollar weakened against several major currencies, including the euro, British pound, yen, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, and Swedish krona.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDINR (US Dollar vs Indian Rupee) has surged by 2% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in declining core inflation despite the Iran war, urging the Federal Reserve to cut rates. Rising consumer prices due to the conflict have impacted President Trump's approval ratings. Trump's Fed chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, faces nomination delays but may soon proceed.

The U.S. Treasury eased sanctions on Venezuela's financial system, allowing access to U.S. dollars and oil revenue, supporting Delcy Rodriguez's government amid public worker protests for better pay. Relations with Venezuela are normalizing post-Maduro's ouster.

The latest U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) shows that in March, the year-over-year increase reached 4%, the largest rise in three years, driven mainly by the Iran war boosting energy costs. The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma: the core PPI is relatively mild, indicating that inflation pressure is coming primarily from the supply side. Market expectations for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve have decreased, and the reaction in financial markets indicates that expectations for a more restrictive stance in monetary policy have strengthened. The focus going forward will be on the Consumer Price Index and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent advised the Federal Reserve to observe before cutting rates, expressing confidence in declining core inflation. He mentioned the implementation of a 10% tariff under Section 122, with uncertainty about a potential increase to 15%.